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Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave
(Post 33336249)
I'm not really seeing this. The underlying data isn't too bad, even Manchester has had a fall in today's raw data. The people getting Covid are ovewhelmingly unvaccinated and aged 16 to 24 years old. They will be getting their vaccines in the next week or two. The age profile in hospitals has fallen too. On the death rate it used to be the case that under 10% of deaths were in people under 60 years old, now it's about 40%. Which sounds alarming but that's on a very low death rate, and almost all fatalities are unvaccinated. It also indicates that mass fatalities iisn't on the cards with Delta. The only thing that's gone wrong here is that it would have been better to get Delta arriving in the UK some months from now, but given the close relationship between the UK and India that would be unlikely a prospect.
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Originally Posted by paulaf
(Post 33336254)
40% of deaths are under 60 even unvaccinated, so do they have other underlying health issues as I thought for younger healthy people it was never supposed to be a serious disease?
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Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave
(Post 33336249)
I'm not really seeing this. The underlying data isn't too bad, even Manchester has had a fall in today's raw data. The people getting Covid are ovewhelmingly unvaccinated and aged 16 to 24 years old. They will be getting their vaccines in the next week or two. The age profile in hospitals has fallen too. On the death rate it used to be the case that under 10% of deaths were in people under 60 years old, now it's about 40%. Which sounds alarming but that's on a very low death rate, and almost all fatalities are unvaccinated. It also indicates that mass fatalities isn't on the cards with Delta. The only thing that's gone wrong here is that it would have been better to get Delta arriving in the UK some months from now, but given the close relationship between the UK and India that would be unlikely a prospect.
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Originally Posted by under2100
(Post 33336338)
But doesn't that mean than 60% of people dying are over 60 and likely fully vacc'd? That would be scary. Or are you saying the over 60's who are dying are those who for one reason or another are not fully vacc'd?
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Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave
(Post 33336433)
The English death rate for the over 60s have dropped from around 8,000 a week in January to around 40 a week here in June.
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Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave
(Post 33336433)
The English death rate for the over 60s have dropped from around 8,000 a week in January to around 40 a week here in June. Of those 40 some are not vaccinated or very recently vaccinated, it's actually difficult to get precise information in some cases. But we know that some very old patients were too frail to be vaccinated or there were mental health issues which made them difficult to vaccinate. Some people were double vaccinated, no vaccine is 100% effective. But what we can say is that vaccines are saving a lot of lives now and provide the best barrier we have to Covid deaths.
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Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave
(Post 33336249)
It also indicates that mass fatalities isn't on the cards with Delta. The only thing that's gone wrong here is that it would have been better to get Delta arriving in the UK some months from now, but given the close relationship between the UK and India that would be unlikely a prospect.
The latest data on the German dashboard shows that 23,916,490 people or 28.8% of the population is fully vaccinated and 49.6% has had one dose. It varies notably by state: from 26.5% fully vaccinated in Hessen to 34.4% in Saarland. In the UK the equivalent figures today are 30,675,207 people or 58.2% of the population fully vaccinated (just over double Germany), and 80.1% with one dose. While it is a race against time in the UK to get people up to 2 doses to try and stave off the worst of Delta, the same applies elsewhere - but from a delayed start. Now a lot of factors will influence this, not just the raw number of vaccines delivered in a given time frame but the relative breakdown of different types of vaccine and any changes to the schedule. For example, in Germany, a greater proportion of the population is using Pfizer/BioNtech and Moderna (47.5 million & 5.9 million of 67.5 million doses so far) and these have a shorter interval between the two jabs. In the last few weeks there has been an average of 5.5 million doses delivered per week. Other countries are - quite reasonably - wanting to prevent the breakout of Delta for as long as possible, because they will feel the consequences of an outbreak much more severely with fewer people vaccinated. However, I suspect that does mitigate against the rapid opening up of Europe to Brits at least for a little while longer. Edit: found the DW news story from today that I had open in another tab. Delta now makes up 6% of cases in Germany, and although the numbers are small the proportion is rising quickly. The concern is that the next few months will lead to another false sense of security like last summer, and that come Autumn things will be more difficult. Again, it speaks to the need to get as many jabs in arms as quickly as possible.
