With delta it was five weeks after the cases peak before deaths started falling. Looking at the current numbers I think we will see the figure for deaths falling within a week.

Four to six weeks.

I wonder why in the UK we don’t report on the percentage of positive tests. Isn’t it a good indicator, especially with the number of daily tests going down?

That data is available. Have a look here:

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers...BR~DEU~ITA~FRA

The UK is currently at 7% from that, which compares favourably with other countries.

And it’s going down, which is also reassuring.

You can obviously draw your own calculation, and various data presentation websites do exactly that. Internally we've not really used it because we've long divided up the testing cases in to multiple pillars, and the one we focus a lot on - internal hospitat results of existing patients - isn't a metric used much by other people. As is well known the other devolved administrations have their approaches too, and by the time you get to international comparisons it get fairly hopeless. So in a way it's probably relaxed enough to say that below 5% you have the situation under control, over 20% you haven't and/or you aren't testing enough.

Daily data:

Cases 14,030 (23,456 last Thursday)
Deaths 248 (682)
Patients admitted 1,169 (1,479 the 17th)
Patients in hospital 13,664 (17,405 on the 20th)
Patients in ventilation beds 310 (349 on the 20th)
Vaccinated up to and including 27 April 2022:
First dose: 53,175,472
Second dose: 49,719,434
Booster: 39,226,830

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now down 32.0% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is down 2.6%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 232.6 today.

that should be 14,030 :)

I’ve not been here for over a week. Good to see the figures heading the right way.

Daily data:

Cases 12,431 (19,795 last Friday)
Deaths 216 (284)
Patients admitted 1,1260 (1,645 the 18th)
Patients in hospital 13,027 (16,465 on the 21st)
Patients in ventilation beds 302 (339 on the 21st)
Vaccinated up to and including 28 April 2022:
First dose: 53,184,869
Second dose: 49,727,305
Booster: 39,248,005

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now down 35.1% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is down 16.1%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 222.9 today.

This weeks ONS survey is out. This is the BBC reporting of it:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-61270786

The Easter bunny finally did its job this year, as originally planned...:D

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...d1058e33d5.gif

Daily data:

Cases 8,909 (16,579 last Tuesday)
Deaths 101 (451)
Patients admitted 1,198 (1,497 the 20th)
Patients in hospital 12,475 (15,920 on the 22nd)
Patients in ventilation beds 304 (326 on the 22nd)
Vaccinated up to and including 28 May 2022:
First dose: 53,184,869
Second dose: 49,727,305
Booster: 39,248,005

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now down 39.5% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is down 48.2%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 167.6 today. No jab update today. The figures will be affected by the bank holiday, so do not take too much from the fall in cases today.

Daily data:

Cases 16,611 (17,224 last Wednesday)
Deaths 227 (304)
Patients admitted 798 (1,195 the 23rd)
Patients in hospital 11,590 (14,132 on the 26th)
Patients in ventilation beds 278 (326 on the 26th)
Vaccinated up to and including 28 April 2022:
First dose: 53,189,550
Second dose: 49,730,039
Booster: 39,254,038

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now down 35.6% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is down 46.8%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 156.6 today. The vaccination updates are now changing to weekly. There is also some missing deaths data for England which will be corrected in the next few days.

Daily data:

Cases 12,487 (14,030 last Thursday)
Deaths 438 (248)
Patients admitted 896 (1,180 the 24th)
Patients in hospital 11,256 (13,693 on the 27th)
Patients in ventilation beds 277 (310 on the 27th)
Vaccinated up to and including 28 April 2022:
First dose: 53,189,550
Second dose: 49,730,039
Booster: 39,254,038

The rolling seven day daily average for cases is now down 31.5% on the previous week and the same measure for deaths is down 21.0%. The rolling 7 day daily average for deaths is 183.7 today. Today's figure for deaths includes a backlog.