Chance of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2024 Master Thread)
 

If I drop a status level in January do I get upgraded based on the higher status I held at booking or the status on the actual day of departure?

By the book it's your status on the day of departure that counts, however with AA sometimes an old status can "stick" to a reservation if it changes from the time you book it to the time you fly. YMMV.

It's your status on the day of departure that matters, not when booked. That said, sometimes status levels can be "sticky" in the reservation so it's possible that the system would still show your old status and you might get upgraded based on that. But if the "system" refreshes your reservation or anything, then it will likely be reset to your new, lower status and that is what your upgrade priority would be based on.

If you old status holds in the reservation consider it a gift, but you should plan for/expect the lower status to be reflected and shouldn't be miffed if that is how it goes down.

Regards

What is my chances of an upgrade on a PHX-CLT red eye? Ditto for PHX-PHL or PHX-MIA. TIA!

16.7%

Without status? Pretty low.

lol, sorry. Platinum.

I guess my question is, which has the best chance of upgrading. My guess is PHX-MIA is approximately 0%

AA Gold

12/25/23
MDT-CLT #1525 A319 - cleared with companion around T-12 (overnight). Ended up not on the flight, as it had issues upon arrival to MDT and was delayed. They weren't sure they'd get a plane that day, so we drove to BWI to pick up:
BWI-CLT #2260 A319 - Agent at ticket counter at MDT rebooked us into row 1. This flight ended up delayed a few hours as well.
CLT-MSY #2615 A321 - cleared with companion around T-12. Ended up not on the flight, as my BWI-CLT flight that replaced the MDT-CLT flight was also delayed. Rebooked onto:

12/26
CLT-MSY #1526 A321 - cleared with companion a few minutes after rebooking the previous night's missed connection.

It was a stressful travel day, as we were leaving on a cruise on 12/26. Got comped a hotel stay in CLT and a meal voucher ($12/each). Waited in the check in line at the Courtyard by Marriott BG Parkway for about 90 minutes. Got a room around 2am.

Pretty low even as Platinum. I cleared as EXP on a recent PHX-PHL redeye, but the list was 35+ long. Hard to know how many were EXPs. I was fully expecting to be in my exit row seat, but was called to the podium about 15 minutes before boarding.

Well where were you on the list and how many LPs do you have? that would give a pretty good idea as to how many EXPs were on the flight.

#4 after OLCI, #2 at gate. 275k LPs

I would guess maybe 5 of those were EXP. As PPRO I was consistently 1 or 2 on the list of 20 plus on PHL and EWR routes. Just made EXP so well see how it goes for 2024.

Maybe we can close this one down and create a 2024 edition?

Not the answer I was hoping for but thanks for the info.

My mom gets upgraded regularly as a gold on the PHX-DCA red eye.

I was traveling in mid-December and flights back east were impacted by storms on the East Coast, so that may have had something to do with it. Two friends that were on the same flight are Gold and were 12/13 on the list. So not many Plat Pro and Plats between me and them.