Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Airlines and Mileage Programs > United Airlines | MileagePlus
Reload this Page >

GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion / Questions

Community
Wiki Posts
Search
Old Oct 22, 2018, 3:44 pm
FlyerTalk Forums Expert How-Tos and Guides
Last edit by: WineCountryUA

GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion


This will be a discussion thread, for discussing the needed qualifications and timing of notification.
For posing formal notifications (but no discussion), use this thread Global Services 2019 Notifications (ONLY)
2019 GS Timeline
First requal notifications came out on 6 Dec 2018
First-time notifications started about 3 Jan 2019
Numerous reports that all regular notifications will be out by 11 Jan 2019
Initial successful reconsideration appeals reported 15 Jan 2019
First reports of challanges15 Jan 2019
For discussion of GS benefits, please use Consolidated Global Services Thread: Benefits, Questions 2018
For 2017 qualifications, see the 2017 thread and for 2018, see the 2018 thread

To find your PQDs if >than $12K
Go to
MileagePlus activity since my last statement and it is in the "Account summary" table at the top of the page.

Note this is not just the UA operated PQDs (which is commonly believed to be what matters for GS) but rather your total PQDs.

Definitions

BIS is actual scheduled flight distance (Great Circle Mileage Distance -- GCM) between airports with 500 mile minimum for elites. This is the standard used for Lifetime miles also. Those flying mostly sub-500 segments sometimes prefer to not use the minimum rule.

The definition for CPM is a bit vaguer, especially since CPM is used in multiple different situations.

Believe for the purpose of this thread, GS qualification, folks are using

PQD CPM = UA PQDs / UA BIS

Note there is no direct evidence UA uses this CPM number for GS Qualification but it is a number FTers like to use.

As for BIS, UA does not report this number your account and it needs to be manually tracked.

One way is to make use that PQMs are based on BIS but there may be a multiplier / bonus for high end fares. If always in 2x PQMs, you could divide by 2 to get BIS.

rwsteelers had a good method for determining UA BIS -- the change in Lifetime Miles from the first of the year.

Originally Posted by sgopal2
Hello:

To help with collection of qualification metrics for global services, I created a Google Doc. This will be useful for future members. For ease of use, I created a form which feeds into a spreadsheet. The spreadsheet and form does not require a google account and is free to use.

Similar spreadsheets were created in years past, so I'm hoping to continue this tradition. Please take the time to enter your stats into the spreadsheet. Many thanks

LINK to entry form:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1SYm...xRKZ_EUD8/edit

View responses here ( read only ):
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing
Print Wikipost

GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion / Questions

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Jan 28, 2019, 8:12 am
  #766  
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: EWR
Posts: 894
Originally Posted by porciuscato
Suppose the average PQD for re-qualifiers is 10X the average for initial qualifiers. Does that mean it's harder to re-qualify? Or easier? You really can't tell, because the averages tell you nothing about what the minimum is for either group.
Comparing means, variance and distribution of two groups is fairly basic statistical theory. Using a sample to make inferences about a larger population is what inferential statistics is all about. Assuming a large enough sample, this is indeed possible. The sample sizes here are fairly large, so I wouldn't characterize these as 'tiny'.

Originally Posted by porciuscato
All you can tell is out of the small sample who answered the poll, the re-qualifiers were bigger spenders. That could just be because re-qualifiers who aren't huge spenders didn't bother to answer because it's not that big a part of their life. LOTS of possible reasons.
There are lots of biases in any type of convenience sample, and this is well known. Its not possible to sample every GS member, and you know that. But there is plenty of statistical precedent for making inferences about a larger population based on a smaller sample. Take for example political polling: its not possible to sample every single republican and democrat out there, but the pollsters can make educated guesses about which way a race is trending based on a sample.

Originally Posted by porciuscato
And you have absolutely no statistical basis for selecting one over the others.
Again, you are mischaracterizing what I said. I never 'selected' one group over another. I simply pointed out which comparisons were statistically different. I really don't want this thread to devolve into an argument about statistical minutiae, so if you'd prefer to debate me, I'm happy to do that offline via PM. But I'd prefer to keep this discussion focused on Global Services.

Last edited by sgopal2; Jan 28, 2019 at 8:18 am Reason: edit
sgopal2 is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 10:05 am
  #767  
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: SFO
Programs: United
Posts: 2
Originally Posted by wxguy
Was all $64K on United metal booked on United ticket stock (016)? If not, how much?
went and took another look...$44K on United Metal and the rest on other star alliance carriers (although often booked with a United ticked & United flight number, sometimes the actual plane was Luftansa). Didn't realize that could sink me.
ashleyjb6 is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 10:11 am
  #768  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Programs: DYKWIA, But I'm a "Diamond Guest" UA 1K/2MM
Posts: 2,258
Agreed we won't have a debate about stats. So this is the last thing I'll say about the subject.

