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-   -   Chance of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2025 Master Thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/2186391-chance-upgrade-clearing-availability-2025-master-thread.html)

Yank8823 Mar 10, 2025 8:56 pm

Sunday, 3/9 afternoon
PLT with 102k LP in last qualifying year
RSW - CLT: 21/43, 1 cleared at gate
CLT - PIT: 12/21, zero cleared

sxpsxpsxp Mar 11, 2025 8:05 am

Flying LAX-BOS on Sunday morning, two passengers on a coach award. The flight is currently F7/J7 and we're 5 days out. Mileage prices for J are still 100k and earlier today they wanted $400 to upgrade (I've been checking regularly and that's the lowest I've seen it -- it's been fluctuating wildly). I'm curious what people think my chances are of getting a comp upgrade?

JJeffrey Mar 11, 2025 8:25 am


Originally Posted by sxpsxpsxp (Post 36950534)
Flying LAX-BOS on Sunday morning, two passengers on a coach award. The flight is currently F7/J7 and we're 5 days out. Mileage prices for J are still 100k and earlier today they wanted $400 to upgrade (I've been checking regularly and that's the lowest I've seen it -- it's been fluctuating wildly). I'm curious what people think my chances are of getting a comp upgrade?

F7/J7 may seem wide open up front, however on the 3-class transcons you always need to cross check the seatmaps as AA will frequently oversell J.

Looking at Sunday morning LAX-BOS that is what's happening, there's only 3 seats left in J and F is 100% wide open.

So in spite of the flight being J7 there's really only 3 seats (or less) left for any Y>J comp upgrades. That also explains why the J award prices are still high.

So for 2 pax, your chances for comp upgrades are not great.



IADCAflyer Mar 11, 2025 8:43 am

DCA-MIA: cleared at T-25 hours. EP with 240,000 LPs rolling 12 months?

sxpsxpsxp Mar 11, 2025 9:15 am


Originally Posted by JJeffrey (Post 36950588)
F7/J7 may seem wide open up front, however on the 3-class transcons you always need to cross check the seatmaps as AA will frequently oversell J.

Looking at Sunday morning LAX-BOS that is what's happening, there's only 3 seats left in J and F is 100% wide open.

So in spite of the flight being J7 there's really only 3 seats (or less) left for any Y>J comp upgrades. That also explains why the J award prices are still high.

So for 2 pax, your chances for comp upgrades are not great.

That is also how I was interpreting the situation so thanks for confirming. I decided to bite the bullet and pay up.

Snuggs Mar 11, 2025 11:50 am


Originally Posted by EncFlyer (Post 36935822)
I am purchasing Domestic First Class instead of chancing upgrades at this time. (480,000 LPs)

Amen brothers and sisters.
Domestic, intl, you name it, i have just been horking up the $$. At +400k lp, i couldn’t even use a swu for an up from J to F, SYD>LAX. Seems since I put myself on waitlist 8 mos prior, I didn’t get the buy up offer.

thunderdeacon Mar 12, 2025 8:19 am

3/12/25

Barely ExPlat

BIL-PHX. E175. Cleared T-100

PHX-FAT. CR7. Cleared T-26

Still batting 1000 on upgrades in 2025. I have a feeling I might record my first out when I fly FAT-DFW next week.

worldiswide Mar 12, 2025 6:52 pm


Originally Posted by Snuggs (Post 36951134)
Amen brothers and sisters.
Domestic, intl, you name it, i have just been horking up the $$. At +400k lp, i couldn’t even use a swu for an up from J to F, SYD>LAX. Seems since I put myself on waitlist 8 mos prior, I didn’t get the buy up offer.

What time of year/day? You paid the J fare and SWU availability was never there? Were you able to see if F was full on the actual flight?

dandarc Mar 13, 2025 10:03 am


Originally Posted by dandarc (Post 36942280)
Just got T-100 CLT-DTW on 3/17.

And the return trip on Monday as well At t+100!

EXP100 Mar 14, 2025 9:57 am

Yesterday Wed March 13. DFW/MIA 77W. EXP about 480K LP Rolling 12 months. About 80 on the upgrade list, I was number 7. Six cleared at the gate, no luck for me. Upgrades were selling for $291 but I had a PE seat and for a 3 hour flight PE is good enough, sans the $5 Wawa meal.

355F1 Mar 16, 2025 9:18 pm

Weird looking upgrade list….

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.fly...a87a8f9d07.png

TWA884 Mar 16, 2025 9:32 pm


Originally Posted by 355F1 (Post 36962939)
Weird looking upgrade list….

2&3 and 4&5 were parties of two who declined to split up.

CJ99 Mar 16, 2025 9:33 pm


Originally Posted by 355F1 (Post 36962939)

Edward Vegetarian and Evelyn Ramaswamy must have been on the same reservation, just like Mstr. And Mr. Kwoshiorkor, so none of them could clear for the one remaining seat?

fliesdelta Mar 18, 2025 11:22 am

3/6 RDU-ORD cleared at T-72 (two pax I'm EXP with 280K LP rolling)
3/14 ORD-RDU cleared at T-48 (same as above)

Beckles Mar 18, 2025 11:35 am

New situation for me, since I took my family on our second paid Business class trip of the qualification year right after Christmas my wife and two kids all have Gold status, so family of four, 1 EXP and 3 Golds, we are booked for Spring Break on award tickets using my kids' miles all on a single itinerary, this Saturday we're flying MCI-DFW-RSW, we cleared DFW-RSW at about T-100 of our MCI-DFW flight. I thought I had read we wouldn't even be on the upgrade list since if a PNR had more than two people no one would clear, but apparently that is not always true.


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