Originally Posted by JEM_NYC
(Post 33336544)
C-W-S’s patient, clear explanations are some of the best I’ve seen anywhere. Thank you!
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I don’t think this has been mentioned yet. One of the issues in checking availability to move forward a jab when your booking was done on the central NHS site was your had to cancel first before you could see availability. You were basically committed before you knew whether there were any earlier appointments.
Now you can check before you cancel. Go to the site and manage your booking. When you first click to cancel you get a first screen which shows up to the next 5 days of availability at your vaccination centre, and you can confirm cancellation and rebook once you have seen it. |
The incidence rate is nearly 150 here in Scotland. :(
My friend got one jab, thought he was invincible, went to a big house party a week later, and surprise surprise, he's now tested positive for covid and is symptomatic. Hopefully not a superspreader event as we really need to catch a break up here in Scotland. |
All the complaints coming from the Us about lateral flow tests - are they valid? Are the ukgov ones weaker/worse than all the other antingen tests being used (even for entry into the US)?
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Meanwhile a mature approach to being double jabbed (I'm amazed that it is California though I have to say but good on them for it):
California drops workplace mask rule for vaccinated workers |
Does anyone know the best approach for trying to get my AZ a few days earlier than 8 weeks?
(I am well aware that this has an impact on effectiveness, and waiting 12 weeks would be better....) France currently wants visiting Brits to be double-jabbed plus 14 days to avoid self isolation. I've brought my second jab forward as much as I can, now exactly to 8 weeks after the first, but that is only 11 days before the trip. The other half can't reschedule the time off so we're stuck on dates, and much as I do like my in-laws (who are both double jabbed), spending 7 days self-isolating in their house not allowed to leave even for a walk feels like asking for some trouble... Shaving a few days off my vaccine gap at a slight loss in boost effectiveness seems the best approach for me personally. Should I try a mass vaccination site that's still on AZ? Pharmacy I know that's giving out AZ? Ring my GP and plead? As it's for personal benefit I don't want to be a huge pain to the NHS, so advice appreciated! |
The Times are reporting on what was leaked to the Telegraph yesterday, with the added detail that it would be decided on before the next review date on Friday 28th June:
The government confirmed yesterday that it was considering using jab status to allow travellers to avoid having to self-isolate for up to ten days on return from an “amber” country. The Department for Transport has been told to draw up a paper on the proposals, which will be presented to a meeting of the Covid-19 operations committee (Covid-O) next week. It will be considered as part of a review of the traffic light system for overseas travel, due on June 28. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/covid-vaccine-passport-let-double-jabbed-travellers-beat-quarantine-rule-9hb9pdjzq |
Originally Posted by Gagravarr
(Post 33337865)
Does anyone know the best approach for trying to get my AZ a few days earlier than 8 weeks?
(I am well aware that this has an impact on effectiveness, and waiting 12 weeks would be better....) France currently wants visiting Brits to be double-jabbed plus 14 days to avoid self isolation. I've brought my second jab forward as much as I can, now exactly to 8 weeks after the first, but that is only 11 days before the trip. The other half can't reschedule the time off so we're stuck on dates, and much as I do like my in-laws (who are both double jabbed), spending 7 days self-isolating in their house not allowed to leave even for a walk feels like asking for some trouble... Shaving a few days off my vaccine gap at a slight loss in boost effectiveness seems the best approach for me personally. Should I try a mass vaccination site that's still on AZ? Pharmacy I know that's giving out AZ? Ring my GP and plead? As it's for personal benefit I don't want to be a huge pain to the NHS, so advice appreciated! |
Originally Posted by Schwann
(Post 33337916)
If you're near London there are centres doing drop ins..
https://twitter.com/LBofHounslow/sta...318691329?s=19 |
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