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GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion / Questions

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Old Oct 22, 2018, 3:44 pm
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GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion


This will be a discussion thread, for discussing the needed qualifications and timing of notification.
For posing formal notifications (but no discussion), use this thread Global Services 2019 Notifications (ONLY)
2019 GS Timeline
First requal notifications came out on 6 Dec 2018
First-time notifications started about 3 Jan 2019
Numerous reports that all regular notifications will be out by 11 Jan 2019
Initial successful reconsideration appeals reported 15 Jan 2019
First reports of challanges15 Jan 2019
For discussion of GS benefits, please use Consolidated Global Services Thread: Benefits, Questions 2018
For 2017 qualifications, see the 2017 thread and for 2018, see the 2018 thread

To find your PQDs if >than $12K
Go to
MileagePlus activity since my last statement and it is in the "Account summary" table at the top of the page.

Note this is not just the UA operated PQDs (which is commonly believed to be what matters for GS) but rather your total PQDs.

Definitions

BIS is actual scheduled flight distance (Great Circle Mileage Distance -- GCM) between airports with 500 mile minimum for elites. This is the standard used for Lifetime miles also. Those flying mostly sub-500 segments sometimes prefer to not use the minimum rule.

The definition for CPM is a bit vaguer, especially since CPM is used in multiple different situations.

Believe for the purpose of this thread, GS qualification, folks are using

PQD CPM = UA PQDs / UA BIS

Note there is no direct evidence UA uses this CPM number for GS Qualification but it is a number FTers like to use.

As for BIS, UA does not report this number your account and it needs to be manually tracked.

One way is to make use that PQMs are based on BIS but there may be a multiplier / bonus for high end fares. If always in 2x PQMs, you could divide by 2 to get BIS.

rwsteelers had a good method for determining UA BIS -- the change in Lifetime Miles from the first of the year.

Originally Posted by sgopal2
Hello:

To help with collection of qualification metrics for global services, I created a Google Doc. This will be useful for future members. For ease of use, I created a form which feeds into a spreadsheet. The spreadsheet and form does not require a google account and is free to use.

Similar spreadsheets were created in years past, so I'm hoping to continue this tradition. Please take the time to enter your stats into the spreadsheet. Many thanks

LINK to entry form:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1SYm...xRKZ_EUD8/edit

View responses here ( read only ):
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing
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GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion / Questions

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Old Jan 28, 2019, 8:38 pm
  #781  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Originally Posted by dynamic123
2018: 226K PQM, $48,849 PQD ($46k on United metal). 1K every year since 2009. Didn't qualify. Requested review, declined. No challenge offered.

Someone mentioned an "appeal" process. Is that an option for me here? Thanks
Based on what I've seen through the last few years, there are few that qualify from 1K to GS with less than $50K PQD on UA metal. There are some anomalies. But for the greater of qualifications, this has been the case. I never went from 1K to GS with less than this.... and I'm pretty sure many others here can attest to that.
jjmoore is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 5:24 am
  #782  
LIH
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: ORD | LGA | 2E
Programs: UA GS 1.6MM UC | AA CK 0.7MM AC | Bonvoy Ambassador | Hyatt Globalist | Hertz PC
Posts: 1,054
Originally Posted by jjmoore
Based on what I've seen through the last few years, there are few that qualify from 1K to GS with less than $50K PQD on UA metal. There are some anomalies. But for the greater of qualifications, this has been the case. I never went from 1K to GS with less than this.... and I'm pretty sure many others here can attest to that.
As one of those "few" ($48K UA metal) I would note that I have both strong y-o-y spend trends ~$17K > $36K > $48K and 99% of my travel is booked in a premium fare class (mostly P/Z/A/C/D). I also feel as though I got lucky for a first-time nod. I'm in my mid-30s and have been 1K every year since graduating college.
LIH is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 7:32 am
  #783  
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Location: EWR
Programs: United GS, Marriott Titanium, Hertz PC
Posts: 37
Originally Posted by LIH
As one of those "few" ($48K UA metal) I would note that I have both strong y-o-y spend trends ~$17K > $36K > $48K and 99% of my travel is booked in a premium fare class (mostly P/Z/A/C/D). I also feel as though I got lucky for a first-time nod. I'm in my mid-30s and have been 1K every year since graduating college.
I had a similar experience. My first invite was unexpected with ~$46K in spend, mostly on UA metal. Prior years were platinum and gold. Another data point to throw analysis off!
TavionT is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 8:58 am
  #784  
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: SFO
Programs: UA GS, AA Lifetime Gold, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 285
Originally Posted by TavionT
I had a similar experience. My first invite was unexpected with ~$46K in spend, mostly on UA metal. Prior years were platinum and gold. Another data point to throw analysis off!
I’m also in a similar position. Qualied for the first time for 2019 as GS with just under $46k in spend (SFO-based). 2017 was my first full year flying UA (switching from AA as EXP and a prior CK). I spent $50k in 2017, o/w only $41k were UA metal. For 2018, I flew $46k o/w 100% were on UA metal (I flew UA to MUC instead of LH essentially). That seemed to make the difference but I’m guessing having a track record of 2 years as 1K also helped. Also interesting is that my PQMs were only 130k in 2018 vs 160k in 2017 I.e. I was a more profitable customer for UA since I was spending more per PQM.

