ARCHIVE: Chances of upgrade clearing / upgrade availability - 2012 and prior)
Mar 8, 2009, 6:00 am
#121
FlyerTalk Evangelist
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Posts: 10,949
The Patented Up-Check™ Program has calculated your odds at 1.89%
Mar 8, 2009, 5:30 pm
#122
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2006
Programs: AAdvantage PP
Posts: 13,913
Well, I am in the ORD AC and everything to LGA is running late. I thought the odds of me getting on an earlier flight to LGA and remaining in F was less then 3.14%. But the AC Angel got me on a flight leaving in 45 minutes in F. Sometimes the math just works magically.
Mar 8, 2009, 6:50 pm
#123
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: HHonors Diamond, Hyatt Diamond, AA Plat/Oneworld Sapphire
Posts: 145
I'm a plat and just cleared JFK-LAS at 71 hrs, 55 min. I'm very pleased.
Mar 8, 2009, 7:50 pm
#125
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: HHonors Diamond, Hyatt Diamond, AA Plat/Oneworld Sapphire
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Mar 8, 2009, 8:05 pm
#126
Moderator: American AAdvantage
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Mar 8, 2009, 8:33 pm
#127
Join Date: Jun 2005
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Mar 8, 2009, 8:53 pm
#128
Moderator: Alaska Mileage Plan
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 12,320
An alternative name for this thread could be "The Patented Up-Check™ Request Thread."
May 5, 2009, 9:50 pm
#129
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: LOS Angeles
Programs: UA 1K, AA PLT, BA Gold
Posts: 350
Upgrade Chance
I am flying from LAX-IAD in O class and back from EWR-LAX S class if I use 500 mile upgrades what are my chances? or could I upgrade with miles without a co pay that will be confirmed right away
May 5, 2009, 10:12 pm
#130
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Join Date: May 2001
Location: LAX; AA EXP, MM; HH Gold
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You'd have to consult the HNL Upcheck© system to determine your odds. Nobody really knows the odds of your upgrade clearing.
Mileage upgrades now require a $50 co-pay, but if A inventory is available, then your upgrade could be confirmed right now.
Mileage upgrades now require a $50 co-pay, but if A inventory is available, then your upgrade could be confirmed right now.
May 5, 2009, 10:24 pm
#131
Moderator: American AAdvantage
Join Date: May 2000
Location: NorCal - SMF area
Programs: AA LT Plat; HH LT Diamond, Maître-plongeur des Muccis
Posts: 62,948
Great question - not even a hint of what time of day, what day of week, nada, just a "gaze into your crystal ball and tell me..." I predict the quality and reliability of replies you get here will be directly proportional to the data you have provided. 
May 5, 2009, 10:30 pm
#132
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: OKC/DFW
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Btw, might I remind the OP that there is a consolidated thread on this topic?
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...l#post11033381
May 5, 2009, 10:40 pm
#133
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May 5, 2009, 10:50 pm
#135
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