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-   -   [Master Thread] Further Route Resumptions? (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/cathay-pacific-cathay/2152503-master-thread-further-route-resumptions.html)

pochi Nov 25, 2024 9:16 pm

IIRC CX said their N. America all over 90% Patronage,

For Taiwan carriers, data are shown in this webpage.
(https://www.caa.gov.tw/article.aspx?a=1752&lang=1) (Chinese only)

What comes to my concern is Sep 2024, BR flights to SFO with that much capacity, but they got 66.9% patronage...... LAX 73.5%
Even if 77W is bigger than A350-900, the thing is are there any passenger?


majorpuppy Nov 25, 2024 9:35 pm

delta TPE-SEA had a 55% load factor for 2 months in a row (probably going to have reductions next year), and most west coast flights from TPE sits at 60-75% load factors because of overcapacity and a bloodshed in TPE-SEA, frequencies doesn't mean everything. and NA isn't the only market, CX is much more present in Europe, austraila, India, south east Asia, mainland china etc. and has healthy load factors across the board globally and not just NA, at least 80% every month, even in low travel seasons. load factors are arguably more important than frequencies.

not ordering new planes- just ordered narrowbodies, A350F, 30 A339, and soon a big plane order again. is your hate and grudge for CX really that deep that you're spamming messages? cathay is not eva, they each have their different role in transit and passengers, eva focusing a lot on NA, cathay getting transit from all corners. about being conservative- its probably the opposite- CX and UO has a lot of monopoly markets and interesting, way more niche, small ones EVA also doesn't fly to. and a lot more are starting next year. a simple check on flight radar can show how many places CX and UO fly to. meanwhile EVA seems to have not added any destinations in a long time, DFW being a more predictable one.

CX860 Nov 25, 2024 9:46 pm


Originally Posted by VE105 (Post 36697260)
Thanks for your data. Quite tired of NZ777's constant nonsense assuming that none of us would have the patience to find data and slap his face. Well, even if you did, he would just go off the grid in this post for a while and continue his shxt talking in another post.

Everyone, please stop feeding the troll. The best thing do with a troll (especially one who can't add) is to just ignore.

moondog Nov 26, 2024 4:14 am


Originally Posted by brunos (Post 36697159)
WOW. I never realized that Taipei airlines had so many TATL flights.
If you add China Airline (SkyTeam) and Starlux flights to the flights operated by EVA (*A), that is a lot more flights than CX.
Of course, there are no OW airline yet and CX is likely to veto Starlux.

Compare fares on SEA-TPE with those on any CX NA route and you'll start to get sense that the underlying business business philosophies might differ a bit.

majorpuppy Nov 26, 2024 4:21 am

[QUOTE=Reply1984;36696924]Is there any public source on this? I saw some people on the a.net saying the same thing.[/QUO

I think there's only a slot filing in MUC, no announcement yet, but pretty sure it was filed for next summer, so its coming soon.

that also likely means LH isn't going to resume this route.

US HK UK flyer Nov 26, 2024 9:33 am

Relevant to some discussion in this thread, Cathay and UO together announce a return to 100% capacity by January:

https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/...gtype=homepage

In the article, HK lawmaker Jeffrey Lam called for more Belt and Road routes and singles out Ipoh in Malaysia.

Law Cheung-kwok, policy director at the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s Aviation Policy and Research Centre, lists as priority route revivals Rome and Cape Town and claims there is a need for more frequency to Australia and new routes to Europe.


Reply1984 Nov 26, 2024 6:16 pm


Originally Posted by US HK UK flyer (Post 36698359)
Relevant to some discussion in this thread, Cathay and UO together announce a return to 100% capacity by January:

https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/...gtype=homepage

In the article, HK lawmaker Jeffrey Lam called for more Belt and Road routes and singles out Ipoh in Malaysia.

Law Cheung-kwok, policy director at the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s Aviation Policy and Research Centre, lists as priority route revivals Rome and Cape Town and claims there is a need for more frequency to Australia and new routes to Europe.

