Last edit by: Ocn Vw 1K
In order to reduce noise in the Coronavirus / Covid-19 : general fact-based reporting thread, and to create a central place to invite any member to ask a basic question about the impact of COVID-19 on travel, your moderators have decided to open this separate "lounge" thread for related discussion that isn't strictly fact-based reporting.
Any member who can provide a constructive, helpful answer to a question; or post constructively in reply to a member's point-of-view, is welcome to post.
All FT rules apply, including avoiding personalized, snarky, political, other off-topic, commercial, and repeatedly disruptive content.
Discussion of general economic impacts of Covid-19 belongs in the OMNI forum, not here.
Discussion and critique of political/government actions to aid the economy or which is far more political than related to COVID-19 is for the OMNI/PR forum, not here.
This is a protocol for posting adopted by the forum Moderator team:Please follow this protocol, based on FlyerTalk Rules and long-standing FlyerTalk best practices. Doing so will help keep the thread open, and allow our moderator team to aid members, rather than having to resort to discipline.
•Constructive, respectful posts, views, opinions, questions, and replies, related to the topic are welcome. Avoid commenting on members personally, or posting off-topic or political messages.
•While respectful disagreement of a posted view is allowed, don’t call-out posters to prove their points. FlyerTalk has never required discussion standards at the level of a Ph.D. dissertation defense, or a trial court witness cross-examination.
•After a reasonable exchange of views on a point, please yield the floor so that others may bring up different topics, questions or points.
•Especially important in this time of pandemic, when normal life and travel have been upended: please take regular breaks from the thread.
Please stay healthy,
your FT Coronavirus and Travel Moderator Team.
Any member who can provide a constructive, helpful answer to a question; or post constructively in reply to a member's point-of-view, is welcome to post.
All FT rules apply, including avoiding personalized, snarky, political, other off-topic, commercial, and repeatedly disruptive content.
Discussion of general economic impacts of Covid-19 belongs in the OMNI forum, not here.
Discussion and critique of political/government actions to aid the economy or which is far more political than related to COVID-19 is for the OMNI/PR forum, not here.
This is a protocol for posting adopted by the forum Moderator team:Please follow this protocol, based on FlyerTalk Rules and long-standing FlyerTalk best practices. Doing so will help keep the thread open, and allow our moderator team to aid members, rather than having to resort to discipline.
•Constructive, respectful posts, views, opinions, questions, and replies, related to the topic are welcome. Avoid commenting on members personally, or posting off-topic or political messages.
•While respectful disagreement of a posted view is allowed, don’t call-out posters to prove their points. FlyerTalk has never required discussion standards at the level of a Ph.D. dissertation defense, or a trial court witness cross-examination.
•After a reasonable exchange of views on a point, please yield the floor so that others may bring up different topics, questions or points.
•Especially important in this time of pandemic, when normal life and travel have been upended: please take regular breaks from the thread.
Please stay healthy,
your FT Coronavirus and Travel Moderator Team.
COVID-19: Lounge thread for thoughts, concerns and questions
#1171
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2005
Programs: ua mm, aa plat, starriott LTPP, ihg plat, hh gold.
Posts: 13,017
same happening in my small town. I have symptoms (headache for about a week now--I never get headaches--chills, fatigue, occasional dry cough and chest pressure/discomfort) but no fever, and there will be no test for me. called my doc, not possible to get a test there, they don't have any tests, although the nurse agreed it'd be a good idea if I could get one. frankly, blessedly, my symptoms are minor, and if this were a different time, I'd suck it up and go on about my business, with some minor modifications. but it would be nice to know if this is just a coincidentally timed weird cold, or the novel coronavirus...but THERE ARE NO TESTS.
the local health department is no longer doing drive through testing AT ALL, (that lasted for two days, I think) and hospital not doing tests unless you have a fever. they're saving tests AND protective equipment for the hospital staff, which makes sense in this environment where THERE AREN'T ENOUGH TESTS.
local doctor's offices don't have tests, I'm not famous and without a fever I'll just never know.
I have aging parents I can't visit, and I'm responsible enough that I was staying home well *before* everyone else was, but it would be good to know...if for no other reason than if I *am* positive, even with this mild version, I can presume some level of immunity after I'm done with this, and could then potentially help someone else--but I won't know, so I will be less likely to venture out for the foreseeable future, (not just while I'm feeling under the weather and for seven days afterwards). since I can't be tested, I can't know for certain, and I'll default to self-protection...which means any help I could provide to others by running errands or whatever, I won't.
USA! USA!
being told, repeatedly, by those in charge that tests are available for those who exhibit symptoms is (a lie) beyond infuriating, factually incorrect, and some people refuse to believe it. let's talk again in six weeks, when this will all have died down (not).
