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-   -   Chance of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2024 Master Thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/2147974-chance-upgrade-clearing-availability-2024-master-thread.html)

bridge29 Mar 18, 2024 8:18 am

Anyone have experience with upgrades on DFW/MIA/CLT-MEX? Seems unlikely as a Plat but I have some options to connect via any of those airports and wondering if anyone has more luck on a certain route.

Antarius Mar 18, 2024 9:15 am


Originally Posted by bridge29 (Post 36089313)
Anyone have experience with upgrades on DFW/MIA/CLT-MEX? Seems unlikely as a Plat but I have some options to connect via any of those airports and wondering if anyone has more luck on a certain route.

I haven't flown those in a couple of years, but prior to that, I've never missed an upgrade as an EXP and have gone in some less than full cabins. As a PLT, in my extrapolated experience, you have a shot.

Out of curiosity, where and what airline are you connecting to via MEX?

FlyFreakquently Mar 18, 2024 9:53 am


Originally Posted by fly747first (Post 36089167)
I would highly recommend you consider PE if the cost isn't too bad. Regular Y/MCE is beyond pAAinful.

I’d love to have the chance to buy up but unfortunately, AA can’t seem to figure out how to offer in-app upgrades after a schedule change.

bridge29 Mar 18, 2024 11:08 am


Originally Posted by Antarius (Post 36089486)
I haven't flown those in a couple of years, but prior to that, I've never missed an upgrade as an EXP and have gone in some less than full cabins. As a PLT, in my extrapolated experience, you have a shot.

Out of curiosity, where and what airline are you connecting to via MEX?

That's good to know, thanks. MEX is my final destination, actually. PHL-DFW/CLT/MIA-MEX.

CMTinPHL Mar 18, 2024 11:27 am


Originally Posted by bridge29 (Post 36089825)
That's good to know, thanks. MEX is my final destination, actually. PHL-DFW/CLT/MIA-MEX.

AA does not fly PHL-MEX nonstop, so I think you are limited to DFW/CLT/MIA.

bridge29 Mar 18, 2024 11:31 am


Originally Posted by CMTinPHL (Post 36089884)
AA does not fly PHL-MEX nonstop, so I think you are limited to DFW/CLT/MIA.

Right, trying to figure out which airport to connect in for the best chance at an upgrade (don't care about PHL, I realize there's little chance of an upgrade as Plat to another AA hub). I'm thinking probably CLT or MIA, plus the leg to MEX is actually long enough for a meal on each of those. It's leisure so no time crunch.

CMTinPHL Mar 18, 2024 11:32 am


Originally Posted by bridge29 (Post 36089901)
Right, trying to figure out which airport to connect in for the best chance at an upgrade. I'm thinking probably CLT or MIA, plus the leg to MEX is actually long enough for a meal on each of those. It's leisure so no time crunch.

Gotcha. My bad.

thunderdeacon Mar 18, 2024 5:22 pm

I fly to MEX often, and I think your best upgrade shot is CLT, then DFW. Least likely is MIA. This is assuming similar equipment. I would avoid the A319 if that is an option from any of the hubs.

They are going to offer cheap upsells to MEX on the app in my experience. So you may want to look at that if you really want to be in F.



Originally Posted by bridge29 (Post 36089825)
That's good to know, thanks. MEX is my final destination, actually. PHL-DFW/CLT/MIA-MEX.


Jonbsutt Mar 22, 2024 12:28 am

I am flying AA 276 SFO - JFK on 3/25. Expert Flyer shows no available biz or first but the in-app upgrades are there, so they're clearly just not released.

EXP with ~250k rolling LP - likelihood of clearing for anything here?

dc10forlife Mar 22, 2024 7:17 am

3/21 - DAY to DFW

1 EXP, 3 Gold - #1, 34, 35, and 36 on upgrade list respectively. 9 seats available, and I declined the upgrade and declined to bother with sponsoring companion (I have never seen so many people on the upgrade list for this flight).

3/22 - DFW to CUN

1EXP, 3 Gold - #1, 16, 17 and 18 on upgrade list with four seats available. Split record and sponsored a companion for upgrade (787-9 business class). Both cleared at gate.

bse118 Mar 22, 2024 7:21 am


Originally Posted by dc10forlife (Post 36100512)
3/21 - DAY to DFW

.... (I have never seen so many people on the upgrade list for this flight).

NCAA Tournament First Four games in DAY that ended the night before.

bse118 Mar 23, 2024 1:47 pm

This week. More flights, more upgrades:
  • DEN-DFW, A321, Thursday, 6am: Cleared at about 12 hours prior to departure [ticket was purchased inside of the 100 hour window]
  • DFW-SGF, E75, Thursday ~10am, Cleared at about 24 hours prior to departure [ticket was purchased inside of the 100 hour window]
  • MEM-LGA, E75, Saturday, 10am: Cleared at about 72 hours prior to departure
All the of the above were on dirt cheap miles redemptions.

Edit to add, probably around 250k rolling LP.

I'm also on AA100, JFK-LHR tonight, which has had confirmable C upgrade space available for at least the last 3 days. But I don't waste SWUs on short TATLs, my W seat will be good enough for this painful short redeye.

safari ari Mar 24, 2024 1:25 pm

Sunday: DEN-DFW #4 for no seats, DFW-RDU upgraded at T-12, saw UGs being sold for ~140$ at T-24, not sure for which flight. ~260k rolling LP.

Hockey1234 Mar 24, 2024 6:39 pm

Upgrade chance DFW- HNL & OGG- LAX
 
Flying 5/2 from DFW- HNL. I did a cash/copay upgrade for two ppl. What is the likelihood of the upgrade clearing? I don’t have any other status or LPs. If unlikely to clear, I may just cancel and do a cash upgrade offer to PE. Can I then rejoin the list for cash/copay?

flying 5/13 from OGG- LAX. Same situation the second leg cleared already from LAX-PHL. Chances of the initial leg clearing?

thanks!

FlightNurse Mar 25, 2024 10:32 am


Originally Posted by Hockey1234 (Post 36106970)
Flying 5/2 from DFW- HNL. I did a cash/copay upgrade for two ppl. What is the likelihood of the upgrade clearing? I don’t have any other status or LPs. If unlikely to clear, I may just cancel and do a cash upgrade offer to PE. Can I then rejoin the list for cash/copay?

flying 5/13 from OGG- LAX. Same situation the second leg cleared already from LAX-PHL. Chances of the initial leg clearing?

thanks!

ZERO, that flight goes out full in BC.


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