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-   -   Local lockdowns in the UK (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/u-k-ireland/2025295-local-lockdowns-uk.html)

ahmetdouas Apr 30, 2021 6:59 am


Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave (Post 33216089)
Rightly or wrongly the process in the UK is that vaccination is about benefits overall, rather than "me, me, me", I tihnk the USA struggles with the first concept but can leverage the second very well. But yes, add in the booster vax then it is going to get complicated. At the moment the AZ real world data is fantastic, so I suspet MHRA will only allow J&J if we know it is just as good as AZ and Pfizer. And to be honest I don't think I've met many people who want to avoid the second jab, the take up rate for second jabs is running at something like 99%. On the other hand, having vaccinated people with multiple murder convictions I would personally quite like to see a solo vaccine offer! But from what I can make out J&J is running slightly less effective than AZ, probably due to being a single dose. The whole 2 dose issue is mired in immunological complexity, if we had had the time we probably would have done this differently and only given 1 dose to younger people, regardless of vaccine brand. AZ isn't going away: it's cheap, the side effects are low for most people, it transports well and can be re-transported too, the real world data is very good, and the longer term immune response looks good. I frankly had a choice, and I had no hesitation in going for AZ, though genuinely I would have been happy to have Pfizer or Moderna.

Yeah I am looking at it from a Vaccine Passport perspective as it looks like I would never get a vaccine passport in time for this summer if I have to do 2 jabs given I haven't gotten jabbed yet or invited to do so.

HB7 Apr 30, 2021 7:03 am


Originally Posted by VSLover (Post 33216190)
that would be my boss who got his letter to book yesterday...in jersey. lol. they still kept tabs on him despite moving to london 20 years ago, but luckily he managed to snag an apopintment today having just turned 40.

i did share HB7s frustration seeing friends and colleagues in their mid and young 30s with no pre-existing conditions being invited in mid-march on...it really is just a mixed situation in london...but now things seem to be back in motion so hopefully it isnt long for you!

Thanks VSLover - I have my phone at the ready, going to be making a ton of calls at 3.30 pm - hopefully I can get into a pharmacy offering vaccines.

corporate-wage-slave Apr 30, 2021 7:10 am


Originally Posted by ahmetdouas (Post 33216263)
Yeah I am looking at it from a Vaccine Passport perspective as it looks like I would never get a vaccine passport in time for this summer if I have to do 2 jabs given I haven't gotten jabbed yet or invited to do so.

Mmm, tricky, but keep your eyes and ears open. I hope it won't be too long, and it may be a case that your autumn / winter travels will at least be easier, when London gets a bit miserable.

What they should do in England is something like they do in Northern Ireland, which is to give at least a few slots every day to people below the usual age group, just to give some mechanism for you to try every day. It's a total lottery if you get a slot that way but at least it's something.

corporate-wage-slave Apr 30, 2021 7:31 am

These are the England stats as of Sunday night.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/1...923/9gexCL.png

For 50-54 year olds we know this is over 90% as of about Tuesday. These figures are far higher than we considered possible, particularly for that age cohort: this group doesn't normally get the influenza vaccine, and typically would not have had the Meningitis and HPV jabs now offered at age 12 and 14. So their last jab would have been their MMR jab when aged under 4 years old. We reckoned with heavy advertising we could just about get that to perhaps 85% if we were really lucky.

13901 Apr 30, 2021 8:09 am

The conversation in the last couple of pages was really interesting and thanks again corporate-wage-slave for being so open.

My time for a vaccine hasn't come yet but more and more people in my family and circle of friends are getting their jabs. The question I had was this: if and when it eventually comes to me, should I mention that my maternal grandfather died of CVST and my mother was treated for DVT (although, admittedly, this was due to a side effect of the anti-cancer treatment she was under)?