/rant
#1172
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 38,410
Does anyone have some good information on the safety of package delivery?
#1173
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Haze gray and underway
Programs: UA 1K 2MM, HH Diamond, Marriott 'clink clink' Titanium
Posts: 1,784
A negative test is just that negative.
There are numerous reasons to test people who do not show symptoms, I was tested (negative) because of my travel patterns and I was in a cardiac test lab when their entry screening policies changed. Their reasoning was to conserve masks and PPE, not for my treatment.
Last edited by Dublin_rfk; Mar 21, 2020 at 11:45 am Reason: additional info
#1174
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: Pacific Wonderland
Programs: ʙᴏɴᴠo̱ʏ Au, IHG Au, HH Dia, Nexus, Pilot FlyingJ Preferred
Posts: 5,336
I don't know. Maybe produce more in January? If I, you're regular run of the mill American without any special insights, knew enough to order masks, wouldn't the CDC? Maybe, after this, our CDC should marshal resources to focus on this rather than some of the other things they're working on.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/inves...cd9_story.html
#1175
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Haze gray and underway
Programs: UA 1K 2MM, HH Diamond, Marriott 'clink clink' Titanium
Posts: 1,784
#1176
Join Date: Jan 2016
Programs: Marriott AmBE ; AA EXP; Amtrak Select Executive; Hertz PC
Posts: 151
There's no reason the airlines need to fill middle seats and most flights you could have a person per side of each row. However, people need to determine their own level of risk. BTW if you become infected and you are healthy the odds are very, very high you're aren't going to die. Any at risk people that choose to fly are in the camp of those that speed and don't wear a seat belt.
more like any people who think the coronavirus is no big deal are in the camp of those that speed, don't wear a seat belt, AND slams their car into a minivan full of people.
#1177
Suspended
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Watchlisted by the prejudiced, en route to purgatory
Programs: Just Say No to Fleecing and Blacklisting
Posts: 102,095
I suggest you need a new source. Swabs pick up the virus. It doesn't matter if you show symptoms, don't show symptoms, had the virus and for several days after you are no longer showing symptoms if you have the virus the swab will show that (with a small number of false positives and negatives) .
A negative test is just that negative.
A negative test is just that negative.
There is a reason why some people are suggesting that Trump gets retested after his contacts have been noted as positive for this virus. And it’s not just because contact and Trump may not have been exposed to the virus at the time of Trump’s testing.
A person can definitely be viewed as asymptomatic and yet be a true positive when swab-tested for this virus.
Last edited by GUWonder; Mar 21, 2020 at 12:05 pm
#1178
Moderator, El Al and Marriott Bonvoy, FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: SIN
Programs: SQ*G, Mar LTT, Hyatt Glb, AA LTG, LY, HH, IC, BA, DL, UA SLV
Posts: 12,018
#1179
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2006
Location: SEA or BGR, Lower Earth Orbit
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 17,217
looking at traveling this week [SEA-BGR]
Quite the decision to make. I'm currently in Seattle and am wanting to get home sooner than later. I've got a few options to get home, right now I can book a SEA-EWR-BGR flight for Tuesday on United and be home by lunch Wednesday. Wait two weeks and see how things evolve but would be on American SEA-PHL-BGR, if it is still running. Or the worse case scenario is drive, which is 50 hours of drive time (it is in at least a diesel, so it would be cheap I guess, but 6 days in a car...)
Thoughts on the least foolish route? I'm concerned that waiting could be a mistake, and I really don't want to be stranded somewhere unknown if there's a total lockdown.
Thoughts on the least foolish route? I'm concerned that waiting could be a mistake, and I really don't want to be stranded somewhere unknown if there's a total lockdown.
#1180
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: Pacific Wonderland
Programs: ʙᴏɴᴠo̱ʏ Au, IHG Au, HH Dia, Nexus, Pilot FlyingJ Preferred
Posts: 5,336
I suggest you need a new source. Swabs pick up the virus. It doesn't matter if you show symptoms, don't show symptoms, had the virus and for several days after you are no longer showing symptoms if you have the virus the swab will show that (with a small number of false positives and negatives) .
A negative test is just that negative.
A negative test is just that negative.
https://sph.nus.edu.sg/wp-content/up...ics-13-Mar.pdf
Nothing specific to username's question but severity, duration of infection, and sample location along with test accuracy/sensitivity all affect the ability to accurately detect infection using diagnostic tests.
