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AC 838/839 Winter Changes; Air Canada drops Ottawa-Frankfurt flight for winter

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AC 838/839 Winter Changes; Air Canada drops Ottawa-Frankfurt flight for winter

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Old Sep 2, 2014, 7:15 am
  #46  
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Ontario, CAN
Posts: 5,813
Originally Posted by FlyB
By the sounds of it YEG will have FI (daily during summer, and 3-4x weekly winter) and KLM (4xweekly) serving Europe next year, it will be interesting to see the reaction.
Has KLM announced YEG? Where are you hearing 4w YEGAMS??
Edit: Poking around online seems lots of speculation it's just a matter of time until KLM announces YEG 4w. Good for them. An interesting TATL summer season coming to YEG in 2015. Who's going to blink first?
Originally Posted by Jagboi
My guess is that AC must use their slots at LHR to be able to retain them, FRA isn't as slot constrained as LHR thus probably not as difficult to reinstate a flight to FRA.
YOWLHR has had day of week reductions in previous winters.
O/D traffic is far more profitable than CNX.

Last edited by CloudsBelow; Sep 2, 2014 at 8:07 am
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 8:51 am
  #47  
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: YEG
Posts: 3,717
Originally Posted by Ben Smith
Many people fly AF and KL from YOW. Both offer dedicated bus service between YOWYUL.
Considering that this requires a significantly earlier departure and an in-convenient 2h ride to Montreal I call shenanigans on that.

And you really expect people to connect to YYZ in the winter out of YOW? One difference between YOW and YYZ is YOW operates when a sprinkle of snow comes across her, unlike YYZ that shuts down for 3 days stranding thousands. Maybe those bean counters should perhaps count the beans again keeping in mind the thousands, nay millions lost in hotels/meals/overtime/idle aircraft/fuel, etc etc etc wasted at YYZ for winter ops versus say YOW. Maybe instead of cutting flights, those same flights should be cut/reduced in YYZ and increased or have new routes launched in the winter months to take advantage of an operable airport?

Oh wait, none of this has anything to do with LOGIC, or YOW, or profit; rather directly related to, we need another plane converted to ROUGE.

I suppose things might be different if there wasn't a delay to the original arrival dates of the 787, but I can guarantee that if you are scared of AF/KLM/LX siphoning traffic with the bus service and you cut the direct flights, only more will say to hell with it and take the bus or the lousy US connection.

Last edited by hearna; Sep 2, 2014 at 9:13 am
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 10:00 am
  #48  
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
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Originally Posted by hearna
Considering that this requires a significantly earlier departure and an in-convenient 2h ride to Montreal I call shenanigans on that.

And you really expect people to connect to YYZ in the winter out of YOW? One difference between YOW and YYZ is YOW operates when a sprinkle of snow comes across her, unlike YYZ that shuts down for 3 days stranding thousands. Maybe those bean counters should perhaps count the beans again keeping in mind the thousands, nay millions lost in hotels/meals/overtime/idle aircraft/fuel, etc etc etc wasted at YYZ for winter ops versus say YOW. Maybe instead of cutting flights, those same flights should be cut/reduced in YYZ and increased or have new routes launched in the winter months to take advantage of an operable airport?

Oh wait, none of this has anything to do with LOGIC, or YOW, or profit; rather directly related to, we need another plane converted to ROUGE.

