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-   -   Local lockdowns in the UK (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/u-k-ireland/2025295-local-lockdowns-uk.html)

DaveS Jun 3, 2022 2:35 am

The latest weekly data from the ONS survey. In the week ending 27-28 May 2022:

One in 70 people in England had Covid (down from one in 60)
One in 75 in Wales had Covid (down from one in 55)
One in 75 in Northern Ireland had Covid (up from one in 80)
One in 50 in Scotland had Covid (down from one in 40)

DaveS Jun 7, 2022 2:06 pm

Some data:

England cases 6,703 (5,860 last Monday)
England deaths 17 (35)
Patients admitted in England 531 (428 on the 29th)
Patients in hospital in England 4,108 (4,036 on the 31st)
Patients in ventilation beds 116 (119 on the 31st)
Vaccinated up to and including 6 June 2022:
First dose: 44,994,083
Second dose: 42,048,616
Booster: 33,044,665

All of the indicators are on a bit of a plateau now.

DaveS Jun 10, 2022 12:02 pm

Here are the headlines from the ONS weekly survey. In the week ending 2nd June 2022:

One in 70 people in England had Covid (last week one in 70)
One in 75 in Wales had Covid (last week one in 75)
One in 65 in Northern Ireland had Covid (up from one in 75)
One in 40 in Scotland had Covid (up from one in 50)

A small increase in cases which is being reported in the media.

DaveS Jun 13, 2022 9:30 am

Some data for England today:

England cases 7,002 (8,311 last Sunday)
England deaths down 20.7% week on week
Patients admitted in England 583 (443 on the 4th)
Patients in hospital in England 4,602 (4,126 on the 6th)
Patients in ventilation beds 128 (120 on the 6th)
Vaccinated up to and including 12 June 2022:
First dose: 45,020,238
Second dose: 42,080,334
Booster: 33,090,435

Aside from deaths, the other indicators continue to rise slowly.

lhrsfo Jun 13, 2022 10:30 am

I was reading that BA.4 and BA.5 are now taking over from BA.1 and that we should expect to see an increase because they are much more infectious still. Do you think that this is behind the "rising slowly"?

DaveS Jun 13, 2022 11:02 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by lhrsfo (Post 34332192)
I was reading that BA.4 and BA.5 are now taking over from BA.1 and that we should expect to see an increase because they are much more infectious still. Do you think that this is behind the "rising slowly"?

It would be a reasonable explanation. Hopefully summer will keep a lid on it.

flashware Jun 13, 2022 11:55 pm

I'm still struggling a bit having got it just over 2 weeks ago. Triple jabbed. Could explain some of the increase in numbers, with this being slightly worse than earlier variants? Assuming I have one of the latest anyway.

squawk Jun 14, 2022 2:04 am

All other things being equal, a more infectious variant will lead to a rise in cases. Someone such as corporate-wage-slave is likely to have a handle on the latest data and may be able to provide a more detailed hypothesis, but my suspicion is that it is as lhrsfo and DaveS suggest upthread: recent increase in cases is driven by increased transmissibility, rather than anything else

KARFA Jun 14, 2022 2:19 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaveS (Post 34332292)
It would be a reasonable explanation. Hopefully summer will keep a lid on it.

I think more important factor is the high level of protection in the UK due to vaccinations and prior infections. That is very clearly the overriding reason we have continued to have no restrictions at all for many months now, and patients on ventilation and deaths just continued to fall.

flashware Jun 14, 2022 3:42 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by KARFA (Post 34334245)
I think more important factor is the high level of protection in the UK due to vaccinations and prior infections. That is very clearly the overriding reason we have continued to have no restrictions at all for many months now, and patients on ventilation and deaths just continued to fall.

Yes, I've been borderline on having to go into hospital for it and I feel vaccinations played a big part in that.

DaveS Jun 14, 2022 4:56 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashware (Post 34334338)
Yes, I've been borderline on having to go into hospital for it and I feel vaccinations played a big part in that.

I hope you recover fully soon. Like the salad in a lounge, a virus can hang around for much longer than it should.

bluemoon68 Jun 14, 2022 6:22 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashware (Post 34334051)
I'm still struggling a bit having got it just over 2 weeks ago. Triple jabbed. Could explain some of the increase in numbers, with this being slightly worse than earlier variants? Assuming I have one of the latest anyway.

Quote:

Originally Posted by squawk (Post 34334211)
All other things being equal, a more infectious variant will lead to a rise in cases. Someone such as corporate-wage-slave is likely to have a handle on the latest data and may be able to provide a more detailed hypothesis, but my suspicion is that it is as lhrsfo and DaveS suggest upthread: recent increase in cases is driven by increased transmissibility, rather than anything else

Vaccines waning is also likely to have an effect.

nk15 Jun 14, 2022 9:11 am

You need to get the second boosters going for younger ages, like the US did for those over 50 three months ago....

flashware Jun 14, 2022 9:53 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaveS (Post 34334439)
I hope you recover fully soon. Like the salad in a lounge, a virus can hang around for much longer than it should.

Thanks!

PxC Jun 14, 2022 10:03 am

Quote:

Originally Posted by nk15 (Post 34335008)
You need to get the second boosters going for younger ages, like the US did for those over 50 three months ago....

How much appetite would there be? I was quick to have my first three but no interest in having any more. Does it really even matter about infections now that it’s Omicron?


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