It is a random chance dependent on the type of groups flying but which seats do you think are less likely to be occupied? :) Your group is also likely to be separated.

Yep, thank you for confirming my suspicion. I'll be perfectly fine back in economy in confirmed, good seats.

Will cancel the bids once "My Trips" starts responding again...

Yes and no. You might equally end up in a window or aisle seat vacated by someone who bought Plus but bid for Business.

I can’t comment on bidding for a group of three versus one; I’ve only ever bid as a solo traveller.

Bid €50 accepted anyways.

So my flight which I bid for an upgrade is tomorrow (bid deadline). I’ve still not changed mine, and bid 6k. It does say however in MMB - ‘upgrade to PLUS’ - so will see what happens. I expect to be unsuccessful but for my partner I’ve bid 13k as lowest was that or 12k. We have fairly expensive econ tickets so not sure if that’s a factor. Both golds.

ARN-EDI Economy to Business won for 5,700
miles (not including EBD booster). This was just above minimum bid when I booked the flight anf upgrade was marketed to Plus.

Upgrade prices revised a couple of weeks ago, they stayed steady at €140/11,000 points all week, still won it.

That was my last short haul booking that I bid on at the old Go/Plus prices.

As an EBD, I bidded the upgrade (w/points) without success ATL-CPH from Plus to Business in September. How SAS credits, if upgraded, bonus and level points now after 1st Oct?

Not that I got to enjoy the “bargain”. UME-ARN was delayed 3hrs+ and the connection was lost. Will now have to chase a refund of the miles spent :td:

CPH-BOS
Plus to Business ✅️
Bid: 3650 sek

Decided to use cash since this was relatively low. The amount was 100 sek above rhe minimum(excluding EBD boost). There were 14 seats in Biz at the time I bid, there were six (6) sears remaining after I was notified at T-24 and no live auction. I am quite certain SAS will put those remaining seats up for live auction. SAS still performs dark magic when it comes to upgrades so I got nothing when it comes to explaining why my bid won.

I will be flying SK936 SFO-CPH this Friday and wondering if I should update my bid from Plus to Business. My original bid was made when the minimum bid was at 450USD, but now it's risen to 580USD. Based on the results upthread, I was going to hold with my current bid even though it's noted as being below the current minimum amount, but with SK indicating only 6 seats left (ExpertFlyer is showing 14 unselected seats, so I'm assuming 8 people just haven't paid to select their seats), it doesn't seem likely that there will be many unsold seats when check-in starts. Worth upping the bid now or wait until T-30 hrs to see what the actual seat availability looks like?

Here is what I would do (note: there is no one right answer and I maintain SAS has a logic to what they do, but they don't share it). Other people will probably have a different experience and that's okay as there is some randomness to all of this and YMMV.

SAS closes out the bidding entirely at T-6. So generally speaking, everything is open until that time. You can keep your bid and monitoring what is happening. SAS won't retract your bid, you'll just likely lose the bid unless something else happens (status impact, business decision by SAS, etc).

What I have sometimes seen is that SAS makes some initial upgrade decisions at around T-24 if your bid is deemed high enough and acceptable to SAS. Anything not allocated at that time goes to Live Bidding / Auction. When there is low inventory in business, I have also seen them go directly to Live Bidding.

Let us know how it turns out. Good luck!

Ok... I just don't understand SAS.

Booked in premium plus

T-24.5 got a notification that my bid wasn't accepted. Seat map went from 12 free seats to 6. So I guess some bids (as others reported) were accepted.

Pushed into live bidding where I increased my bid slightly 30,000 (min = 28,000) to 3X,XXX putting me at #7 (with the maximum bid at 55,000)... quite odd given the unicorn price of a regular biz ticket is 50K

Tonight I have watched the seat map fill up to just 1 seat left. But expert flyer still shows C6. What are they hoping for... sell the seats and downgrade those they upgraded? I am guessing the system is just slow (or unable) to catch up and knows they aren't going to sell 6 seats at less than 24 hours. But it gives me hope that maybe the seat map isn't accurate? Expert flyer used to show blocked vs. taken seats. Is that the case?

I know.. I am wishing for something that isn't going to happen. But still... very odd IT.

Expert Flyer has been kinda shite form my experience since the big issue with *A airlines debacle 2y ago. Just check the available seats by doing a new booking for your specific flight at SAS' own website. From what recall, SAS usually only overbooks with 1 seat IF AND ONLY IF that specific route is prone to last min cancellations

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...ee0f777da9.png
https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...bafc4f4ba6.png

I just don't understand their non-logic!!! Makes this live bidding process even more opaque and challenging.

Are you basing your logic on the seats occupied in the seatmap?

If so, maybe SK does the same thing that LOT does close-in on their flights - shows only 1 or 2 seats in each cabin nowadays...