Originally Posted by sgopal2
Comparing means, variance and distribution of two groups is fairly basic statistical theory. Using a sample to make inferences about a larger population is what inferential statistics is all about....
You nailed the problem with your analysis right there! The problem is you are not making "inferences about a larger population." You're make inferences about criteria (minimum PQD for qualifying vs. re-qualifying GS) that are completly orthogonal to the population -- just as the freezing point of H20 is orthogonal to the average temperature of random samples of liquid H20.

The only useful data in this survey are the minima and maxima for rejections/acceptances across different groups. The averages are meaningless.
porciuscato is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 11:01 am
  #769  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Programs: UA GS
Posts: 2,438
Originally Posted by ashleyjb6
went and took another look...$44K on United Metal and the rest on other star alliance carriers (although often booked with a United ticked & United flight number, sometimes the actual plane was Luftansa). Didn't realize that could sink me.
definitely would. Rule of thumb is at least 50 UA metal to get a first time invite.
wxguy likes this.
villox is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 12:31 pm
  #770  
Ari
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 11,513
Originally Posted by ashleyjb6
went and took another look...$44K on United Metal and the rest on other star alliance carriers (although often booked with a United ticked & United flight number, sometimes the actual plane was Luftansa). Didn't realize that could sink me.
Pass Plus @:-)
Ari is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 12:43 pm
  #771  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Somewhere in EWR
Programs: UA GS, HH Diamond
Posts: 858
Originally Posted by Ari
Pass Plus @:-)
If they ever call you back.
AugustusM is online now  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 12:52 pm
  #772  
Ari
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 11,513
Originally Posted by AugustusM
If they ever call you back.
That's one problem with them; they seem chronically understaffed or under-motivated. They need a commission system or something.

My PerksPlus account is alive and well, though. .
Ari is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 5:48 pm
  #773  
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: EWR
Posts: 894
Originally Posted by villox
definitely would. Rule of thumb is at least 50 UA metal to get a first time invite.
If you look at the spreadsheet, there were about 40 GS qualifiers who had spent less than $50K UA metal PQD. The lowest reported UAPQD for a qualifier is $32K. Looks like in this case the ratio of UA metal vs Star alliance was not high enough.
sgopal2 is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 6:36 pm
  #774  
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: BOS<>NYC<>BKK
Programs: UA 4.3MM LT-GS; AA1MM; Amtrak SE; MAR LT TITAN; PC Plat; HIL DIA; HYA GLOB
Posts: 4,393
Originally Posted by sgopal2
If you look at the spreadsheet, there were about 40 GS qualifiers who had spent less than $50K UA metal PQD. The lowest reported UAPQD for a qualifier is $32K. Looks like in this case the ratio of UA metal vs Star alliance was not high enough.
It's possible the "low" spenders were part of a corporate contract program where they were granted GS through the contract. No way to draw a definite conclusion.
kirkwoodj and LIH like this.
wxguy is online now  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 6:43 pm
  #775  
 
Join Date: Nov 2018
Posts: 21
Requested GS to review GS and they came back and declined for 2019. They also didn’t offer a challenge option. Is the challenge only usually for those that had GS and lost it? Can I call GS desk and request it. I had approx $35k spend.

wazza10000 is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 6:51 pm
  #776  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.997MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,859
Originally Posted by wazza10000
.... I had approx $35k spend. ....
That is well below the norm for a GS.
WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 6:54 pm
  #777  
 
Join Date: Nov 2018
Posts: 21
Sorry $35k metal and $12k on partner. I wasn’t expecting necessarily to get it (although thought outside chance as I fly with a large firm). But was curious on the challenge and when are they offered. I have 4 long haul business class flights coming up so should meet challenge requirement fairly easily.

wazza10000 is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 6:58 pm
  #778  
Ari
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 11,513
Originally Posted by wazza10000
Is the challenge only usually for those that had GS and lost it?
That's my understanding.
iluv2fly likes this.
Ari is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 7:11 pm
  #779  
 
Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: UA MileagePlus 2MM
Posts: 1,567
Originally Posted by sgopal2
If you look at the spreadsheet, there were about 40 GS qualifiers who had spent less than $50K UA metal PQD. The lowest reported UAPQD for a qualifier is $32K. Looks like in this case the ratio of UA metal vs Star alliance was not high enough.
Just wanted to say THANKS for taking the time to put all this data together. While we all know it's not perfect for many reasons, over the years I have found it very helpful to know that I stood a good chance to qualify/re-qualify. People will always debate the data but if one reads all the thread and looks at the data I think it helps to know where you will stand. And why.

Adam
sgopal2 and SFOdelayed like this.
adambrau is offline  
Old Jan 28, 2019, 7:29 pm
  #780  
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 20
2018: 226K PQM, $48,849 PQD ($46k on United metal). 1K every year since 2009. Didn't qualify. Requested review, declined. No challenge offered.

Someone mentioned an "appeal" process. Is that an option for me here? Thanks
dynamic123 is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.