Also as another data point - I requested reconsideration last year for my 2017 travel and was denied (no challenge offered). I wonder if that put my profile on their radar to automatically check in 2018? No idea if that’s been discussed previously.

Anyway, all this has definitely given me the “bug” and given me more incentive to fly only on UA metal if I can (and generally my travel patterns allow for that since almost all my intl travel is to destinations that UA flies direct)
almostfrench0612 is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 2:38 pm
  #785  
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: EWR
Posts: 894
Originally Posted by wxguy
It's possible the "low" spenders were part of a corporate contract program where they were granted GS through the contract. No way to draw a definite conclusion.
Yes that’s certainly possible. That’s why I included a question on the form about “special perk”... from a company contract. But all of the 40+ Qualifiers mentioned above selected “No” to the special perk question.
sgopal2 is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 3:17 pm
  #786  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Originally Posted by LIH
As one of those "few" ($48K UA metal) I would note that I have both strong y-o-y spend trends ~$17K > $36K > $48K and 99% of my travel is booked in a premium fare class (mostly P/Z/A/C/D). I also feel as though I got lucky for a first-time nod. I'm in my mid-30s and have been 1K every year since graduating college.
I'm a couple years ahead of you in age (just shy of 40)... 1K for 7 years. My YOY for the last 5 years has been very strong... averaging right around $50K / year PQD at this point... my first 2 years as a 1K, however, I did it mostly on personal spend, and I can tell you I qualified for 1K both of those years with less than $4000 total spend each year.... int'l and last minute domestic business travel changed that a ton, obviously (my one single TPAC ticket last Nov. cost 2X more than I spent for my first 2 years as a 1K with UA!!!!).


I'm in agreement with you that YOY is probably an impacting factor.... too bad we don't have another 500 data points with consistent input to really solidify some statistics to show what variables are truly correlating to qualifications / re-qualifications. It will be UA's secret, ultimately, and we will be left to guess as we always do.
jjmoore is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 4:39 pm
  #787  
LIH
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Location: ORD | LGA | 2E
Programs: UA GS 1.6MM UC | AA CK 0.7MM AC | Bonvoy Ambassador | Hyatt Globalist | Hertz PC
Posts: 1,054
Originally Posted by jjmoore
... It will be UA's secret, ultimately, and we will be left to guess as we always do.
Makes a ton of sense that UA wouldn't want transparency here. Gives them ultimate flexibility to take whatever percentage of the distribution they want to given other business/economic realities. Also prevents those with excess spend from managing that to some level of high confidence.

I, personally, have found the info here on FT to be incredibly insightful. I changed my travel patterns a bit almost solely to increase my GS odds.
LIH is offline  
Old Jan 29, 2019, 9:03 pm
  #788  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Originally Posted by LIH
Makes a ton of sense that UA wouldn't want transparency here. Gives them ultimate flexibility to take whatever percentage of the distribution they want to given other business/economic realities. Also prevents those with excess spend from managing that to some level of high confidence.

I, personally, have found the info here on FT to be incredibly insightful. I changed my travel patterns a bit almost solely to increase my GS odds.
That makes two of us. I learned my lesson on my first high-spend year when I was flying TK / LH / LX and missed GS when I could have had it had I flown all UA metal.

