upgrade question
 

Hi I'm an EP (through status pass) with around 90k rolling LPs flying from SFO-CLT on an 11:52 pm redeye on an upcoming Monday night (5/20). I am flying with a companion, there are 4 seats available in First, how likely do you think I'll get upgraded with my companion at T-100 or upgraded in general. My LPs are certainly lower than other EPs however I hope I can still get upgraded on this redeye. Would appreciate any insight especially on this route/day/time or just anything in general, thanks!!

Question regarding using miles to upgrade on a paid domestic AA flight without status... Need to go ALB to southern CA and looking at options:

I've read several pages here and searched several sites, but I still don't understand something. If I find a flight on AA that ExpertFlyer shows has C availability (Example below of ALB-CLT showing C5 on 5/21) and I want to use miles (15,000 + $75) to upgrade to 1st from a paid regular economy fare, will I be confirmed into the upgrade at time of booking if I do this over the phone, since C shows 5? Or does that simply put me on the waitlist with others who have put in for some sort of upgrade, meaning I never have a chance with no status because those 5 will clear at some point up to flight time? I just don't understand if mileage upgrades from paid fares clear immediately if C space is showing? Thanks for helping an AA noob with 100,000 miles and a few paid work flights coming up.

Business - Upgrade (Including 2-Cabin Domestic First) https://www.expertflyer.com/include/images/help.png C 5 AA 1857 0 ALB
05/21/24; 5:15 PM CLT 05/21/24 7:25 PM 320 Daily 58% / 27m

With no status, usually, you will be upgraded at the gate.

That is correct, if EF shows C space available then you can confirm the upgrade immediately when you call in. No waitlist.

As always just make sure you are using the "Awards & Upgrades" search ar EF and search segment by segment, not the whole itinerary.

Is American selling more upgrade options in 2023/2024? Had a pretty good run in early 2023 with complimentary upgrades (flying out of PHL, EXP for the first time in 2023). Then later in 2023, and now in 2024, I'm getting more "upgrade your flight for $XXX". It seems like since then I'm not getting the free upgrades.

Or is this something normal that I didn't see when I was Platinum/Plat Pro levels.

Thanks

Yes, AA is making a much greater effort to monetize the F cabin, particularly by selling upgrades in the App. You are not imagining things. If you want F, buy F. Or take a chance spinning the upgrade roulette wheel.

Yes, exactly. Even as a CK, I spent an extra $90 for two segments this week (app was offering $220 and $97, however the fare difference was way less) to avoid potentially getting stuck in a middle seat (two seats open on a 319 a week out). My outbound segments cleared without issue, but I also had exit rows so not the end of the world if I didn’t clear.

More flights, more upgrades.

This week:

DEN-PHL, A321, Wednesday, ~12pm: cleared at 26 hours
PHL-DCA, CR9, Wednesday, ~6pm: cleared at 100 hours
DCA-ORD, A319, Saturday, 10am: cleared at 100 hours.
ORD-DEN, 7M8, Saturday, ~12pm: cleared at 100 hours.

EXP, somewhere between 250k and 275k rolling LP.

LGA-STL Monday, UG at T-100, even on an A319

What is the business class demand like on MIA-SCL, during the (South American) winter months? Will the cabin usually sell out, or do SWUs have a chance at clearing? It's a 787-8, so that already steepens the odds.

AA is selling the cabin at like $8000/600K miles, so revenue management obviously plans on selling the seats...

Status: EP
Current LPs: about 250,000

DCA-SAV cleared at T-8 hours. Flight was filled 3/9 on a CR7 at T-100 but no upgrade. Inventory dwindled down to 2/9 at T-24 hours. Upgraded overnight. Almost pulled the trigger on the $70 upgrade since it looks like I might have a surplus of Amex dollars this year.
SAV-MIA cleared at T-100 hours
MIA-DCA no joy. 100% full at T-100 hours

Stl-lga ug t-100, e75

If you must travel in F then you need to buy it.

Anything else is a roll of the dice.

Is there a page that shows me how many LPs I've earned in the rolling 12-month period?