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Consolidated "Points Devaluation" thread

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Old Apr 2, 2023, 5:01 pm
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Last edit by: cblaisd
Hilton Properties Devalued 5k → 10k & 10k → 20k for standard award:

[NAME] [OLD RATE] [NEW RATE]

Loyalty Lobby Article with the List of Hotels that Changed: https://loyaltylobby.com/2019/06/17/hilton-honors-award-chart-changes-june-2019/
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Consolidated "Points Devaluation" thread

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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 7:33 pm
  #1051  
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Originally Posted by GUWonder
Counting on promos to get value out of being locked in with Hilton is more of a gamble than counting on the value from the program absent promos and not being as locked in.
Yeah, you see where I am at. Hilton's been pretty reliable on promos lately, but if they decide not to be...

OTOH, hotels.com has devalued their program at least once, no? ♫Nowhere to run to, baby, nowhere to hide...♫

Straight point redemptions are somewhat better if you hunt around (from what I can see), points and money definitely worse (much harder to get outsize value from them). Given that straight point redemptions = must acquire more points for the redemption than old-style money and points (60% more), I basically have to go in further into Hilton to continue getting value, or get out. I'm leaning out. But I'll think about it, nothing needs to happen right away.

Originally Posted by Kacee
Lauren's post mentioned a bug on the Flexible Dates page. That's much narrower than what folks are complaining about here.

I think it may take a while to figure out what's really happened though. Was just looking at Hilton Parc 55 and they're offering "standard" room for 60k points, which is over .6 cpp.

Hmm . . . I can get it for 32k next week. Maybe I should change my cash booking (142 Euro).
Seems to be in line with what I am seeing- there are spots where value has improved, and others where it really hasn't.
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 8:39 pm
  #1052  
 
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Originally Posted by Focke
Hilton Austin was 60000 points yesterday, now 210000 - rate is $865 (SXSW). 3.5 times increase overnight even though the room rate & type are identical.
You do realize SXSW ALWAYS fills hotels in Austin, including the rates at lower-end properties that go up exponentially?
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 9:47 pm
  #1053  
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What???? I can't find any points plus + cash rates at TLV Hilton anymore. Is there a change in this feature? Is the website just not fully updated yet. This is a very important part of our travel budget for the upcoming year.
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 9:50 pm
  #1054  
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Can't find any either, seems they've pulled the feature while they tweak it.
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 10:51 pm
  #1055  
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Originally Posted by CodeAdam10
I looked at the new C&P vaguely and to me it seemed like the system just takes the nightly cash rate for the hotel / room type and assigns the respective c&p value. i.e. a hotel costing $300 or 30K points is assigned a value of 1 cents per point and then it's upto the member to spend whatever points and whatever cash portion they want.
I did some test bookings earlier today, and it appears the cash portion of a C&P stay is basically dependent upon the lowest refundable rate for Honors members. For example, a hotel charging 14K points for the night with the paid rate being $70, on a C&P rate each 1K section of points will be valued at $5. So, that would be 10K points plus $20; or 5K points plus $45. Now, if the paid rate were $140 for that night, the cash portion on a C&P rate would be double the amount of the previous example.

Also, it appears that there is at least a 5K point minimum usage on a C&P saty.
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 10:53 pm
  #1056  
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I was suspicious of this new program and booked my next 6 night trip the other night using a combination of points and old points/money reservations. I am VERY glad I booked previously.

It is my observation that all hotels that had variable category pricing in the past, the previous "high category" is now the "low category." For instance in Sacramento, CA area which is close to me and where I go fairly often for a night, had about 8 20,000 point per night properties during low season (e.g. now); no more; now all of those properties now are 30,000 points a night during the week; there are a couple left on weekends at 20,000 points, in outer suburbs.

Here is what I found out with my latest trip:

Night 1: I booked at 20,000 points- under the new program it is now 30,000 points.
Night 2: I booked at 20,000 points+$85 (full point option was 60,000 points)- under the new program it is now 20,000 points+$200(two hundred!!?!?!??) or 70,000 points if booking full points
Night 3: I booked at 40,000 points- under the new program it is now 48,000 points
Night 4: I booked at 30,000 points- under the new program it is now 38,000 points
Night 5: I booked at 37,800 points HHonors Special Premium Room- under the new program the same premium room is now 75,000 points (the lowest available room on my night is 51,000 points)
Night 6: I booked at 20,000 points+$85 (full point option was 50,000 points)- under the new program is is now 20,000 points+$203 or 70,000 points if booking full points
Looking at totals, I spent 167,800 points+$85 for my 6 nights under the old program. Had I used full points under the old program it would have been 237,800 points.
Under this new program, I would spend 231,000 points+$403 for my 6 nights or using full points 331,000 points.

Ouch ouch ouch ouch. This is a devaluation if I've ever seen a devaluation. It also takes away the ability to shop around for bargain redemption options. It definitely simplifies things... I feel bad for the people holding a lot of points.

Ouch. This is the biggest screw of screws. Previously I liked to use my points to stay at places where the cash rate was above my usual budget, and could sometimes find some good deals between points and money and the HHonors Specials on premium rooms. Now, this changes everything. Now it is most beneficial to use points on the lowest dollar redemptions, and potentially in places with larger fixed dollar hotel taxes/assessments...

Oh well- all good things must end some day.