In this report by SCMP, it quoted from an insider that CX would announce a few destinations in Europe next month.

An insider said the group would resume or add a few European destinations next month as it sought to expand its network.

wadia13 Nov 26, 2024 6:27 pm


Originally Posted by Reply1984 (Post 36699356)
In this report by SCMP, it quoted from an insider that CX would announce a few destinations in Europe next month.

Let me guess: Rome, Munich, London Gatwick as possibilities.

jonessher Nov 26, 2024 6:40 pm

For Europe, heard rumors of Munich and Brussels, other than that I guess it will be a UK destination. I also guess that there will be a increase of frequency for Manchester and Madrid to at least 1 daily sooner or later.

For Australia, I guess that Adelaide will resume sooner or later but Cathay will prioritise an increase in frequency for Perth and Brisbane to 2 daily, and if possible add another daily flight to Melbourne when the slot issues are sorted out.

percysmith Nov 26, 2024 7:48 pm


Originally Posted by CX860 (Post 36697368)
Everyone, please stop feeding the troll. The best thing do with a troll (especially one who can't add) is to just ignore.

Same treatment that should be afforrded to Trump and Musk.

US HK UK flyer Nov 27, 2024 2:10 am

For those watching North American resumptions:

"Booking data for the period ended July 2024 shows the top US markets for flights from Hong Kong included San Francisco, New York (JFK), Los Angeles (LAX) and Boston (BOS), Chicago (ORD) and Seattle (SEA) in order. "

https://simpleflying.com/hong-kong-a...nal-expansion/

I suspect CX will still not want to wade into the bloodbath of heavily competing Taiwanese carriers at SEA right now though.

Arbeysix Nov 27, 2024 2:12 am


Originally Posted by jonessher (Post 36699384)

For Australia, I guess that Adelaide will resume sooner or later but Cathay will prioritise an increase in frequency for Perth and Brisbane to 2 daily, and if possible add another daily flight to Melbourne when the slot issues are sorted out.

MEL is soon going back to the pre-COVID schedule of 3x daily. While I would love to see a 4th frequency, I suspect it’s unlikely.

wadia13 Nov 27, 2024 2:29 am


Originally Posted by US HK UK flyer (Post 36699906)
For those watching North American resumptions:

"Booking data for the period ended July 2024 shows the top US markets for flights from Hong Kong included San Francisco, New York (JFK), Los Angeles (LAX) and Boston (BOS), Chicago (ORD) and Seattle (SEA) in order. "

https://simpleflying.com/hong-kong-a...nal-expansion/

I suspect CX will still not want to wade into the bloodbath of heavily competing Taiwanese carriers at SEA right now though.

How is Seattle as a top market for flights from HK possible when there are no direct flights from HK to Seattle? If they're including flights involving a transit (such as Taipei), I wonder how reliable that data would be.

US HK UK flyer Nov 27, 2024 2:31 am


Originally Posted by wadia13 (Post 36699921)
How is Seattle as a top market for flights from HK possible when there are no direct flights from HK to Seattle? If they're including flights involving a transit (such as Taipei), I wonder how reliable that data would be.

Yes, the data must include connection bookings. This is typical data relied upon to assess unserved routes that do not have direct connections.

I would imagine a ton of that traffic right now is routed through Taipei.

Reply1984 Nov 27, 2024 6:27 am


Originally Posted by wadia13 (Post 36699921)
How is Seattle as a top market for flights from HK possible when there are no direct flights from HK to Seattle? If they're including flights involving a transit (such as Taipei), I wonder how reliable that data would be.

Demand between HK and Seattle should be quite solid, at least before the COVID.

IIRC, back in 2018, Cathay announced HKG-SEA launch as a 4-weekly flight service starting from April 2019, but before the inaugural flight, CX further boosted it to a daily service. They said the pre-sale data was so strong that they would rush to add more flights to Seattle. Maybe after CX starts to take the B779, we can see it back to Seattle very soon.


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