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The following two links are updated daily:
IATA international transit / arrival policies Coronavirus Outbreak - Update
WHO Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation reports
Counters / Meters : Other Discussions on FlyerTalk Pertaining to COVID-19:
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- Coronavirus Ticket Change Policy? Malaysia Airlines | Enrich
- QANTAS suspends services to China from Feb 9 Qantas | Frequent Flyer
- Ryanair - any options for Italy flights? Ryanair / Other European airlines
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- Coronavirus waivers Singapore Airlines | KrisFlyer
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Coronavirus / COVID-19 : general fact-based reporting
#4141
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Article is originally from the LA Times, but they have a paywall, so here's a reprint of an interesting, more optimistic point of view.
Article
Article
What I can’t tell from the article is how he accounts for changes in testing or counting policies. The article says his prediction for China was very accurate, but China had a one day huge jump in cases on Feb 12 due to a policy change. It didn’t really change how many were infected, just how many were counted. How did he predict that? How did he predict that CA and NY changed their testing guidelines yesterday?
#4142
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Posts: 11,690
NPR report from Italy: https://www.npr.org/transcripts/817974987
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
#4143
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NPR report from Italy: https://www.npr.org/transcripts/817974987
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
#4144
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Spanish Ministry of health published statistics:
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesional...2_COVID-19.pdf
Pages 1-2 are most telling. Please read and share here what you think.
tb your comment would be especially valuable.
https://www.mscbs.gob.es/profesional...2_COVID-19.pdf
Pages 1-2 are most telling. Please read and share here what you think.
tb your comment would be especially valuable.
Total cases: 9702
Hospitalized: 8441
ICU: 834
Deaths: 1022
#4145


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#4146
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NPR report from Italy: https://www.npr.org/transcripts/817974987
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
POGGIOLI (NPR): Some question why Italy was caught off guard when the virus outbreak was revealed on February 21. Remuzzi says only now is he hearing new information from general practitioners.
REMUZZI (Doctor): That they remember having seen very strange pneumonias, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even in November. It means that the virus was circulating at least in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China.
That might just be seeing some things, imaginary or not, in hindsight. I'd hesitate to draw conclusions from that.
#4147



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#4148
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If you are interested in dissecting what happened at what point that lead to where Spain is now there is a summary of action taken (and not taken) from the very end of February in the Covid-19 thread in the Spain Forum.
#4149




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As I posted earlier today, Italy may be starting to flatten the curve. Now the official numbers are out.
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...country/italy/
They had a false indicator back on March 16th which did not hold, but hopefully this is the start of a more positive trend.

https://www.worldometers.info/corona...country/italy/
They had a false indicator back on March 16th which did not hold, but hopefully this is the start of a more positive trend.

#4150




Join Date: Dec 2018
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Here is what I believe to be one of the first published accounts of asymptomatic transmission.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2762028
There are countless others.
Another early one: https://www.france24.com/en/20200210...ad-coronavirus
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2762028
There are countless others.
Another early one: https://www.france24.com/en/20200210...ad-coronavirus
#4151




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#4152




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The 16th was a Monday. That's still possibly "coming off the weekend" factor in terms of data sets in testing or reporting of testing, at least to me.
I don't pretend to know what it means. Or if it means anything. But the dips are so far clustered:
March 1 - March 2nd: Sunday - Monday
March 9 - 10: Monday - Tuesday
March 15-16: Sunday - Monday
March 21-22: Saturday - Sunday
I don't pretend to know what it means. Or if it means anything. But the dips are so far clustered:
March 1 - March 2nd: Sunday - Monday
March 9 - 10: Monday - Tuesday
March 15-16: Sunday - Monday
March 21-22: Saturday - Sunday
#4153




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The 16th was a Monday. That's still possibly "coming off the weekend" factor in terms of data sets in testing or reporting of testing, at least to me.
I don't pretend to know what it means. Or if it means anything. But the dips are so far clustered:
March 1 - March 2nd: Sunday - Monday
March 9 - 10: Monday - Tuesday
March 15-16: Sunday - Monday
March 21-22: Saturday - Sunday
I don't pretend to know what it means. Or if it means anything. But the dips are so far clustered:
March 1 - March 2nd: Sunday - Monday
March 9 - 10: Monday - Tuesday
March 15-16: Sunday - Monday
March 21-22: Saturday - Sunday
Just like a location where testing is still ramping up will delay knowing when the curve is flattening and suffer greater economic and social consequences prior to the realization that distancing measures are working.
When testing is not consistent, we can also look at hospitalized cases as a guide as long as the criteria for hospitalization is not changing on the fly as it is in Italy.
#4154




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If their testing capacity changes on certain days of the week, then they will need a full week to determine if the curve is flattening.
Just like a location where testing is still ramping up will delay knowing when the curve is flattening and suffer greater economic and social consequences prior to the realization that distancing measures are working.
When testing is not consistent, we can also look at hospitalized cases as a guide as long as the criteria for hospitalization is not changing on the fly as it is in Italy.
Just like a location where testing is still ramping up will delay knowing when the curve is flattening and suffer greater economic and social consequences prior to the realization that distancing measures are working.
When testing is not consistent, we can also look at hospitalized cases as a guide as long as the criteria for hospitalization is not changing on the fly as it is in Italy.
Certainly we can hope so of course.
#4155
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Here is what I believe to be one of the first published accounts of asymptomatic transmission.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2762028
There are countless others.
Another early one: https://www.france24.com/en/20200210...ad-coronavirus
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...rticle/2762028
There are countless others.
Another early one: https://www.france24.com/en/20200210...ad-coronavirus
There are about 400k cases worldwide.
You'd think we'd have more than accounts of asymptomatic transmission. There must be better data.



