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Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2022 master thread)

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Old Mar 6, 2022, 1:17 pm
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Last edit by: JDiver
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing (Be aware of possible upgrade priority changes as of Loyalty Points becoming the qualifier for rewards)

(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)

Elite status
  1. Concierge Key
  2. Executive Platinum
  3. Platinum Pro
  4. Platinum
  5. Gold


Upgrade type
  1. Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
  2. 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
  3. 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)


Then, by
  1. EQD earned, possibly changing to Loyalty Points earned, in the past 12 months (rolling) as far as we know today
  2. Booking class
  3. Time of request


Link to 2020-2021 archived thread.

For previous changes, see Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017





Link to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017
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Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2022 master thread)

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Old Sep 1, 2022, 2:01 pm
  #511  
 
Join Date: Dec 2018
Programs: $9 Fare Club
Posts: 1,479
Originally Posted by IADCAflyer
Well, well. DCA-ORD just now cleared for today's flight. It was F4 or F5 for at least two days and I guess revenue management gave up and upgraded a bunch of us. Its now F1.
Same route tomorrow evening and just cleared (PLT) at T-27, was relatively confident given the upgrade offer never wavered at $97, but we did go from J14/C8 on Monday to J5/C2 this morning which almost had me pulling the trigger.
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 2:50 pm
  #512  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
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8/31 dfw-CLT #2 out of 15 for 0 F seats
9/1 CLT-CHS cleared at gate (CR9)
9/1 CHS-Dfw #2 out of 22 for 0 F seats
enviroian is online now  
Old Sep 1, 2022, 4:52 pm
  #513  
 
Join Date: May 2022
Location: Arlington, Virginia
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum, Aeroplan 25k, Hyatt Explorist, Marriott Gold
Posts: 195
Originally Posted by IADCAflyer
Well, well. DCA-ORD just now cleared for today's flight. It was F4 or F5 for at least two days and I guess revenue management gave up and upgraded a bunch of us. Its now F1.
This gives me great hope as a Platinum who has been left at the top of the upgrade list on departure on this very route -- flying it both ways in just a couple weeks!
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 7:19 pm
  #514  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Boston, MA
Programs: AA 1MM EXP, DL Diamond, Hilton Diamond, Bonvoy Ambassador (RIP SPG), Aeroplan 75K
Posts: 1,157
JFK-PHX Midday 9/1 (738): 15 on the list with one clearing. Was J7 with ~8-9 seats open around 10 days out until TODs came into play at $247. Quickly went down to J3 just before the EP window. Ended up up-faring both segments for just over $309.

PHX-LGB Evening 9/1 (CR9): Wide open at the EP window. Went out with 10 on the list and one clearing.
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:03 pm
  #515  
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP / LT PLT / 3MM, Marriott LT Gold
Posts: 35,389
Originally Posted by js1993
That's good. For some reason, I thought you were in PE already, but being upgraded to PE, if available right before departure, is something of an unpublished perk for EXP. I thought it was only for EXP whose SWU or other upgrade request didn't clear at the gate, but maybe it's always been more liberal. Hope you and your wife have a great trip.
Flying JFK-GRU in 2018, I asked the AC if they could upgrade me from Y to a basically empty PE cabin and they were happy to oblige.

On the return, the people at the GRU AC couldn't (or wouldn't) do it.
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:18 pm
  #516  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,013
Originally Posted by vasantn
Flying JFK-GRU in 2018, I asked the AC if they could upgrade me from Y to a basically empty PE cabin and they were happy to oblige.
This has me thinking what to do moving forward when booking transatlantic flights. Since AA has now yanked all C availability for future flights I was thinking of spending another $300 upcharge from MCE to PE as a stop gap measure to at least assure me if those system worthless upgrades don’t clear at least I’m in PE. BUT what if I book MCE and can get PE gratis. It’s a crap shoot.
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:32 pm
  #517  
 
Join Date: Aug 2021
Location: USA
Programs: American Airlines (Executive Platinum), Hyatt (Globalist), Hilton (Diamond), IHG (Diamond)
Posts: 2,917
Originally Posted by enviroian
This has me thinking what to do moving forward when booking transatlantic flights. Since AA has now yanked all C availability for future flights I was thinking of spending another $300 upcharge from MCE to PE as a stop gap measure to at least assure me if those system worthless upgrades don’t clear at least I’m in PE. BUT what if I book MCE and can get PE gratis. It’s a crap shoot.
Where are you seeing transatlantic PE for only $300 more than MCE? It's always $1,000+ on the routes I check. Have you been getting cheaper buy-up offers after booking MCE?
js1993 is offline  
Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:39 pm
  #518  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,013
Originally Posted by js1993
Where are you seeing transatlantic PE for only $300 more than MCE? It's always $1,000+ on the routes I check. Have you been getting cheaper buy-up offers after booking MCE?
I’m somewhat remembering from past experience but maybe the delta was more but definitely I’ve never seen PE $1k more than MCE on flights to London
enviroian is online now  
Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:45 pm
  #519  
 
Join Date: Aug 2021
Location: USA
Programs: American Airlines (Executive Platinum), Hyatt (Globalist), Hilton (Diamond), IHG (Diamond)
Posts: 2,917
Originally Posted by enviroian
I’m somewhat remembering from past experience but maybe the delta was more but definitely I’ve never seen PE $1k more than MCE on flights to London
PE is consistently ~$1,000 more on JFK-LHR now.

In a classic example of AA being AA, it will be about $1,000 more during the first booking pages, but then the pre-payment upsell will often say something like "Move to PE for $1,900."
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Old Sep 1, 2022, 8:55 pm
  #520  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,013
Originally Posted by js1993
PE is consistently ~$1,000 more on JFK-LHR now.

In a classic example of AA being AA, it will be about $1,000 more during the first booking pages, but then the pre-payment upsell will often say something like "Move to PE for $1,900."
if I am going to pay up sell for PE of a grand then I’ll gladly give it to BA and fly the beluga over the pond (and probably get more loyalty points too)
js1993 likes this.
enviroian is online now  
Old Sep 2, 2022, 3:53 am
  #521  
 
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: DCA/IAD
Programs: AA EXP; 1W Emerald; HHonors Diamond; Marriott Gold; UA dirt
Posts: 7,816
And now ORD-DCA cleared. 5 hours prior to departure.
IADCAflyer is offline  
Old Sep 2, 2022, 6:03 am
  #522  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,013
Flying to CUN today. I’m 2 out of 14 for 1 seat.
enviroian is online now  
Old Sep 2, 2022, 10:48 am
  #523  
 
Join Date: Mar 2014
Programs: Choice Hotels
Posts: 762
Tomorrow 9/3

OKC-DFW A321

DFW-BZN 738

Both flights cleared at the 72-hour Platinum pro window. I pre-ordered the shrimp salad on my flight to Bozeman.
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Old Sep 2, 2022, 1:13 pm
  #524  
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Location: LAX/PHL
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 292
08/31/2022
LAX to LAS - Upgraded at T100
LAS to LAX - #1 on waitlist, no one cleared as all F seats got booked
Both flights were booked BE.
ryanbriar and thunderdeacon like this.
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Old Sep 2, 2022, 2:42 pm
  #525  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Wesley Chapel, FL
Programs: American Airlines
Posts: 30,013
Just before door closure agent comes to me in 8A and brings me up to 2C.

enviroian is online now  


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