I suppose things might be different if there wasn't a delay to the original arrival dates of the 787, but I can guarantee that if you are scared of AF/KLM/LX siphoning traffic with the bus service and you cut the direct flights, only more will say to hell with it and take the bus or the lousy US connection.
Are you under the impression that AC would axe a profitable route?
kevy_boy is offline  
Old Sep 2, 2014, 10:31 am
  #49  
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,130
Originally Posted by kevy_boy
Are you under the impression that AC would axe a profitable route?
If restricting capacity can boost yields on other flights, then why not? Save the cost of operating a marginally profitable route, and change the demand supply dynamic for the connecting flight.
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 10:35 am
  #50  
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Ontario, CAN
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Originally Posted by hearna
Considering that this requires a significantly earlier departure and an in-convenient 2h ride to Montreal I call shenanigans on that.
You think Ben made up the AF/KL bus service notion? Or, the bus service exists, It just runs back and forth without passengers?
Originally Posted by hearna
And you really expect people to connect to YYZ in the winter out of YOW? One difference between YOW and YYZ is YOW operates when a sprinkle of snow comes across her, unlike YYZ that shuts down for 3 days
Or YUL.
I do agree with you though. I've driven to YUL through snowstorms a couple times because I knew my Dash-8 would be delayed or cancelled on YOWYUL. Always want your first flight to be on the bigger aircraft. That's the real downer for Ottawa travellers losing FRA service this Winter.
Originally Posted by kevy_boy
Are you under the impression that AC would axe a profitable route?
Haha. Exactly. We all know AC will cut profitable routes exYEG for laughs and spite, but Ottawa too?? No way
CloudsBelow is offline  
Old Sep 2, 2014, 11:22 am
  #51  
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 3,130
Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
You think Ben made up the AF/KL bus service notion? Or, the bus service exists, It just runs back and forth without passengers?
Nope. It exists. Its still a red herring since its pretty obvious that it only caters to price-sensitive travelers who have time to burn. AC can just as easily cater to that crowd, but isn't interested because its too low-yield. Portraying it as a serious competitor inolves a little too much exaggeration. Its not going to be popular with the business crowd, even those flying in Y, for obvious reasons.

I'm not surprised its going. It was always cited as a marginal case. I suspect its the same with 888/889. Last time I tried to book LHR-YOW on a Monday (IIRC in May), it simply wasn't operating.
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 12:19 pm
  #52  
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Ontario, CAN
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Originally Posted by yulred
I'm not surprised its going. It was always cited as a marginal case. I suspect its the same with 888/889. Last time I tried to book LHR-YOW on a Monday (IIRC in May), it simply wasn't operating.
Agreed. Always thought the YOWFRA marginal route talk from AC was posturing wrt ME3. Guess not.

Bottom line, YOW gets 7w to LHR this Winter instead of the 11w total between LHR and FRA. Really only hits the beyond Europe connections as double connect or USA connections are far from a sure thing during Winter ops.
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 12:43 pm
  #53  
Formerly known as tireman77
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
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I have a friend that often uses Via fro YUL to Ottawa. Often takes less time than connecting. I would assume it doesn't always work time wise, but when it does it appears to me a good alternative.

Also FYI, YUL does back up when it snows... only because of delays in/out YYZ. I remember many years back in ORD flying home and looking at the board. YYZ-cancelled. BYF, cancelled, BTV cancelled, YOW cancelled, BOS cancelled. Montreal-On Time. We were the second last flight in and the NW 727 that landed after us taxied off the runway into a snow back and needed to be pulled out. Got to love YUL for that.
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 12:46 pm
  #54  
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: YEG
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Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
Agreed. Always thought the YOWFRA marginal route talk from AC was posturing wrt ME3. Guess not.

Bottom line, YOW gets 7w to LHR this Winter instead of the 11w total between LHR and FRA. Really only hits the beyond Europe connections as double connect or USA connections are far from a sure thing during Winter ops.
It also hits when irrops WILL (key word) happen in YYZ, those passengers wont have the extra option of being routed through YOW….

Less choices will simply impact more people and have less options for IRROPS
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Old Sep 2, 2014, 11:25 pm
  #55  
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Programs: AC, A3*G AB-G
Posts: 155
Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
Agreed. Always thought the YOWFRA marginal route talk from AC was posturing wrt ME3. Guess not.

Bottom line, YOW gets 7w to LHR this Winter instead of the 11w total between LHR and FRA. Really only hits the beyond Europe connections as double connect or USA connections are far from a sure thing during Winter ops.
Having flown YOW-FRA many times, I would tend to believe the "85% of passengers connect in FRA to their final destination" statistic, but the final destinations are quite diverse (Europe, ME, Africa, India,...).

They are only going to be able to support a small number of those destinations on *A out of LHR, and I am surprised that they can support a daily LHR flight on O/D and a limited number of connecting flights. For all the FRA-connectors, they are hoping/planning that enough will deal with a connection in YYZ/YUL to raise the loads on those flights and are willing to forego the rest.

