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Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread)

Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread)

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Old Oct 13, 18, 11:59 am   -   Wikipost
Please read: This is a community-maintained wiki post containing the most important information from this thread. You may edit the Wiki once you have been on FT for 90 days and have made 90 posts.
 
Last edit by: aztimm
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Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing
NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes.

"New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017

(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
  • Elite status
    1. Concierge Key
      • Executive Platinum
        • Platinum Pro
          • Platinum
            • Gold
    • Upgrade type
      1. Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
        • 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
          • 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)

      • Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months
        • Booking class
          • Time of request"


See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017

Link to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017

Updated 17 Dec 2017 by aztimm
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Old Nov 21, 18, 7:38 am
  #751  
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: DFW
Programs: AA EXP, LT Gold
Posts: 2,989
Originally Posted by PlatinumScum View Post
As an EXP with approximately 25K EQD, I am 0/5 on SWU upgrades this year - 2x DFW-LHR, LHR-DFW, and this week's DFW-CLT-RDU, RDU-DFW. (CLT-RDU did clear, but I asked to be put back in economy.)
Wow, really? What day time were your LHR flights? I've cleared all my LHR flights this year (8 of them?), and most of them cleared well before the airport.
econometrics is offline  
Old Nov 21, 18, 9:10 am
  #752  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Frisco, TX
Programs: The Airline Run by Doug P
Posts: 21,452
Originally Posted by PlatinumScum View Post
As an EXP with approximately 25K EQD, I am 0/5 on SWU upgrades this year - 2x DFW-LHR, LHR-DFW, and this week's DFW-CLT-RDU, RDU-DFW. (CLT-RDU did clear, but I asked to be put back in economy.)
What do you think about the value of SWU’s?
enviroian is online now  
Old Nov 21, 18, 11:17 am
  #753  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: DFW
Programs: AA 1MM
Posts: 185
02/15/19-02/23/19 DFW/MIA-EZE/SCL-DFW/MIA, in Business. I am trying to get the long sectors in a lie flat. I will be EXP in late December, if that matters?
tikchik is offline  
Old Nov 21, 18, 12:25 pm
  #754  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Frisco, TX
Programs: The Airline Run by Doug P
Posts: 21,452
Originally Posted by tikchik View Post
02/15/19-02/23/19 DFW/MIA-EZE/SCL-DFW/MIA, in Business. I am trying to get the long sectors in a lie flat. I will be EXP in late December, if that matters?
What instruments are you seeking to upgrade?
enviroian is online now  
Old Nov 21, 18, 5:03 pm
  #755  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: DFW
Programs: AA 1MM
Posts: 185
Right now would be miles + copay. After I get EXP, would SWU or Miles + copay have priority?

I need to be in SCL by lunch time on 02/16.

I have not booked a coach ticket yet, still flexible on routing, but dates are locked.
tikchik is offline  
Old Nov 22, 18, 2:33 pm
  #756  
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: QDF
Programs: AA EXP (2MM), Marriott Tit
Posts: 1,003
Originally Posted by econometrics View Post
Wow, really? What day time were your LHR flights? I've cleared all my LHR flights this year (8 of them?), and most of them cleared well before the airport.
Both DFW-LHR flights were Saturday evening. LHR-DFW was Satruday afternoon.
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Old Nov 22, 18, 2:34 pm
  #757  
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: QDF
Programs: AA EXP (2MM), Marriott Tit
Posts: 1,003
Originally Posted by enviroian View Post
What do you think about the value of SWU’s?
What do you think I think about the value of SWUs? ;-)
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Old Nov 23, 18, 12:09 am
  #758  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Frisco, TX
Programs: The Airline Run by Doug P
Posts: 21,452
Originally Posted by PlatinumScum View Post
What do you think I think about the value of SWUs? ;-)
It doesn’t matter. Whenever I complain I get beat to death on here.

Tough crowd.
enviroian is online now  
Old Nov 23, 18, 4:41 am
  #759  
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: DFW
Posts: 252
Originally Posted by PlatinumScum View Post
Both DFW-LHR flights were Saturday evening. LHR-DFW was Satruday afternoon.
Being based in DFW those are some of the hardest to clear. I usually route thru MIA and I have cleared all of mine.
shaddie is offline  
Old Nov 23, 18, 11:14 am
  #760  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: LAS/DXB
Programs: AA CK, EK Platinum
Posts: 1,019
AA108 LAX-LHR 11/25 J7 - lets see if it works out this time.
ckx2 is offline  
Old Nov 24, 18, 11:13 am
  #761  
Moderator: American AAdvantage, Travel Safety/Security & Texas, FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: AUS / GRK
Programs: AA, HHonors, Hertz
Posts: 12,099
LAX-PVG: Cleared about 2 months in advance
PVG-LAX: Cleared about 15 hours in advance (I've been checking multiple times a day).

AUS-LAX: was supposed to clear when C opened (part of the same itinerary), I called about 3 days before when I saw C2 and they pushed it through (flight actually went out with 1 vacant seat in F).
LAX-AUS: about 15 hours in advance I noticed that my seat assignment disappeared (says, "select your seat."). There are 2 vacant seats in F (according to the AA website and EF). Just to be safe, I selected another (of course my original is gone, but surprisingly there was another exit row). Perhaps the upgrade went through? Flight looks completely packed (Sunday after Thanksgiving),so I may take a voluntary bump for the right offer, including Monday.
aztimm is offline  
Old Nov 25, 18, 1:00 pm
  #762  
nrr
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: jfk area
Programs: AA platinum; 2MM AA, Delta Diamond, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 9,391
I'm waitlisted for an SWU on AA#101 (LHR-JFK) on Nov. 26. 12 hours ago (per EF) it had J3 and the seat map showed 12 empty seats in BC, now it is J1 and 2 empty seats, was there a mass stampede to fly in BC in the last several hours?--it could also be a glitch(???). I'll find out when I get to LHR (after flying from ZRH to LHR) if my upgrade will clear.
In another thread it was suggested that Y is overbooked and they will roll Y to BC...shouldn't I (as an EXP) been rolled?
nrr is offline  
Old Nov 25, 18, 5:02 pm
  #763  
 
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: JFK
Programs: AA Executive Platinum, Marriott Platinum Elite, Hilton Gold
Posts: 29
I'm waitlisted for a SWU on AA193 (LAX-HKG) on 12/4. According to EF it is showing J7 (seatmap shows 14 open seats in business) but C0 for upgrades. Assuming there aren't a lot of last-minute bookings, when would my upgrade clear? 100 hours out?

On the way back I'm also waitlisted on AA126 (HKG-DFW) on 12/18 which shoes J7 (and 22 open seats on the EF seatmap).

I'm booked in PE at the moment...hopefully both ways will clear!
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Old Nov 25, 18, 7:24 pm
  #764  
 
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: San Diego
Programs: Aadvantage
Posts: 807
Domestic trips seem to be over for the year. I ended up with one upgrade (YVR-PHX) out of fourteen as a Plat with around $10K rolling spend and I had 1 flight in PE (SYD-LAX) where I missed out on a miles + copay. Everything else was paid F and J on international leisure trips.
Reetmafreen is offline  
Old Nov 26, 18, 7:19 am
  #765  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Programs: AA MM, AA EXP; OW Emerald, EK silver
Posts: 588
Can anyone with Expert Flyer assess my chances of a miles + cash upgrade on AA 106 12/21. Currently in economy and waitlisted for an upgrade. Am platinum pro but only $13 K EQD this year. Thanks.
dwugson is offline  

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