I haven't followed the debate on AstraZeneca/J&J and I'm not a medical expert and thus I rely blindly on those who are, so this might be a rather daft question especially if there's no correlation to developing thrombosis and having had a history of such issues in one's family.

corporate-wage-slave Apr 30, 2021 8:30 am


Originally Posted by 13901 (Post 33216400)
My time for a vaccine hasn't come yet but more and more people in my family and circle of friends are getting their jabs. The question I had was this: if and when it eventually comes to me, should I mention that my maternal grandfather died of CVST and my mother was treated for DVT (although, admittedly, this was due to a side effect of the anti-cancer treatment she was under)?

I haven't followed the debate on AstraZeneca/J&J and I'm not a medical expert and thus I rely blindly on those who are, so this might be a rather daft question especially if there's no correlation to developing thrombosis and having had a history of such issues in one's family.

The DVT I wouldn't bother about. But the CVST you must mention, and if the screener - the person after you check in - is not a GP (or above) make sure they raise it with one. My suspicion is that they will then check the other risk factors with you, such as sinus problems, blood disorders, sickle cell anaemia. If you don't appear to have anything else then they will probably allow AZ, but make sure you read the shiny leaflet, particularly the pink panel on the back. I've forgotten your age, but a white male over 40 should usually be OK for this.

https://assets.publishing.service.go...tion_guide.pdf

13901 Apr 30, 2021 8:34 am


Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave (Post 33216434)
The DVT I wouldn't bother about. But the CVST you must mention, and if the screener - the person after you check in - is not a GP (or above) make sure they raise it with one. My suspicion is that they will then check the other risk factors with you, such as sinus problems, blood disorders, sickle cell anaemia. If you don't appear to have anything else then they will probably allow AZ, but make sure you read the shiny leaflet, particularly the pink panel on the back.

https://assets.publishing.service.go...tion_guide.pdf

Thank you CWS, we'll see what will happen. I wish I had better info about my granddad's conditions but sadly he passed when I was barely 2 and, of that side of the family, there's no one left to ask (and not a lot of records either).

DaveS Apr 30, 2021 9:08 am

Daily data:

Cases 2,381 (2,678 last Friday)
Deaths 15 (40)
Patients admitted 132 (175 on the 19th)
Patients in hospital 1,497 (1,879 on the 21st)
Patients on ventilator 196 (261 on the 22nd)
People vaccinated up to and including 29 April 2021:
First dose: 34,216,087
Second dose: 14,532,875

The rolling seven day daily average is now down 10.7% on the previous week. The rate of fall has picked up a bit after a plateau last week. The last time there were less than 200 patients on a ventilator was 21st September. ONS data today estimates that for the UK 1/975 people have COVID, a 20 fold reduction on the January peak and down from 1/615 the previous week.

SailorTomSparrow Apr 30, 2021 9:24 am

Deleted - wrong thread

alex67500 Apr 30, 2021 11:05 am

Good news announced today that Twickenham will be open for 10,000 fans for the final of the champions and challenge cups on 21st and 22nd May. Signs of life getting slowly back to normal. Lockdowns are being lifted :)

DYKWIA Apr 30, 2021 11:32 am


Originally Posted by alex67500 (Post 33216836)
Good news announced today that Twickenham will be open for 10,000 fans for the final of the champions and challenge cups on 21st and 22nd May. Signs of life getting slowly back to normal. Lockdowns are being lifted :)

There's also 6000 people at a nightclub in Liverpool with no mandatory social distancing or masks. I can't imagine anything worse :D

flashware Apr 30, 2021 12:20 pm


Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave (Post 33215855)
The evidence about how vaccines are so powerful has only become clear and hit pre-prints fairly recently. So the 50% cut in transmission was in pre-print only this week, even though I leaked the result here about a month ago. So part of it is that the key decision makers have only realised quite recently that we have now (hoptefully) reached the point that those vaccinated are able to go about their lives more freely now. In fact for all my delving into data I think it was only last week that I posted my feeling that vaccination is a full answer to the pandemic in its current form, subject to the significant rider that it is conditional on keeping some other measures in place, I'm not convinced you can vaccinate your way out of a surge, but you can vaccinate yourself to head off a future surge. So it's all very well being wise about it now, but actually it's only just dawning on UK decision makers how amazing these vaccines are, along with the implications of that, we are incredibly fortunate to have them.

