Originally Posted by
rickg523
Article is originally from the LA Times, but they have a paywall, so here's a reprint of an interesting, more optimistic point of view.
Article
Naturally, I hope he is right.
What I can’t tell from the article is how he accounts for changes in testing or counting policies. The article says his prediction for China was very accurate, but China had a one day huge jump in cases on Feb 12 due to a policy change. It didn’t really change how many were infected, just how many were counted. How did he predict that? How did he predict that CA and NY changed their testing guidelines yesterday?