#1181
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: PEK and BOS
Programs: BA - Blue
Posts: 4,531
Symptoms are irrelevant _in and of themselves_ with regards to whether a test will be positive. Assuming correct sampling and extraction of RNA and the test false positive and false negative rates (which are very low), the only thing that determines whether a test is positive or negative is the amount of virus being shed from the sampled site. Plenty of evidence that mildly symptomatic people shed lots of virus: in fact, viral shedding is maximal early.
BUT since we don't know what we don't know, it's hard to know what the amount of viral shedding from completely asymptomatic people is since most of those people will have never been tested. The Diamond Princess would have been best scenario to test this, since everyone on board had at least one test, but I haven't seen relevant data -- although I haven't read the most recent paper published on it in full.
Re: safety of packages: the virus _does_ persist on cardboard for a while, but the decay half-life is about 3hrs at room temperature and 40% humidity. Although there were no documented cases of transmission in China via this route, one has to remember that even in Wuhan, the vast majority of people were not infected: this will increasingly NOT be true in most other countries. Whilst I suggest dialing down the paranoia to preserve one's sanity, there's no harm in washing hands after receiving a package, and if it's not perishable, leaving it at RT for a few hours or even a bit longer before opening...
tb
BUT since we don't know what we don't know, it's hard to know what the amount of viral shedding from completely asymptomatic people is since most of those people will have never been tested. The Diamond Princess would have been best scenario to test this, since everyone on board had at least one test, but I haven't seen relevant data -- although I haven't read the most recent paper published on it in full.
Re: safety of packages: the virus _does_ persist on cardboard for a while, but the decay half-life is about 3hrs at room temperature and 40% humidity. Although there were no documented cases of transmission in China via this route, one has to remember that even in Wuhan, the vast majority of people were not infected: this will increasingly NOT be true in most other countries. Whilst I suggest dialing down the paranoia to preserve one's sanity, there's no harm in washing hands after receiving a package, and if it's not perishable, leaving it at RT for a few hours or even a bit longer before opening...
tb
#1182
Suspended
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Watchlisted by the prejudiced, en route to purgatory
Programs: Just Say No to Fleecing and Blacklisting
Posts: 102,095
Did you notice that we don’t even have enough masks for medical staff? People are being asked to donate what they have to hospitals and get their sewing machines out to assemble PPE supplies...
Did you notice that in CA and elsewhere (FL beaches, NoLa, ...) calls to implement social distancing were ignored by many?
Bars and restaurants were shut down because people were still gathering there. People who “know better”. If they had followed social distancing, the bars and restaurants would have been shut down for lack of customers.
Did you notice that in CA and elsewhere (FL beaches, NoLa, ...) calls to implement social distancing were ignored by many?
Bars and restaurants were shut down because people were still gathering there. People who “know better”. If they had followed social distancing, the bars and restaurants would have been shut down for lack of customers.
Last edited by GUWonder; Mar 25, 2020 at 7:07 am
#1183
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 10,970
I suggest you need a new source. Swabs pick up the virus. It doesn't matter if you show symptoms, don't show symptoms, had the virus and for several days after you are no longer showing symptoms if you have the virus the swab will show that (with a small number of false positives and negatives) .
A negative test is just that negative.
There are numerous reasons to test people who do not show symptoms, I was tested (negative) because of my travel patterns and I was in a cardiac test lab when their entry screening policies changed. Their reasoning was to conserve masks and PPE, not for my treatment.
A negative test is just that negative.
There are numerous reasons to test people who do not show symptoms, I was tested (negative) because of my travel patterns and I was in a cardiac test lab when their entry screening policies changed. Their reasoning was to conserve masks and PPE, not for my treatment.
There is a serious debate going on in Taiwan whether they will allow people to pay for tests (Taiwan has national health care so the health care covers it if you meet the criteria) or take the Korea-style approach.
The government fears that false negatives can make things worse. They ended up loosing the rules for the free testing.
https://udn.com/news/story/120940/4433113 is the article in Chinese.
#1184
Join Date: May 2014
Location: BRU
Programs: BA GGL, TK E (*G), ITA exec
Posts: 4,105
Would there be something wrong in handling the package with gloves, open it and dispose of the box/wrap immediately?
#1185
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 38,410
I have aging parents I can't visit, and I'm responsible enough that I was staying home well *before* everyone else was, but it would be good to know...if for no other reason than if I *am* positive, even with this mild version, I can presume some level of immunity after I'm done with this, and could then potentially help someone else--but I won't know, so I will be less likely to venture out for the foreseeable future, (not just while I'm feeling under the weather and for seven days afterwards). since I can't be tested, I can't know for certain, and I'll default to self-protection...which means any help I could provide to others by running errands or whatever, I won't.