AC economics aside, it is pretty sad that a greater than 1-million person market cannot support more than one TATL flight in the off-season. YOW in general seems to be going backwards, losing on US connections, losing FRA, ... but building lots of parking garages.
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Old Sep 3, 2014, 10:36 am
  #56  
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 186
Originally Posted by yulred
Nope. It exists. Its still a red herring since its pretty obvious that it only caters to price-sensitive travelers who have time to burn. AC can just as easily cater to that crowd, but isn't interested because its too low-yield. Portraying it as a serious competitor inolves a little too much exaggeration. Its not going to be popular with the business crowd, even those flying in Y, for obvious reasons.

I'm not surprised its going. It was always cited as a marginal case. I suspect its the same with 888/889. Last time I tried to book LHR-YOW on a Monday (IIRC in May), it simply wasn't operating.
I'm sure AC caters to those people too, they can just connect them to YUL in the air while AF/klm can't so run the bus. They have to fill those HD planes somehow.
Wallace99 is offline  
Old Sep 3, 2014, 10:46 am
  #57  
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: YEG
Posts: 3,717
Originally Posted by Wallace99
I'm sure AC caters to those people too, they can just connect them to YUL in the air while AF/klm can't so run the bus. They have to fill those HD planes somehow.
If this was a HD thing then LHR would have been axed over FRA....
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Old Sep 3, 2014, 11:41 am
  #58  
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: YEG - No Particular Loyalty Anymore
Posts: 3,610
Originally Posted by djkyyc
So when UA cuts a YEG route it's totally okay, just a business decision, righting the ship and calmly accepted. When AC does the same it's to punish YEG'ers?
I'm not pleased at all that it was cut. I'm enjoying AA now.

No punishment anymore. Now that EIA and YEG have wised up to the charade, we have plenty of air service and it does not have to go via YYC or YYZ.
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Old Sep 4, 2014, 7:59 am
  #59  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: YOW
Programs: TK*S, SPG Gold
Posts: 714
Originally Posted by Gus2013
Having flown YOW-FRA many times, I would tend to believe the "85% of passengers connect in FRA to their final destination" statistic, but the final destinations are quite diverse (Europe, ME, Africa, India,...).

They are only going to be able to support a small number of those destinations on *A out of LHR, and I am surprised that they can support a daily LHR flight on O/D and a limited number of connecting flights. For all the FRA-connectors, they are hoping/planning that enough will deal with a connection in YYZ/YUL to raise the loads on those flights and are willing to forego the rest.

AC economics aside, it is pretty sad that a greater than 1-million person market cannot support more than one TATL flight in the off-season. YOW in general seems to be going backwards, losing on US connections, losing FRA, ... but building lots of parking garages.
It is unfortunate what's been happening with YOW over the last few years. But in all fairness, the tech sector is nowhere near as strong as in the past, and the Feds have been axing travel in addition to cutting jobs. I remember hearing that YOW actually at one point had a daily direct flight to San Jose!

And on the parking - I seem to recall there was actually a report published about 2 years ago that actually criticized the airport and said that they make far too much money on parking (and that they should lower their rates). So what did they do? They raised parking rates even more!

However, it does remain probably my favourite Canadian airport.
jcamp028 is offline  
Old Sep 4, 2014, 12:36 pm
  #60  
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 627
Not surprising, YOW is stagnant compared to the other major Canadian airports.

YYZ: Jan-June 18,371,030 (+5.6%), rolling 12 mo: 37,088,499
YVR: Jan-July 11,151,541 (+8.1%), rolling 12 mo: 18,808,653
YYC: Jan-July 8,765,398. (+7.5%), rolling 12 mo: 14,930,945
YUL: Jan-June 7,155,071 (+3.0%), rolling 12 mo: 14,304,334
YEG: Jan-July 4,769,759 (+8.1%), rolling 12 mo: 8,054,263
YOW: Jan-July 2,701,958 (+0.2%), rolling 12 mo: 4,584,278
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