Last edit by: WineCountryUA
Archive thread
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
#61
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Upgrades on Saturdays are difficult. You'd be surprised at how many people do buy those seats. Furthermore, for people with high Premier status, UA provides upgrade instruments that can be used in lieu of miles plus dollars; anyone with those instruments available would try to use them on that flight -- and they'd be ahead of you on the waiting list, because it's sorted by status.
Probably better chance to upgrade on Dec. 5 for the return leg, but the outbound to AKL is going to be a tough one.
#63
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: IAH, YYC
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 722
separate but somewhat related question. Would you keep the DEN-LAX-NRT or swap to DEN-SFO-NRT if the direct isnt available? Trying to weigh the better Polaris seat vs slightly higher IRROPS risk at SFO despite a slightly longer connection (1 hour 25 mins vs 1 hour in LA)
#64
Join Date: May 2007
Programs: UA 1K, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 4,600
anybody know when this block is removed? Im confirmed in PZ for LAX- NRT tomorrow but Id much rather have a few hours sleep in Denver and take the direct. Kind of frustrating because all upgrades have cleared and there would probably be PZ space available if not for the 8 blocked seats
separate but somewhat related question. Would you keep the DEN-LAX-NRT or swap to DEN-SFO-NRT if the direct isnt available? Trying to weigh the better Polaris seat vs slightly higher IRROPS risk at SFO despite a slightly longer connection (1 hour 25 mins vs 1 hour in LA)
separate but somewhat related question. Would you keep the DEN-LAX-NRT or swap to DEN-SFO-NRT if the direct isnt available? Trying to weigh the better Polaris seat vs slightly higher IRROPS risk at SFO despite a slightly longer connection (1 hour 25 mins vs 1 hour in LA)
#65
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 8
First time poster here! Flying EWR to SFO (which I hear is quite a popular route) on Monday 2/24
Availability is currently: [33/44 Load] - J9 JN9 C6 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O5 ON5 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V4 W2 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Couple questions:
Thanks in advance!
Availability is currently: [33/44 Load] - J9 JN9 C6 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O5 ON5 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V4 W2 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Couple questions:
- My upgrade was applied by a GS member - does that get me any priority? Does that make my upgrade a "GS Instrument"? I'm just a General Member with United. I've heard lots of varying rumors about this question, so curious what this group thinks!
- I'm currently waitlisted for a Premium Economy upgrade as well as a Polaris upgrade. Does the PE upgrade request hinder my priority for Polaris in any way?
- If there are very few seats left a few days before my flight, is there any recommended way to avoid the change fee to switch to another flight that has more availability?
Thanks in advance!
#66
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 257
First time poster here! Flying EWR to SFO (which I hear is quite a popular route) on Monday 2/24
Availability is currently: [33/44 Load] - J9 JN9 C6 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O5 ON5 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V4 W2 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Couple questions:
Thanks in advance!
Availability is currently: [33/44 Load] - J9 JN9 C6 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O5 ON5 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN0 Q9 V4 W2 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0
Couple questions:
- My upgrade was applied by a GS member - does that get me any priority? Does that make my upgrade a "GS Instrument"? I'm just a General Member with United. I've heard lots of varying rumors about this question, so curious what this group thinks!
- I'm currently waitlisted for a Premium Economy upgrade as well as a Polaris upgrade. Does the PE upgrade request hinder my priority for Polaris in any way?
- If there are very few seats left a few days before my flight, is there any recommended way to avoid the change fee to switch to another flight that has more availability?
Thanks in advance!
#67
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: middle of nowhere, formerly TYO/EWR
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 213
1) Yes, you will clear into PN (which becomes available before PZ) so it should give it fairly high priority. Only GS (or those on GS supported instruments) should clear before you. So you should have some chance (although it still might not be a high chance
).
2) The request for PE shouldn't affect the Polaris upgrade request as far as I know.
3) The only way is to hope for some delay/cancellation (or SFO/EWR weather waiver) which would specifically allow it. You could always call and ask very nicely but not likely to be successful.

2) The request for PE shouldn't affect the Polaris upgrade request as far as I know.
3) The only way is to hope for some delay/cancellation (or SFO/EWR weather waiver) which would specifically allow it. You could always call and ask very nicely but not likely to be successful.
#68
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 8
And do you know if there is any way to verify this online or do I need to call United?
Thanks!
Last edited by WineCountryUA; Feb 14, 20 at 10:15 pm Reason: merged consecutive posts by same member
#69
Suspended
Join Date: May 2019
Location: Chicago
Programs: ,united 1k, AA EXP, HH Diamond,BA gold, Hyatt globalist
Posts: 974
#70
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 10,999
You can't verify that you're waitlisted for PN online, but you can check whether PN is open (by enabling expert mode).
#71
Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: SNA (home), LAX, BOM/PNQ, LHR
Programs: UA 1K/*G, Marriott Gold Elite, IHG Platinum, HHonors Silver
Posts: 951
To help your case, I actually flew UA583 on a Thursday a few weeks back and I was on a friend's Global Services upgrade as well and sitting #1 on the waitlist. The only difference is that I'm only gold status and I was actually originally booked in premium economy. Throughout the day, the # of seats booked oscillated between 43 and 44/44 which of course wasn't very promising. Then 2 people didn't check-in and so I was upgraded while on board.
But according to UA's supposed gate list where the ordering is by status, I shouldn't have cleared, because I'm willing to bet money that my status is not even close to the highest on a Thursday afternoon EWR-SFO flight.
Back to your flight, UA's website officially says that they'll clear premium economy to Business before they clear economy to business. But as A Little Cow says, you being on a PN upgrade changes things and you *should* have a much higher chance, but hard to be sure with UA's inconsistent upgrade policy enforcement
#72
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 8
I just called United and they told me that my waitlist priority is based on the travelers status, not the sponsor. Chance the agent is wrong or doesn't know that GS sponsored upgrades have access to different upgrade inventory (PN)?
#73
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 10,999
Anyone with higher status than you and a GS upgrade will be prioritised above you. But since GS upgrades access PN, you have de facto priority above anyone with non-GS sponsors.
#74
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 8
But if that doesnt happen before the published waitlist, do they just take the entire PN list and append the PZ list? (meaning I have the lowest priority of PN but highest of PZ)?
#75
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 10,999
Ah ok, that makes sense for upgrades clearing before the waitlist is published (as PN inventory becomes available).
But if that doesnt happen before the published waitlist, do they just take the entire PN list and append the PZ list? (meaning I have the lowest priority of PN but highest of PZ)?
But if that doesnt happen before the published waitlist, do they just take the entire PN list and append the PZ list? (meaning I have the lowest priority of PN but highest of PZ)?