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CX HK Dec 24, 2024 2:40 am


Originally Posted by gavinchan180 (Post 36759250)
Cathay Pacific Aria Suite long-haul debut is quietly delayed until at least March/April 2025 due to slow rollout of aircrafts, you have to get at least 3x 77Js to debut long-haul Aria flights, 2nd Aria plane B-KQH won't leave the hangar at XMN until at least January 2025, SIN will deploy 77Js at least on February and LHR will deploy 77Js at least on March, B-KPE once said ''Seating reconfiguration at XMN'' but the plane left XMN without any seating reconfiguration, and then flew to BKK with the existing 77A cabins.

What's causing the slow roll out? I thought there were no supply chain issues affecting Aria Suite, unless now management has second thoughts..?

B-HQC Dec 24, 2024 2:46 am

The footwells are tigher than with Cirrus for one (in general) and the bulkheads no longer have extra space similar to the 359/35Ks. Although the doors are a minor value add, I don't see this as a net improvement from a paxex perspective at all, not to mention the reduction in F footprint. Good news if the rollout is being paused.

gavinchan180 Dec 24, 2024 3:46 am


Originally Posted by CX HK (Post 36759269)
What's causing the slow roll out? I thought there were no supply chain issues affecting Aria Suite, unless now management has second thoughts..?

the 2nd Aria-equipped aircraft B-KQH won't leave Xiamen until at least January 2025 due to supply chain issues or they need to do testing and comissioning the new Aria Suites and premium economy similar to B-KPO in storage for 3 months at Xiamen earlier this year.

jyuen Dec 24, 2024 4:44 am

Currently in 777 15A bulkhead. I prefer this to the new aria in terms of space and storage

I m guessing aria2.0 will arrive sooner or later 🤣

Merry Xmas to y'all

majorpuppy Dec 24, 2024 5:42 am


Originally Posted by QRC3288 (Post 36759114)
The term "flagship" has to be one of the most bizarre, meaningless, overused words in the mileage community!

Airlines fly the planes that make financial sense to each destination within the context of the broader network, fleet considerations, cargo, crew, distance, fleet mix, seasonality, and all sorts of other factors. The idea that certain planes are perhaps flown for prestige reasons (which I'm aware is not always what people mean by "flagship", this vague term that it is, but it often is related I think), is far more grand myth than reality. The airline industry is brutally tough as it stands without flying the wrong plane to the wrong market.



My bold. That's a pretty good reason right there!

I will add one other point: Virgin Atlantic no longer serves HKG, BA reduced capacity already (a388 + 77W/2 to either b772 +b789 or b788 + b789), and BA has further reduced capacity in the schedule to just one daily frequency.

Now compare to SFO and LAX, for example. United flies both routes 2x daily (SFO gets double daily 77W, LAX B789), and Cathay is soon returning to 3x daily for both markets. So each of LAX and SFO will be going from 3-4x daily to 5x daily. (And LAX and SFO aren't too far apart, travelers commonly fly into one and out of the other, meaning 10x dailies to HKG alone to the California West Coast). Meanwhile, LHR is going from 7x daily to 6x daily as BA cuts their second daily. To reiterate, capacity is actually decreasing in the LHR market! If I were a bean counter at CX that's be a route I'd take a hard look at for further capturing yield and maybe adding capacity.

It's just not crazy to think CX would be wise, if the numbers hold up, to press on with premium services to LHR and perhaps even add premium capacity considering the decline of the British airlines servicing HKG lately. And dare I say CX could do it with, drumroll, swapping some flights to 77J (the Aria product!). They could add capacity without worrying about LHR slots or returning to LGW, which is a more complex consideration than LHR given the lower yields.

As another point, not the biggest but one nonetheless, EK did a reasonable business sending passengers to London and from HKG as a connecting carrier and they're still not back to pre-Covid capacity in HKG. LH is still behind pre covid, and AF downsized their plane to a smaller a350 which regrettably doesn't carry F class. CX is in a great position flying to LHR and I can't fault them for trying to max it out here.


i don't think cathay would add more frequencies to london- given its added way more flights to Europe (MXP,BRU,MUC, BCN etc.) and other long haul destinations recently which directly competes with LHR due to how close it is from LHR. a lot of A359s instead of 5 B77W's pre pandemic probably describes that. london probably only gets a 77J first as its a "traditional" destination where all carriers pay a lot of attention to, and often send their new cabin products and planes to, like AI, EK, EY etc. and the 77J is pretty much a replacement for a 77K which is on CX255/250 so LHR seems like the safest and most logical bet to do it in.