Last edited by storewanderer; Mar 1, 2017 at 11:00 pm
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 10:57 pm
  #1057  
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Originally Posted by lkar
It's a devaluation for almost all hotels. You have to hand it to Hilton -- their marketing on this was pretty darned good.

Their pitch was that hotels would never go above the cap. But, of course, the problem with that was that many hotels depending on the time of year often priced below the cap.

The "devaluation" here is that on 2/28, there were millions of hotel nights that priced less than the cap, but now many of those nights have jumped up closer to the cap.

And the reason that it's such an obvious devaluation is that the only time this won't be the case is precisely those times you'd not want to use points anyway.

Is it true that some properties will go down in points? Sure. For a dirt cheap night at a hotel that used to have a minimum number of points you can now beat that minimum maybe. But only in a case where again, you never would have used your points in the first place because cash was a better deal.

The caps remain for now, and you can still get good value by redeeming where the cap price is far lower than the cash price. But for everything else, to say this is not a devaluation is just another insulting use of market speak.
Exactly, I looked at a bunch of cases and found the same:
- hotels with ridiculously high point rates now charge less - value has gone from terrible to less terrible
- hotels low point rates during low-season have raised their prices on high-demand dates during low season - price has gone up
- great cash & points rates have been destroyed in most cases
- some hotels are gaming their standard vs premium rooms - not sure if it's worse than before or not
- I have not found a case were the new price for a standard room is higher than the previous maximum (when I found prices above max, they were premium rooms)

For casual Honors members, this is good - they are less likely to book a "free" room at terrible value for their points.
For miles & points travelers, this is a significant devaluation, as bad as 2013! If you have a lot of points, they are worth a lot less than last week!

The data of all my cases is here!
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Old Mar 1, 2017 | 11:16 pm
  #1058  
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Booked a couple nights at the Hilton Bonnet Creek near Disney World. Last week it was 40k a night, today its 50k. Glad I booked it when I did.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 2:54 am
  #1059  
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Originally Posted by GUWonder
Hotels.com's program in combination with cashback portal booking nets me a much better return than 1/2 cent per $1 spent. 10-20% rebate via hotels.com is better than what I'd get out of Hilton.
0.5c/$ would assume 1 point per qualifying dollar of spend, if you value points at 0.5c each.

As a blue member, you get at least 10 points per dollar - so 5c/$ spent, plus you'd probably want to be on points+points rather than points+miles, taking it to 7.5c before any promotion.

If you then assume that you can get an average of 15 points/dollar of promotional value on top of that, you're getting into the 15c range, before you add any status bonuses.

So even as a diamond, valuing points at 0.5c each, your minimum return (before you add in the value of bonus points, breakfast, exec lounge access, wifi, and theoretical upgrades) is 17.5c per dollar on average (some promotions are more valuable than others).

While that might not be enough to sway you away from the best deal on hotels.com (if I'm paying Hilton $150 when an equivalent Novotel is $100, the loyalty scheme won't bridge the gap) it should match it if the Hilton is a viable choice.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 3:43 am
  #1060  
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Originally Posted by yoonny
Conrad Koh Samui:
Was 80K for a shoulder season. Today 95K.
My booking when it was 80K had Points & Money for 32K + ~5,400 THB.
Today if I use the same 32K points, the money portion is 15,750 THB. So the money portion almost tripled.
Yep. I was looking at Konrad Samui in mid December. Last week it was 120K per night, now its showing at 305K. Looks like I won't be visiting there again.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 4:30 am
  #1061  
 
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Originally Posted by eddibabyyeah

Yep. I was looking at Konrad Samui in mid December. Last week it was 120K per night, now its showing at 305K. Looks like I won't be visiting there again.
Ouch! And to think that just a few years ago I was able to book two villas there at 50K points per villa per night. It just goes to show that it's better to spend points as you earn them, rather than sitting on them.

On a positive note - I've just cancelled and re-booked a Conrad Manila room for July; for the same amount of points the cash element has reduced by approxmately 40%.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 5:08 am
  #1062  
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Can confirm devaluation at lower end properties..

e.g doubletree johor

Before: 4k points + 151RM
Now: 5k points + 170RM

Hit and miss for higher end properties.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 5:57 am
  #1063  
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I did an update on an existing money and points reservation, and instead of being charged only the difference between the two I was double charged, has anyone had that happened to them? Check your points deductions carefully...

Overall, in my experience the new rates are about the same, some slightly better, some slightly worst.
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 6:04 am
  #1064  
 
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Ok, I am finding some good deals on weekends in the D.C. area using M&P. The per night cost in points is a lot cheaper on weekends than it used to be, with some locations below 20K per night. That combined with the slider and you can get a good room at one of the Hilton's for around 12K per night plus $50 or so. Not bad at all for D.C. area (mostly NoVA or southern MD).

Example: Hilton Dulles 26-29 May

24K Points + $153.36 for the entire stay.

The slider does not seem to let you select even dollar amounts, so you just get close.

Last edited by kanerf; Mar 2, 2017 at 6:07 am Reason: Add example
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Old Mar 2, 2017 | 6:51 am
  #1065  
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Wow, if you hunt around there are some incredibly insane deals on both the high and low end. Yes, I said low end. Look around and use the "View Available Dates" search to scroll through weeks at a time. Unreal prices and I am booking like crazy.....
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