Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Mar 19, 2016, 8:12 pm
#451
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: HYD
Programs: LH, BA
Posts: 60
But what I (and most other FT'ers) would like to know is how you can see the fare buckets right now 
. For some reason it does not show for direct flights, however if there is connecting flight it does show fare buckets, not sure how accurate that is though.
Mar 19, 2016, 9:05 pm
#452
Moderator, Omni, Omni/PR, Omni/Games, FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Between DCA and IAD
Programs: UA 1K MM; Hilton Diamond
Posts: 67,145
Hello All,
I am waitlisted for an upgrade (miles + co-pay) on UA 5961 (SFO-AUS) - 03/25.
What are my chances it clears - currently i see R=0?
Available fare classes: F3-A3-JN3-C3-D3-Z0-ZN0-P0-PN0-R0-RN0-IN0-I0-Y9-YN9-B9-M9-E9-U7-H6-HN0-Q1-V1-W1-S0-T0-L0-K0-G0-N0-XN0-X0 (using UA search, i am not sure how accurate it is).
thanks in advance.
I am waitlisted for an upgrade (miles + co-pay) on UA 5961 (SFO-AUS) - 03/25.
What are my chances it clears - currently i see R=0?
Available fare classes: F3-A3-JN3-C3-D3-Z0-ZN0-P0-PN0-R0-RN0-IN0-I0-Y9-YN9-B9-M9-E9-U7-H6-HN0-Q1-V1-W1-S0-T0-L0-K0-G0-N0-XN0-X0 (using UA search, i am not sure how accurate it is).
thanks in advance.
A Friday on any flight out of a hub is a scary concept, FWIW.
Mar 19, 2016, 9:28 pm
#453
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: SF Bay Area, CA
Programs: UA 1K, AS MVP 75K, HI DIA
Posts: 208
ps clearing experience
I know there have been multiple reports of ps RPUs being tough to clear. I am looking at a mid-week flight (on a Wednesday) this coming week. It's one of the smaller (16-seat) BusinessFirst cabins, currently showing 7 seats open.
When people have had their RPUs clear on ps routes, is it generally in advance and if so, how far in advance? Or do you usually need to play a gate lottery game (recognizing there are no CPUs on this route so you're competing against other supported upgrade hopefuls)?
Any experiences/advice appreciated.
When people have had their RPUs clear on ps routes, is it generally in advance and if so, how far in advance? Or do you usually need to play a gate lottery game (recognizing there are no CPUs on this route so you're competing against other supported upgrade hopefuls)?
Any experiences/advice appreciated.
Last edited by launchylaunchbos; Mar 19, 2016 at 9:53 pm
Mar 20, 2016, 9:21 am
#454
Suspended
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 208
RPU on EWR-LAX, How much chance do I have ?
I have 2 RPU and travel certificate of 200 usd going to be expired this week, and decided to book a short trip from ARN-LAX, paying only 250 usd extra.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
Mar 20, 2016, 9:23 am
#455
Join Date: Oct 2005
Programs: Continental
Posts: 1,589
Odds for CPU for 1K on SFO-OGG nonstop
Traveling at end of October, Friday night returning Wednesday on a K fare.
757-300...what do you think?
757-300...what do you think?
Mar 20, 2016, 9:41 am
#456
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: SFO
Programs: AS, UA, WN, IHG Diamond Elite, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton Gold, CET 7*
Posts: 3,301
I think that guessing about your odds on a flight that's 7 months out is an exercise in futility.
I'll play along for a second though. I think that the cabin will probably be half-filled up until a week before your departure. You'll probably start to get your hopes up until you start seeing the seats disappear (with $199 offers to pax w/no status) right up until they drop the price to $149 at departure and it goes out completely full w/no CPUs.
I'll play along for a second though. I think that the cabin will probably be half-filled up until a week before your departure. You'll probably start to get your hopes up until you start seeing the seats disappear (with $199 offers to pax w/no status) right up until they drop the price to $149 at departure and it goes out completely full w/no CPUs.
Mar 20, 2016, 9:47 am
#457
Suspended
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: DCA
Programs: UA US CO AA DL FL
Posts: 50,262
11.873% for even-numbered Wednesdays and 12.122% for odd-numbered.
On a more serious note, unless you have been given a paid UG offer to F which is less than the fare difference between A and K, even RM/IM haven't got a clue yet.
This is a route where there will be a lot of people with paid F (or to be more precise fare buckets which book into F) as well as people with onward connections to EWR which is a p.s. service attracting paid BF and *A (LH) where both international J & F book into domestic F, so it's always going to be a tough CPU for anybody.
On a more serious note, unless you have been given a paid UG offer to F which is less than the fare difference between A and K, even RM/IM haven't got a clue yet.
This is a route where there will be a lot of people with paid F (or to be more precise fare buckets which book into F) as well as people with onward connections to EWR which is a p.s. service attracting paid BF and *A (LH) where both international J & F book into domestic F, so it's always going to be a tough CPU for anybody.
Mar 20, 2016, 9:54 am
#458
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: LAX
Programs: UA:1k; MR: PLT; Hilton: Gold
Posts: 1,324
I have 2 RPU and travel certificate of 200 usd going to be expired this week, and decided to book a short trip from ARN-LAX, paying only 250 usd extra.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
Mar 20, 2016, 10:01 am
#459
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Jersey Shore/YYZ
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott Plat, Hilton Diamond, Hertz PC
Posts: 12,521
It's not that crazy - with the number of seats available, especially on the 777. I just booked EWR-SFO, and the inbound had R3.
Mar 20, 2016, 10:05 am
#460
Join Date: May 2007
Location: WAS
Programs: UA 1K, AA EXP, WN A+, Hyatt Glob, Marriott Amb, Hertz PC
Posts: 1,129
I've cleared most of the time on weekend SFO-OGG-SFO but recently failed. Some flights are sold out in F, while some go out with empty F seats. Really varies by specific flight.
Mar 20, 2016, 10:24 am
#461
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,470
I have 2 RPU and travel certificate of 200 usd going to be expired this week, and decided to book a short trip from ARN-LAX, paying only 250 usd extra.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
As said, how much chance do I have to upgrade to business first for the legs between EWR and LAX return ? I am Platinum member though. I'm fying on Wednesday 2pm, and return on Sunday night 11.29pm.
The ps flights now generally go out with 8-15 uncleared upgrades dying on the waitlist.
The 772s on ps are different. UA appears to be applying a different algorithm for R on those flights.
Mar 20, 2016, 10:42 am
#462
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: Boston MA
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott T, HH D, IHG SA.
Posts: 150
Mar 20, 2016, 10:43 am
#463
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 114
For what it's worth, I just got three CPUs (two 1Ks, one no-status) on SFO-OGG this coming week, 96 hours in advance. K fare, 757-300. Seems like one of the easier CPUs in the system.
Mar 20, 2016, 10:48 am
#464
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
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Posts: 56,470
Mar 20, 2016, 10:55 am
#465
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: GVA (Greater Vancouver Area)
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