I agree that this thread is incredibly insightful, and offer my gratitude to all of you that post here.
jjmoore is offline  
Old Jan 30, 2019, 8:17 am
  #789  
 
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: EWR
Posts: 894
Originally Posted by jjmoore
I'm in agreement with you that YOY is probably an impacting factor....
I'm in agreement with this. This year for the spreadsheet, I included a field called 3 year running average. It was meant for people to average their last 3 years of PQD.

Is there a better way to capture this (for next year)? Would getting PQD values for each of the last 5 years be better?
sgopal2 is offline  
Old Feb 1, 2019, 10:46 am
  #790  
 
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: San Francisco
Programs: UA MM Plat, UA 1MM, Hilton Lifetime Gold, Marriott Gold, Hertz Gold, CLEAR, AS MVP Gold
Posts: 3,621
Another strange one, my nephew who was told approximately two weeks ago he did NOT get the GS invite (emailed to reply him) with a $48K spend out of SFO and a renewal looked today at his MP Status and it still said he was GS so he called the desk and was told he was approved 1/28 until 1/2020. He was even told his GS package was in the mail and congratulation. Go figure?! Anybody else getting last minute approvals? I was approved last week unexpectedly as well, even received my 1K package. Strange but neither one of us are looking a gift horse in the mouth so to say.
nomad420 is offline  
Old Feb 15, 2019, 10:41 pm
  #791  
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: EWR/ORD/LAX - USA
Programs: CO/NW - Platinum Elite x 10+/1,000,000+ miles
Posts: 22
Pardon what may be a silly question, but what does “BIS” signify, please? Thank you.
Remford is offline  
Old Feb 15, 2019, 10:55 pm
  #792  
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Chicago
Programs: UA GS 1MM, CM PP
Posts: 689
Originally Posted by Remford
Pardon what may be a silly question, but what does “BIS” signify, please? Thank you.
Butt-in-seat miles. Actual paid miles flown, regardless of any fare class or elite status bonuses or non-flight miles accrued.
1015-1k is offline  
Old Feb 24, 2019, 4:13 pm
  #793  
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 209
Originally Posted by dzstokes
I made GS last year on all domestic transit. $43K PQD, 226 PQS and 215K PQM. But I also fly out of a small market airport (RIC).
As one GS agent told me..."you earned it the hard way".
Good luck!
This gives me some hope to qualify with my <$50k PQD someday ... I'm flying out of an airport very similar to KRIC.
zoned_post_meridiem is offline  
Old Mar 10, 2019, 5:42 am
  #794  
 
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: SJC/SFO (previously BNE, SIN, SHA/PVG)
Programs: UA GS/MM, Marriott TE, National EE, Global Entry/TSA-Pre, APEC BTC
Posts: 162
I've been GS for the last few years with a PQD around $60-70k. My company was acquired by another that has a strict rule of no business class, no matter the level of employee or flight time. I therefore sunk back down to $30k last year and lost GS for 2019. I made the mistake last year of just using points and upgrades to upgrade instead of cash. Now that I've worked through all my points and upgrades, I'm left with having to pay personal cash to upgrade. I informed UA of my situation and they offered me a challenge of $15k PQD in the first quarter. I'm currently at $12k PQD and should hit $20k by end of quarter. Looks like I'll be back to GS in April and should be OK moving forward to hit the $40k threshold for requlifying every year. Worst 3 months of my life being jealous of every GS I saw boarding first without me 😀.

will also hit executive elite with national car rental (7 rentals YTD) and ambassador elite with marriot (30 nights YTD)
unitedhandcuffs is offline  
Old Mar 10, 2019, 6:12 am
  #795  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: SYD
Programs: UA GS, BA Gold, Marriott Titanium/LT Plat, IHG Gold, National Exec Elite, Hertz PC
Posts: 1,419
Originally Posted by unitedhandcuffs
...will also hit executive elite with national car rental (7 rentals YTD) and ambassador elite with marriot (30 nights YTD)
You don't need to hit EE with National. I get Hertz PC from United (Is that a 1K thing?) and match that to National EE every year.
flyerbjorn is offline  


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