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-   -   Local lockdowns in the UK (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/u-k-ireland/2025295-local-lockdowns-uk.html)

DaveS Aug 16, 2021 11:38 am

I could have sworn I posted this earlier... Daily data:

Cases 28,438 (25,161 last Monday)
Deaths 26 (37)
People vaccinated up to and including 15 August 2021:
First dose: 47,333,702
Second dose: 40,703,581

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now up 4.8% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is up 1.6%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 89.1 today.

alex67500 Aug 16, 2021 12:39 pm


Originally Posted by DaveS (Post 33495467)
I could have sworn I posted this earlier...


(joke aside, thanks for your dedication, it is truly appreciated!)

DaveS Aug 17, 2021 9:20 am

Daily data:

Cases 26,852 (23,510 last Tuesday)
Deaths 170 (146)
Patients admitted 773 (755 on the 6th)
Patients in hospital 6,303 (5,909 on the 9th)
Patients in ventilation beds 918 (859 on the 9th)
People vaccinated up to and including 16 August 2021:
First dose: 47,369,418
Second dose: 40,841,971

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now up 5.6% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is up 4.2%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 92.6 today.

ringingup Aug 17, 2021 11:06 am

Is anything published regularly in terms of vaccination status and age groups of people in hospital and on ventilators?

cauchy Aug 17, 2021 2:05 pm


Originally Posted by ringingup (Post 33498155)
Is anything published regularly in terms of vaccination status and age groups of people in hospital and on ventilators?

For age groups in ICU check this -> https://www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports

For example, the median age of an ICU case is 50 - with 25% of ICU patients 38 and under, and only 25% are 61+.

DaveS Aug 18, 2021 9:08 am

Daily data:

Cases 33,904 (29,612 last Wednesday)
Deaths 111 (104)
Patients admitted 773 (712 on the 7th)
Patients in hospital 6,321 (5,912 on the 10th)
Patients in ventilation beds 925 (874 on the 10th)
People vaccinated up to and including 17 August 2021:
First dose: 47,413,242
Second dose: 40,987,846

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now up 7.6% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is up 7.9%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 93.6 today.

8420PR Aug 18, 2021 2:00 pm

Is this a plateau? Since the removal of restrictions it seems like cases, hospitalisations and deaths have been roughly flat. Anyone any theories?

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...47afaafd54.png


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...8beade5bf0.png

This thread has also quietened down - with the lack of restrictions everyone is happy?

alex67500 Aug 18, 2021 2:04 pm


Originally Posted by 8420PR (Post 33501592)
This thread has also quietened down - with the lack of restrictions everyone is happy?

With the vaccine rollout going well and restrictive measures being removed, I think it's fair to say the lockdown is ended so it makes sense. I wish we could say the same about the UK arrivals thread, which has recently gone over 10k replies...

Silver Fox Aug 18, 2021 2:15 pm


Originally Posted by alex67500 (Post 33501609)
With the vaccine rollout going well and restrictive measures being removed, I think it's fair to say the lockdown is ended so it makes sense. I wish we could say the same about the UK arrivals thread, which has recently gone over 10k replies...

Prof Neil Ferguson said that thread would be 100,000 replies by October. :)

VSLover Aug 18, 2021 2:29 pm


Originally Posted by 8420PR (Post 33501592)
This thread has also quietened down - with the lack of restrictions everyone is happy?

i was never unhappy.

mostly.

much like flight delays or missed connections--it was always out of my control so there wasnt much point stressing about it nor is it a challenge to act like an adult and refrain from constant whining.

(of course i still reserve the right to call out the farce of testing costs and requirements)

cauchy Aug 18, 2021 3:39 pm


Originally Posted by 8420PR (Post 33501592)
This thread has also quietened down - with the lack of restrictions everyone is happy?

On holiday abroad before the well-timed fear of another variant gets us all locked up at home again.

ahmetdouas Aug 18, 2021 4:05 pm

On the tube around 50% unmasked, no one says anything. Might as well just 'recommend' it.
At LHR mostly masked, but no one says anything if unmasked. Naturally when boarding the plane it is stricter.

So yes, the only 'lockdown' I'm feeling is paying for pre arrival and post arrival tests and doing a PLF! The E-Gates mean that it's essentially the same 'border' as was before COVID.

PxC Aug 18, 2021 4:40 pm


Originally Posted by cauchy (Post 33501859)
On holiday abroad before the well-timed fear of another variant gets us all locked up at home again.

Strange how long it’s been since any news of scary news variants.. touch wood

Life is very normal. Going to an away football match on the train a couple of weeks back was surreal, from no fans at all to completely back to normal with nothing in between. How things have switched between us and the likes of Aus/Asia. Reading the current lockdown rules in Aus was a stark throwback to how life was here not so long ago. Not meeting friends outside etc.

fransknorge Aug 18, 2021 11:31 pm


Originally Posted by 8420PR (Post 33501592)
Is this a plateau? Since the removal of restrictions it seems like cases, hospitalisations and deaths have been roughly flat. Anyone any theories?

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...47afaafd54.png


https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...8beade5bf0.png

This thread has also quietened down - with the lack of restrictions everyone is happy?

Would anyone have any sensible theories why it should not do this ? The virus is circulating, there are very little to restrict its circulation. I think the observation of short time wave that decrease quickly (like in India and Netherlands) was too much of a beacon and people hoped it would be like this in UK too. People behavior is essentially the same as pre-19th July, though, which is a good thing. But there are no reason why it should drop. Which was more or less what was forecast: thousands of deaths following the 19th July. We are now at 2000 deaths in one month. Which is much less than during the Winter wave, but significant with COVID still representing over 6% of all death in UK.
As for variants, researchers are looking at AY.3, which is now 0.9% of all cases of the UK. Characteristics yet unknown but the fact that it's gaining hold relatively quickly is noteworthy. It is in mode "Research, wait and see".

I think there was some plan for mocking of the professionals who warned that cases might not decrease and that deaths in the order of several thousands during the wave was possible (and BTW, some of those professionals are currently under police protection, because from calls of mocking it went to death threats and physical assault).
Well.

It feels like open season on Professor Neil Ferguson right now. Sections of the media and several columnists delight in castigating the epidemiologist, or “Professor Lockdown”, for being “doomster in chief”, constantly predicting catastrophe and then back-pedalling when the worst numbers don’t materialise.

It is right that scientists and evidence are scrutinised. The scientific endeavour is based on testing ideas and self-correction, and external challenges make science better. But calling scientists rude names and encouraging the public not to trust experts who revise their data and correct themselves is anti-science and anti-intellectual.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...ing-their-jobs

Dan1113 Aug 19, 2021 6:31 am

In Scotland the numbers are suddenly very large again, and the source? Asymptomatic secondary pupils testing themselves before going back to school. Loads discovered, to their surprise, that they were positive.


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