Feb 8, 2018, 1:50 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
Archive thread
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Dec 23, 2023, 10:00 am
#287
Join Date: Dec 2019
Location: Chicago
Programs: AA Gold
Posts: 562
so I would give it an arbitrary 32% chance
Dec 23, 2023, 10:09 am
#288
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,421
Dec 23, 2023, 11:58 am
#289
Join Date: Jan 2017
Programs: United
Posts: 73
Best chances to upgrade for LHR flight
Hello, I need to fly to LHR on Jan 14. I understand Sundays are difficult to clear upgrades due to business travel at the start of the week. I’m curious about opinions for routing with most viable chances to clear? I’d prefer to use from DEN, IAH (either flight will work), or LAX. The date is fixed however (funeral service I’m attending). Thanks for the feedback!
Dec 23, 2023, 3:54 pm
#291
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: SFO, TPE, HNL
Programs: UA GS 4MM, RCC life member (paid), Marriott Lifetime Titanium, Hyatt Globalist, CLEAR
Posts: 1,824
Of course you could be on worse position if UA871 has a lot of GS on the waitlist. There are ways to find out.
Last edited by PanAmWT; Dec 23, 2023 at 4:20 pm
Dec 23, 2023, 8:22 pm
#292
Join Date: May 2007
Programs: UA 1K, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 5,475
You are taking UA852. You could consider changing to UA871 that departs TPE 1.5 hours earlier, which has J9 and 12 J seats unassigned. It also has R1 so you should not have much difficulty moving your A fare ticket.
Of course you could be on worse position if UA871 has a lot of GS on the waitlist. There are ways to find out.
Of course you could be on worse position if UA871 has a lot of GS on the waitlist. There are ways to find out.
Dec 23, 2023, 9:08 pm
#293
Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: SNA (home), LAX, BOM/PNQ, LHR
Programs: UA 1K/*G, Marriott Gold Elite, IHG Platinum, HHonors Silver
Posts: 965
You are taking UA852. You could consider changing to UA871 that departs TPE 1.5 hours earlier, which has J9 and 12 J seats unassigned. It also has R1 so you should not have much difficulty moving your A fare ticket.
Of course you could be on worse position if UA871 has a lot of GS on the waitlist. There are ways to find out.
Of course you could be on worse position if UA871 has a lot of GS on the waitlist. There are ways to find out.
i missed T-36 sweep on SFO-TPE last week and J was fully booked at T-24. I was #1 at check-in cutoff with 1 seat left but blocked (inop) but one person didn't check in so i was cleared by ga. Then 4 people missed the flight due to connection delays so a whole family cleared.
so I would give it an arbitrary 32% chance
so I would give it an arbitrary 32% chance
. If this doesn't clear, guess I'll have to figure out how to use/give away 60 pluspoints before 1/31
Dec 24, 2023, 5:10 am
#294
Join Date: May 2012
Location: ORF, RIC
Programs: UA LT 1K, 3 MM; Marriott Titanium; IHG Platinum
Posts: 6,958
Hi! What are the odds of clearing upgrades (PZ>0) in May 2024,
1) ORD-BCN a Saturday
2) BRU-EWR a Saturday
It would be for me and my partner therefore 2 upgrades on each flight.
Context: I have no status with United, only Presidential with Copa Airlines (Star Alliance Gold). Copa hands instant upgrade certificates that work on United as long as there is PZ availability.
1) ORD-BCN a Saturday
2) BRU-EWR a Saturday
It would be for me and my partner therefore 2 upgrades on each flight.
Context: I have no status with United, only Presidential with Copa Airlines (Star Alliance Gold). Copa hands instant upgrade certificates that work on United as long as there is PZ availability.
Dec 24, 2023, 5:14 am
#295
Join Date: May 2012
Location: ORF, RIC
Programs: UA LT 1K, 3 MM; Marriott Titanium; IHG Platinum
Posts: 6,958
RN vs PN
Am flying back from Europe next week connecting in MUC and have a waitlisted upgrade to Premium Plus, but I see low chances (down to R0 now), so I looked at changing my connection to FRA, which is at R9/RN0. I would have thought my chances are better there, but it's also PN1/PZ1. Is there any connection between when Polaris upgrades open and Premium Plus opens? Does the fact that PZ>0 but RN=0 mean they don't plan to open RN? I'd prefer a MUC connection over FRA all else being equal so am wondering whether to make the change.
Dec 24, 2023, 5:42 pm
#296
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: SFO, TPE, HNL
Programs: UA GS 4MM, RCC life member (paid), Marriott Lifetime Titanium, Hyatt Globalist, CLEAR
Posts: 1,824
I wonder if UA will allow extension of the 1/31/24 deadline to 4/30/24, for 80 +Pts, as they used to do with 2 Systemwide certs.
Dec 24, 2023, 6:20 pm
#297
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,421
Dec 24, 2023, 6:29 pm
#298
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Sydney,Australia
Programs: UA 1K, QF Gold
Posts: 1,141
Dec 24, 2023, 6:31 pm
#299
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Honolulu Harbor
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 15,029
The GS are waiting for PN, which will open and fill seats with PN waitees before any PZ opens. The 5 1Ks are waiting for PZ, unless their upgrade request(s) is/are supported by GS instruments. Only in that/those case(s) would a 1K in O trump a GS in Y.
Dec 24, 2023, 6:43 pm
#300
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: SFO, TPE, HNL
Programs: UA GS 4MM, RCC life member (paid), Marriott Lifetime Titanium, Hyatt Globalist, CLEAR
Posts: 1,824
I was based on my experience sponsoring my low-level elite family members. I forgot that my instruments are GS.