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Good news, is this the beginning of the end for Covid19?

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Old May 30, 2021, 7:16 pm
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Last edit by: Courmisch
How to get a SARS-COV-2 (COVID-19) RT-PCR test certificate for travel from Finland?

This wiki post details the means to obtain a PCR-test test certificate in Finland for travel. It is possible to completely avoid the cartel prices of over 200€ (Terveystalo, 9Lives, etc.) by getting a certified from the public sector.

Where to get the test?

Print-at-home test result certificates are available for public sector tests taken in the following regions:
  • Uusimaa,
  • Kymi valley,
  • Northern Ostrobothnia,
  • South Karelia.
The PDF certificate for the last test taken can be downloaded from KoronaTietoni ( https://www.koronatietoni.fi/ ) within an hour after the test results are notified by SMS. You will need Finnish bank or mobile authentication codes to proceed.

It is expected that, in the second phase of deployment of the EU green pass in Finland, test results will be available from Kanta.fi regardless of locality. At the moment, Kanta.fi can only provide Finnish national vaccination certificates. In the first phase of deployment, (only) the vaccination certificates will be converted to EU format.

How to apply for the test?

There are several ways to apply for and take a suitable test:
  • If you have Covid-19 symptoms (based on self-diagnostic), you can get a test via Omaolo: https://www.omaolo.fi/
  • If you are returning to (or entering) Finland less than 14 days before the intended test date, you can apply from FinEntry: https://www.finentry.fi/
  • Visit the appointment-free test bus in poorer Helsinki districts. The schedule is available here:
    https://www.hel.fi/helsinki/coronavirus-en/social-and-health/coronavirus-test/
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Good news, is this the beginning of the end for Covid19?

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Old Nov 15, 2020, 10:41 am
  #31  
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Alongside the ejection of the Orange Loser (the one with small hands), good or at least promising news just keep on coming.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 4:33 am
  #32  
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https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11622489

According to the above, Finnair expects that latest by Q2/2021 travel will have started to recover.


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Old Nov 16, 2020, 5:42 am
  #33  
 
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Another vaccine trial given even better results (Moderna - 95% protection). Things seem to be going in right direction.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 6:23 am
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Originally Posted by lento
Another vaccine trial given even better results (Moderna - 95% protection). Things seem to be going in right direction.
How are these tests conducted? 30.000 people. Do they deliberately try to infect them with the virus to see if the vaccine works, or are they just leading a normal life and on day 90, or whatever, they test everyone to see how many are infected?

If the latter, how many of those who got the placebo were infected?
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 7:18 am
  #35  
 
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Originally Posted by ffay005
How are these tests conducted? 30.000 people. Do they deliberately try to infect them with the virus to see if the vaccine works, or are they just leading a normal life and on day 90, or whatever, they test everyone to see how many are infected?

If the latter, how many of those who got the placebo were infected?
Typically group of people (eg 30k) are vaccinated and a control group (eg 10k) are vaccinated with placebo. Then people live normal lives (as normal as they can during corona time). Then sickness rates are compared after certain amount of time (eg 3mo). If control group got 1k sick people, and actual group has 300 sick people, then working rate is 90%.

This is of course extremely simplified version.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 7:30 am
  #36  
 
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Originally Posted by zxcv1
https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11622489

According to the above, Finnair expects that latest by Q2/2021 travel will have started to recover.
Every airline hopes for the best.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 9:43 am
  #37  
 
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Starts to recover means what? That the second order derivative of the passenger-kilometer figures becomes positive?
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 10:50 am
  #38  
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Originally Posted by reflektia
Typically group of people (eg 30k) are vaccinated and a control group (eg 10k) are vaccinated with placebo. Then people live normal lives (as normal as they can during corona time). Then sickness rates are compared after certain amount of time (eg 3mo). If control group got 1k sick people, and actual group has 300 sick people, then working rate is 90%.

