2015 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Upgrade Availability Discussion (consolidated)
Jul 19, 2015, 6:21 pm
#661
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: JFK > LGA >> EWR
Programs: AA EXP 1.2mm, Kimpton IC, Starwood Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,180
Actually A321H, and there's a separate thread on that.
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...awaii-lax.html
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/ameri...awaii-lax.html
Jul 20, 2015, 9:33 am
#662
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: California
Programs: AA EXP...couple hotels and cars too
Posts: 4,548
He is GOLD. using stickers
Every EP, Plt (using any instrument) and Gold using miles or swus will be in front of him
At they end of the day we are all just guessing of course...
Thinking 'nobody wants to fly xmas eve' is true for many, but there will be plenty of folks that fill these plans- gotta work up to the holiday; last minute; dont celebrate xmas; weather delay on prior flighr, missed connections, etc etc
It will be what it will be, just hate giving false hope.
Jul 20, 2015, 9:57 am
#663
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: JFK > LGA >> EWR
Programs: AA EXP 1.2mm, Kimpton IC, Starwood Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,180
When I was Gold the times when I actually got upgraded were holidays.
F class demand is extremely soft around the holidays. J is quite soft too. Y is very strong. Most likely Y will fill up (overbook) with kettles, the few paid J fares will get bumped to F, and the rest will be filled with stickers and op-ups.
F class demand is extremely soft around the holidays. J is quite soft too. Y is very strong. Most likely Y will fill up (overbook) with kettles, the few paid J fares will get bumped to F, and the rest will be filled with stickers and op-ups.
Jul 20, 2015, 10:21 am
#664
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: DCA
Posts: 7,769
Plus all of the OTHER people thinking "nobody wants to fly xmas eve". Last couple times I traveled on actual holidays, it was quite crazy.
Jul 20, 2015, 10:48 am
#665
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Austin, TX - AUS
Programs: AA Platinum, Hilton, Hyatt, IHG, Marriott
Posts: 1,625
Thinking 'nobody wants to fly xmas eve' is true for many, but there will be plenty of folks that fill these plans- gotta work up to the holiday; last minute; dont celebrate xmas; weather delay on prior flighr, missed connections, etc etc
It will be what it will be, just hate giving false hope.
It will be what it will be, just hate giving false hope.
Jul 20, 2015, 2:18 pm
#666
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: SNA
Posts: 18,240
Christmas is Friday, a lot of people will be taking off for a long weekend on Thursday.
Hawaii is always leisure heavy, not sure the holidays affect that. Lots of people on cheaper leisure F tickets. It's a rough sticker upgrade.
Hawaii is always leisure heavy, not sure the holidays affect that. Lots of people on cheaper leisure F tickets. It's a rough sticker upgrade.
Jul 24, 2015, 11:45 am
#667
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: NorCal
Programs: AA EXP, Marriott GLD, HH PLT, Hertz 5*
Posts: 766
Premium flyer % flying on weekends
Just a thought whilst I was recently analyzing my own probabilities of EXP upgrades on a weekend SFO-DFW and return ORD-SFO.
AA382 ORD-SFO on 1st Aug is almost completely devoid of any premium flyers, whereas SFO-DFW on 26th July has almost non MCE seats available.
So just wondered if there are any more analysis of % of travellers on weekends being PLT/EXP.
/BM
AA382 ORD-SFO on 1st Aug is almost completely devoid of any premium flyers, whereas SFO-DFW on 26th July has almost non MCE seats available.
So just wondered if there are any more analysis of % of travellers on weekends being PLT/EXP.
/BM
Jul 24, 2015, 11:54 am
#668
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: LGA/JFK/EWR
Programs: UA 1K1.75MM, Hyatt Globalist, abandoned Marriott LTT (RIP SPG), Hertz PC
Posts: 21,172
Not surprising - less business travel on the weekends, and given that business flyers likely over-index on having status, weekends thus should be easier
Jul 24, 2015, 1:44 pm
#669
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: JFK > LGA >> EWR
Programs: AA EXP 1.2mm, Kimpton IC, Starwood Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,180
I've found that Sundays (especially evenings) can have a lot of elite flyers, while Saturdays have almost none.
Jul 24, 2015, 3:25 pm
#670
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: California
Programs: AA EXP...couple hotels and cars too
Posts: 4,548
Folks (consultants, business) will tend to 'position' on a late Sunday flight to hit Monday on the ground.
You only fly Saturday when Friday gets MX/WX.
You will see odd stuff for international flights- into LHR both Sat and Sun can be busy, Friday headed over seems less so.
Jul 25, 2015, 1:28 pm
#671
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: DCA/IAD
Programs: AA EXP; 1W Emerald; HHonors Diamond; Marriott Gold; UA dirt
Posts: 7,819
On flights which are less than 500 miles in length, are upgrades processed by the standard gates or are they all done day of the flight?
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
Jul 25, 2015, 3:48 pm
#672
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: AUS
Programs: AA Exec Platinum/MM, DL Gold/MM, Hilton Diamond, Accor Platinum, Hertz Presidents Circle
Posts: 6,978
On flights which are less than 500 miles in length, are upgrades processed by the standard gates or are they all done day of the flight?
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
Jul 25, 2015, 4:13 pm
#673
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: ORD
Programs: AA EXP, Hyatt Diamond, Marriott Gold, Hilton Gold, Hertz PC
Posts: 449
Anyone have any SWU experiences on the Dreamliner's international routes? There was a lot of concern that upgrades would be hard to come by and I am curious as to how that is panning out.
I am sure that waitlist is standard and that confirming immediately is nonexistent.
I am sure that waitlist is standard and that confirming immediately is nonexistent.
Jul 25, 2015, 4:32 pm
#674
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: California
Programs: AA EXP...couple hotels and cars too
Posts: 4,548
On flights which are less than 500 miles in length, are upgrades processed by the standard gates or are they all done day of the flight?
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
I've got a flight that is 3 days off (less than 72 hours now), and Expert Flyer is showing A6, but I've not yet upgraded. I did the request when first booked (two months ago)...
They will let people burn miles or SWUs, but will wait until 25 hrs (likely) to make any adjustments.
Jul 25, 2015, 11:27 pm
#675
Join Date: Jun 2014
Posts: 394
Friday 8am msy-dfw didnt clear, was left at 5 or 6 on upgrade list. Checked in for 1230pm flight dfw-msy tomorrow and cleared by 1pm. Friday was the first time I have not cleared the msy-dfw or dfw-msy route ( 4 of 5 so far as gold this year).