The equity point you make is a very good one. In a way the sacrifices made by younger people, essentially to protect those over 50 years old, has been huge. Disrupted education, social and sexual development, employment hits, poverty, the death of spontaneity, the list goes on and on, so yes, it would be a bit tough to say officially that those with both vaccines (I'm in this category) can meet friends and reduce some precautions, but JV-T perhaps overdid his correct assessment of the situation. It's incredibly unlikely, as things stand, that two vaccinated people can meet and one would kill the other. If one drove to see the other, the driving is a lot more risky. In fact one vaccine is enough, on the data I'm seeing. But it would be outrageous to say only those over 50 can go to Glastonbury, for example.

I can see the vaccine supply isses are going away in the UK. By the end of May we should be vaccinating those in their 20s. I've just done 8 continuous days of vaccinating, some of them extended days, compared to 2 or 3 during the weak weeks. And the supply for May has been confirmed, with a huge amount forecast for the final week in May, we may hit our vaccination delivery capacity that particular week, for the first time.

We are getting there.

Should be interesting, I'm waiting for my 2nd Pfizer Jan and it's a real lottery. I'm off on a work trip soon for 4-6 weeks that will land me back well after 12 weeks from my first jab. May end up having to mix with AZ?

corporate-wage-slave Apr 30, 2021 12:28 pm


Originally Posted by flashware (Post 33217016)
Should be interesting, I'm waiting for my 2nd Pfizer Jan and it's a real lottery. I'm off on a work trip soon for 4-6 weeks that will land me back well after 12 weeks from my first jab. May end up having to mix with AZ?

Yes, that is a risk. If you are past 8 weeks then you could contact your GP now and explain the situation, they may be able to assist. When you come back you need to get a second dose ASAP but you will be prescribed AZ rather than waiting more than a day or two for Pfizer. The usual problem is that we are often unsure when Pfizer will come in, but now we are well into second doses we can see that the supply is now more reliable than it used to be. Even if you are a lot longer than 12 weeks then your second dose will be considered adequate, you won't be restarting the treatment. In immunological terms this isn't necessarily a bad outcome (though AZ as dose 1 would be better at this), particularly if would be in the frame for the autumn booster vax in say November 2021.

flashware Apr 30, 2021 2:33 pm


Originally Posted by corporate-wage-slave (Post 33217035)
Yes, that is a risk. If you are past 8 weeks then you could contact your GP now and explain the situation, they may be able to assist. When you come back you need to get a second dose ASAP but you will be prescribed AZ rather than waiting more than a day or two for Pfizer. The usual problem is that we are often unsure when Pfizer will come in, but now we are well into second doses we can see that the supply is now more reliable than it used to be. Even if you are a lot longer than 12 weeks then your second dose will be considered adequate, you won't be restarting the treatment. In immunological terms this isn't necessarily a bad outcome (though AZ as dose 1 would be better at this), particularly if would be in the frame for the autumn booster vax in say November 2021.

I have a bit of a window of opportunity before I go, so fingers crossed. I'm nowhere even close to being in frame for the autumn booster unfortunately - if I didn't have a stroke of back in March then I'd be a few weeks away from getting my first jab. The vaccine roulette wheel has been well and truly spun ;)

suley May 1, 2021 3:52 am

Firstly a big thank you again to corporate-wage-slave for his advice earlier advise. After much debate my surgery allowed me to have my second jab down south as oppose to the vaccine centre I managed to get my jab at. What I did find intresting was I did still get a text message from the NHS this week saying my second jab was due at the vaccine centre I visited. I tried to visit the NHS website to cancel only to be told I did not need it.

On another note https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/h...ries-0c5kh3s5n I wonder who the new company is offering £44.90 test and are they PCR.


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