This is of course extremely simplified version.
Until now up to 6 weeks of follow up (where the adverse events are most likely to take place)... 3 months is optimistic.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 11:44 am
  #39  
 
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Originally Posted by TTL
Until now up to 6 weeks of follow up (where the adverse events are most likely to take place)... 3 months is optimistic.
Yeah, my explanation was super simplified. In real life, in normal vaccines there might be multiple control and test groups, different demographics (eg latinos/europeans etc), different durations etc in order to minimize possible side effects and maximize drug potential. Some vaccines don't work very well if patient is already taking drug X, is below/above certain age etc.

In this case all these "normal" procedures have been discarded and "good enough" is all that matters.
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Old Nov 16, 2020, 1:49 pm
  #40  
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Still better than the Russian one, where they had tested on a dozen people, falsified the reports and started distributing the vaccine anyway... this is not Mic....ft Office where you release a half-baked product and the users can be lab rats beta testers, for crying out loud.
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Old Nov 17, 2020, 12:15 am
  #41  
 
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Finavia estimating small increase in HEL in the end of 2021

Olemme varautuneet siihen, että talvikausi on todella hiljainen. Ensi vuoden loppupuolelle odotamme jo pientä vilkastumista. Mutta emme pääse lähellekään vuoden 2019 volyymiä. Siihen menee vuosia.

We are prepared for the fact that the winter season is really quiet. Towards the end of next year, we expect a slight pick-up. But we will not get anywhere near the 2019 volume. It will take years.
Story in Finnish: https://www.keskipohjanmaa.fi/uutinen/605219?src=rss
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Old Nov 17, 2020, 5:39 am
  #42  
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Interesting thread. I'm no real pessimist, as I still would like to imagine my two LH trips planned for April and May 2021 will not be cancelled.

But is it really 'the beginning of the end'? Many regions are presently facing a giant second beginning. The combination of irresponsive behaviour (read advice/rule non-compliance), the findings of a mutated Corona-virus strain among minks (and their caretakers) in Denmark together with the gigantic problem of having enough doses administered to the population. But do the math, if numbers in all EU countries are similar to those in Germany, with 83 million inhabitants, the 19% of assigned doses (200 M + eventually 100 M extra) will be 57 M. With two inoculations per person, and counting on the most favorable scenario, a maximum of a third of Germany's population will be vaccinated , presumably the same share in all other EU countries.

Sorry to say, but we seem to have to wait for the end of the beginning.
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Old Nov 17, 2020, 8:13 am
  #43  
 
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Originally Posted by onobond
Interesting thread. I'm no real pessimist, as I still would like to imagine my two LH trips planned for April and May 2021 will not be cancelled. (...) Sorry to say, but we seem to have to wait for the end of the beginning.
The hope is that by vaccinating smart you can vaccinate few. Specifically, if you first vaccinate the health and elderly care staff, then the high-risk people (like you try to do for seasonal influenza), then the pressure on the health care system will go down, and the most adverse constraints can be lifted. What this implies is that normal/low-risk people will actually be at higher risk of catching the virus, until they can get vaccinated later. As such, it is obvious that some adverse effects, whether from government restrictions, or from population fear, will last well into next year.

And then you have the factor that some countries will have difficulty getting vaccines, or getting the right folks vaccinated, as well as irrational thinking from public opinion and politics, and what-not.

So yes, there are still many reasons to be pessimistic about 2021.
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Old Nov 18, 2020, 5:12 am
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Bdsm
I presume the fear as such will last forever as no vaccine gives 100% certainty and there will be a need to have at least 2-3 vaccines, possibly different, every year.
But most likely outcome is a bad vaccine, not providing huge protection (you will still be sick for days after getting it in the beginning, too) plus several side effects so that noone will dare to take it as its limits become more obvious over time.
Umm... Do you know anything about vaccines? Effectiveness of 94% or 95% would be extremely high.


Last edited by SPBanker; Nov 18, 2020 at 5:51 am
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Old Nov 19, 2020, 9:14 am
  #45  
 
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Originally Posted by SPBanker
Umm... Do you know anything about vaccines? Effectiveness of 94% or 95% would be extremely high.
If vaccine is really effective, extending test period would bring percentages higher. In the previous example, if test period is extended and test group infection amount stays around the same, but control group infection amount rises 50% to 1500 (due to longer exposure), overall effectiveness rises to 93%.

That being said, 90% is already very good effectiveness.
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