HK'ers seem to travel less long haul and more regional especially japan and mainland china, from official data, due to a lot of recent events and the mess the world has become, so I think the main source of passengers in LHR comes from VFR and transit. CX serves many monopoly places or has way more frequency compared to other carriers to certain regional places (like taiwan, mainland china, japan, BKK etc.) that other carries who fly a lot to LHR don't serve nearly as much. and HKG has a geographical advantage and plenty of nearby big places, so I think that's a main reason LHR could still be so successful today even if the world has changed, added with the fact the British carriers have almost left and just benefits cathay more. i think BA goes back to a A35K to compete with a possible 77J next summer though. (right now BA sends a horrible B789)

foreign carriers (except for EY and TK recently) haven't increased capacity or added new long routes, and even downsizing routes, I guess because they couldnt really compete with cathays market share which is much higher than precovid. for example in HKG-LAX cathay had 89% load factor and UA was in the dangerous 50s in October. DFW and MUC, two places used to be served by foriegn carriers is now going to served by cathay. so the downsizing from foriegn carriers, while a pity, makes sense.

cmiller11101 Dec 25, 2024 2:12 am


Originally Posted by majorpuppy (Post 36759443)
for example in HKG-LAX cathay had 89% load factor and UA was in the dangerous 50s in October. DFW and MUC, two places used to be served by foriegn carriers is now going to served by cathay. so the downsizing from foriegn carriers, while a pity, makes sense.

Where do you get these numbers from in re: load factor? (Not disputing, just wondering.)

-Chris

tfung Dec 26, 2024 6:20 am

At the CX Diamond drinks event, I talked to the head of product development about the Aria Suites and about some of the issues and problems with the seats, and they said they are tweaking and rectifying the issues as they are being rolled out. Can only hope that the delay is because they are updating some of the issues with the first plane...

majorpuppy Dec 26, 2024 8:32 am


Originally Posted by cmiller11101 (Post 36761062)
Where do you get these numbers from in re: load factor? (Not disputing, just wondering.)

-Chris

I believe it was from some data on aircraft passengers in the US that shows load factors to everywhere from the bureau of transportation. i think other countries also have published load factor statistics- except for AKL ,most long haul markets got 85% or above from HKG. (Europe did very well)

cathayfans Dec 27, 2024 5:59 am


Originally Posted by tfung (Post 36762859)
At the CX Diamond drinks event, I talked to the head of product development about the Aria Suites and about some of the issues and problems with the seats, and they said they are tweaking and rectifying the issues as they are being rolled out. Can only hope that the delay is because they are updating some of the issues with the first plane...

But for example in April HKG-LHR 250 and 255 if they use 77J, the aria suites seating plan will be different from people who already bought their flight tickets in April, so how will Cathay solve this problem?

cxwaterboy Dec 27, 2024 6:31 am


Originally Posted by cathayfans (Post 36764786)
But for example in April HKG-LHR 250 and 255 if they use 77J, the aria suites seating plan will be different from people who already bought their flight tickets in April, so how will Cathay solve this problem?

Whatever amount of Asia Miles you can get by complaining with a side dish of internal remarks.

There has never been an equipment guarantee. It’s the same when people get kicked off first class seats on a 77A sold as 3 class. Or say a 35G is swapped for 77K. The 350s are arguably nicer but this isn’t a dealbreaker.

I don’t see how the damn door warrants a ‘Q-Suite guarantee’ when it’s paper thin. Judging from the feedback from this forum and others offline, the new products has its supporters and haters. Some might prefer the old whilst others love the new. You can never please everyone.

cathayfans Dec 27, 2024 6:40 am


Originally Posted by cxwaterboy (Post 36764847)
Whatever amount of Asia Miles you can get by complaining with a side dish of internal remarks.

There has never been an equipment guarantee. It’s the same when people get kicked off first class seats on a 77A sold as 3 class. Or say a 35G is swapped for 77K. The 350s are arguably nicer but this isn’t a dealbreaker.

I don’t see how the damn door warrants a ‘Q-Suite guarantee’ when it’s paper thin. Judging from the feedback from this forum and others offline, the new products has its supporters and haters. Some might prefer the old whilst others love the new. You can never please everyone.

So do u mean they can just change the aircraft like in April suddenly from A359 to 77J and just upgrade people from PEY, because A359 has 38 Buisness, and 77J has 45?

cxwaterboy Dec 27, 2024 6:47 am


Originally Posted by cathayfans (Post 36764863)
So do u mean they can just change the aircraft like in April suddenly from A359 to 77J and just upgrade people from PEY, because A359 has 38 Buisness, and 77J has 45?

There are way more W seats on the 77J than the 35G. You might luck out when they swap the 77A/K/J to a 35G/J. But this isn’t a novel problem and could be easily dealt with when IROPS happens. You might get upgraded or downgraded or rerouted etc.

Andrew3 Dec 31, 2024 9:05 pm

Does anyone have any idea where is the highest possibility that the Aria Suite will fly to for February? Also, when is the approximate time that CX will release the route of Aria Suite for February? Thanks and Happy New Year!

cxwaterboy Dec 31, 2024 9:09 pm


Originally Posted by Andrew3 (Post 36776820)
Does anyone have any idea where is the highest possibility that the Aria Suite will fly to for February? Also, when is the approximate time that CX will release the route of Aria Suite for February? Thanks and Happy New Year!

Happy new year! Everything is pointing towards 255/250. I can’t guarantee whether it will start long haul or will it still be short haul because of the issues with retrofitting.

Andrew3 Dec 31, 2024 9:26 pm

There is only one aircraft fitted with Aria Suite. I don't think they are able to operate long haul as a minimum of 3 aircrafts are needed in order to operate long haul. Will more 77J join the fleet in January?


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