FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Coronavirus / COVID-19 : general fact-based reporting
Old Mar 23, 2020 | 8:30 am
  #4154  
cmtlatitudes
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Originally Posted by FlyBitcoin
If their testing capacity changes on certain days of the week, then they will need a full week to determine if the curve is flattening.

Just like a location where testing is still ramping up will delay knowing when the curve is flattening and suffer greater economic and social consequences prior to the realization that distancing measures are working.

When testing is not consistent, we can also look at hospitalized cases as a guide as long as the criteria for hospitalization is not changing on the fly as it is in Italy.
Yes, agree. I guess what I was saying - (not that well !) - based on previous data points, it would be premature to think March 21-March 22nd is the start of a true flattening of the curve.

Certainly we can hope so of course.
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