Last edit by: WineCountryUA
Archive thread
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
#1
Original Poster
Join Date: Oct 2023
Posts: 2
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Hi! My husband and I have an upcoming flight from EWR to CPT (UA 1122) and I was curious what are the chances of us getting upgraded to business at this point?
- 2 out of 48 business seats remaining
- Flight is in less than 72 hours (Weds Oct 4 at 8:30 pm ET)
- Our purchased fare class is United Premium Plus (A)
- Purchased 2 MileagePlus Upgrade Certificates in Dec 2022 ($450 + 35k miles each, for those curious!)
- No status for either, but my husband has United Club MileagePlus credit card + my account is linked to United Corporate Preferred
- UA Agent said we're number 1 and 2 on upgrade list
#3
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,228
Welcome to Flyertalk, and congrats.
You can check the upgrade list yourself here: https://www.united.com/en/us/flights...-04/EWR/CPT/UA
Unfortunately it doesn't look promising for your upgrades to clear.
However, since you have Premium Plus seats, your flight will still be enjoyable, as those seats are still very nice.
Enjoy South Africa!
You can check the upgrade list yourself here: https://www.united.com/en/us/flights...-04/EWR/CPT/UA
Unfortunately it doesn't look promising for your upgrades to clear.
However, since you have Premium Plus seats, your flight will still be enjoyable, as those seats are still very nice.
Enjoy South Africa!
#6
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: SFO
Programs: Free agent; tend to fly DL and UA most
Posts: 41
Hey all,
The wife and I are scheduled to fly UA1111 SFO-LIH on Saturday October 14 (a little less than 2 weeks from now). I put in for a MUA back in July, and now that we're approaching game time, wondering what folks' gut feelings are on the chances of the upgrade clearing.
A few datapoints:
Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
The wife and I are scheduled to fly UA1111 SFO-LIH on Saturday October 14 (a little less than 2 weeks from now). I put in for a MUA back in July, and now that we're approaching game time, wondering what folks' gut feelings are on the chances of the upgrade clearing.
A few datapoints:
- For months now, the same 7 out of 16 seats in F have been open on the seat map (1A-F, 3A, and 4E-F), so doesn't seem that people have been biting at buy-up offers or booking F outright.
- The same flight UA1111 leaving this coming Saturday Oct 7 still has 4 open seats in F, with F prices about $100 lower than my flight.
- Flight is PN0 and PZ0.
- Full inventory is
J7 JN7 C7 D7 Z3 ZN3 P1 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0
Y7 YN7 B7 M5 E4 U3 H2 HN2 Q0 V0 W0
S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N7 XN0 X0 - We're currently seated in Y+ on V fares.
- Buy-up price from Y to F has gone down in recent weeks to $500, which makes me nervous these seats might fill up.
- I don't have status, but do have the Chase club card.
Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
Last edited by muaddib89; Oct 2, 2023 at 12:04 pm Reason: Added full inventory
#7
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2017
Programs: AS 75K, DL Silver, UA Platinum, Hilton Diamond, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Platinum + LT Gold
Posts: 10,268
What is the current inventory for the flight? You can turn on expert mode to see.
Don't always rely on seat map. Third-party bookings don't always have seat selections by default.
Don't always rely on seat map. Third-party bookings don't always have seat selections by default.
#8
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: SFO
Programs: Free agent; tend to fly DL and UA most
Posts: 41
Full inventory is:
J7 JN7 C7 D7 Z3 ZN3 P1 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0
Y7 YN7 B7 M5 E4 U3 H2 HN2 Q0 V0 W0
S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N7 XN0 X0
So there's one deep-discount P fare left, and 3 discount Z fares, if I'm interpreting that right.
#9
Join Date: Nov 2014
Programs: UA 2MM
Posts: 1,676
Hey all,
The wife and I are scheduled to fly UA1111 SFO-LIH on Saturday October 14 (a little less than 2 weeks from now). I put in for a MUA back in July, and now that we're approaching game time, wondering what folks' gut feelings are on the chances of the upgrade clearing.
A few datapoints:
Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
The wife and I are scheduled to fly UA1111 SFO-LIH on Saturday October 14 (a little less than 2 weeks from now). I put in for a MUA back in July, and now that we're approaching game time, wondering what folks' gut feelings are on the chances of the upgrade clearing.
A few datapoints:
- For months now, the same 7 out of 16 seats in F have been open on the seat map (1A-F, 3A, and 4E-F), so doesn't seem that people have been biting at buy-up offers or booking F outright.
- The same flight UA1111 leaving this coming Saturday Oct 7 still has 4 open seats in F, with F prices about $100 lower than my flight.
- Flight is PN0 and PZ0.
- Full inventory is
J7 JN7 C7 D7 Z3 ZN3 P1 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0
Y7 YN7 B7 M5 E4 U3 H2 HN2 Q0 V0 W0
S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N7 XN0 X0 - We're currently seated in Y+ on V fares.
- Buy-up price from Y to F has gone down in recent weeks to $500, which makes me nervous these seats might fill up.
- I don't have status, but do have the Chase club card.
Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
#11
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 28
Looking at the current flights, it's really surprising to see PZ9 (and 16+ Polaris seats still open for the flight) ~8 hours from departure (the one scheduled for Oct 3, with P+ seat availability indicating oversold P+ class), PZ2 for UA 804 scheduled for a week out, and PN9 for the same scheduled flight two weeks out. The flight from two weeks out also has a J vs P+ differential of only ~$1,200 one way, which is really low for flights to/from Japan. Is this seeming availability normal or is this a mirage?
Also, it's somewhat surprising to see so many on the waitlist yet to be cleared with less than 8 hours from departure. I don't think our flight from TPE ever showed PZ9, but we were cleared at ~T-36.
I'm somewhat tempted to suggest him to fly from IAD to HND on the codeshared ANA flight on P+ (as it offers lounge service) and then fly back on UA P+, putting in an upgrade right away for the hopes of having it clear/ or do the straight buy-up if the cost is indeed $1,200 or less.
Last edited by e_chappy; Oct 2, 2023 at 5:13 pm Reason: clarification
#12
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,106
#13
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,228
#14
Join Date: Mar 2023
Posts: 28
Polaris on NRT-EWR is almost full with PN0 and PZ0.
Polaris on HND-EWR is not full, with PN9 and PZ7.
And here I thought HND would be more popular (30 minutes by train from downtown Tokyo).
Will definitely keep this in mind for future reference.
Many thanks to you and to @jsloan.
#15
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,223