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-   American Airlines | AAdvantage (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage-733/)
-   -   Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/1883276-chances-upgrade-clearing-availability-2018-master-thread.html)

wandertheglobe Dec 16, 2018 12:17 am

I was on the HKG-DFW AA 126 12/15 and had a milage + copay upgrade request in, was fairly high on the list so thought the odds of clearing was pretty good. There were 51 on the upgrade list. In the end those that cleared (from the upgrade list on the AA app) were #1 and #'s 19-28, completing skipping #'s 2-18. I don't understand how this would ever occur, why bother publishing an upgrade list at all if it is not going to be used? What do you have to do, keep calling the AA desk and asking or checking in with the gate agent? I have politely inquired at the gate in the past and the agent typically would just say they are working on it or watch the list, so didn't do that this time. I had a good seat for the flight but was looking forward to the (very rare) upgrade opportunity. I just don't understand the logic used where most of the top 20 on the list are skipped. Will be interesting what AA says about it.

thedeeg Dec 16, 2018 7:49 am

So i’m 6/6 this week on domestic upgrades, but the last 2 haven’t cleared for my partner, despite being on the same booking using my status. Seats available both times.

i tried to speak to the gate agent on Friday in CLT, but she wasn’t having any of it. I spoke to the AAdvantage line on Saturday, and they said they removed my partners FFN and re-requested the upgrade, so it should have cleared yesterday at the same time as mine?

Anyway, not the end of the world, but is there a way to make sure this works properly? Is it a case of making the booking under my FFN, then requesting the upgrade, then adding partners FFN?


beachfan Dec 16, 2018 9:19 am


Originally Posted by wandertheglobe (Post 30540467)
I was on the HKG-DFW AA 126 12/15 and had a milage + copay upgrade request in, was fairly high on the list so thought the odds of clearing was pretty good. There were 51 on the upgrade list. In the end those that cleared (from the upgrade list on the AA app) were #1 and #'s 19-28, completing skipping #'s 2-18. I don't understand how this would ever occur, why bother publishing an upgrade list at all if it is not going to be used? What do you have to do, keep calling the AA desk and asking or checking in with the gate agent? I have politely inquired at the gate in the past and the agent typically would just say they are working on it or watch the list, so didn't do that this time. I had a good seat for the flight but was looking forward to the (very rare) upgrade opportunity. I just don't understand the logic used where most of the top 20 on the list are skipped. Will be interesting what AA says about it.

Any chance 19-28 cleared from J to F?

other explanation I’d they skipped over miles/copay and processed swu’s only if they felt there wasn’t enough time to process the copays (sounds stupid but has happened to me). When did 19-28 clear? After or before boarding? This seems less likely as the SWUs and miles-copay would not be bunched like that (but on a domestic, Miles-copay and 500 miles upgrades would be).

i watch the app like a hawk for these type of shenanigans but even when you catch them, you are likely still out of luck.

rubikcube Dec 16, 2018 9:24 am


Originally Posted by wandertheglobe (Post 30540467)
I was on the HKG-DFW AA 126 12/15 and had a milage + copay upgrade request in, was fairly high on the list so thought the odds of clearing was pretty good. There were 51 on the upgrade list. In the end those that cleared (from the upgrade list on the AA app) were #1 and #'s 19-28, completing skipping #'s 2-18. I don't understand how this would ever occur, why bother publishing an upgrade list at all if it is not going to be used? What do you have to do, keep calling the AA desk and asking or checking in with the gate agent? I have politely inquired at the gate in the past and the agent typically would just say they are working on it or watch the list, so didn't do that this time. I had a good seat for the flight but was looking forward to the (very rare) upgrade opportunity. I just don't understand the logic used where most of the top 20 on the list are skipped. Will be interesting what AA says about it.

Entirely possible that it was E->PE upgrades. All three upgrades lists are combined on AA, so you don’t know who is upgrading to what. Very frustrating, but not likely that many people were skipped.

Stripe Dec 16, 2018 2:18 pm


Originally Posted by beachfan (Post 30541350)
Any chance 19-28 cleared from J to F?

Not likely since that is 9 upgrades and there are only 8 F seats on that plane. And if all 8 were open presumably at least some of the upgrade requests would have cleared before then.

HLCinCOU Dec 16, 2018 8:32 pm

Yeah, can't be J->F upgrades; in addition to Stripe's solid points, I'll add that if they cleared 8 J->F upgrades that would free up 8 J seats, which would result in 2-9 on the list clearing (assuming those were Y/W->J requests). If they only cleared 1 Y->J upgrade, they didn't clear more than 1 J->F upgrade.

I have no idea how Y->W upgrades work, but maybe that's what's going on? Seems odd there would be 8 open W seats too though. I don't have any other theory, but I find it pretty unlikely that they just straight skipped 18 people for no reason.

golfingboy Dec 16, 2018 8:41 pm


Originally Posted by HLCinCOU (Post 30543279)

I have no idea how Y->W upgrades work, but maybe that's what's going on? Seems odd there would be 8 open W seats too though. I don't have any other theory, but I find it pretty unlikely that they just straight skipped 18 people for no reason.

Actually this got me thinking maybe those customers were customers in W getting upgraded to J? With #1 being either a displaced pax or CK?

However, I have noticed a similar oddity on a domestic flight last month so I feel there is something up with how the upgrade list and airport list not syncing up the way it should.

HLCinCOU Dec 16, 2018 8:57 pm


Originally Posted by golfingboy (Post 30543304)
Actually this got me thinking maybe those customers were customers in W getting upgraded to J? With #1 being either a displaced pax or CK?

Well, I would have thought the W folks would be situated in the list wherever they should be. Also, do W seats even get preference?


Originally Posted by golfingboy (Post 30543304)
However, I have noticed a similar oddity on a domestic flight last month so I feel there is something up with how the upgrade list and airport list not syncing up the way it should.

I guess it's possible. I have not noticed any strange behavior myself (or at least, nothing strange enough it's not explained by stuff we already know about like different cabin upgrades).

golfingboy Dec 16, 2018 9:39 pm


Originally Posted by HLCinCOU (Post 30543349)
Well, I would have thought the W folks would be situated in the list wherever they should be. Also, do W seats even get preference?



I guess it's possible. I have not noticed any strange behavior myself (or at least, nothing strange enough it's not explained by stuff we already know about like different cabin upgrades).

I am not sure. At this point - AA isn’t quite transparent about these kind of thing.

Regarding being skipped I created a thread last month when I noticed on a short PIT-CLT flight they cleared someone way down the list skipping many others on the list and some have observed similar situations the poster was discussing about.

https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...rade-list.html

dcfit Dec 16, 2018 11:22 pm


Originally Posted by wandertheglobe (Post 30540467)
I was on the HKG-DFW AA 126 12/15 and had a milage + copay upgrade request in, was fairly high on the list so thought the odds of clearing was pretty good. There were 51 on the upgrade list. In the end those that cleared (from the upgrade list on the AA app) were #1 and #'s 19-28, completing skipping #'s 2-18. I don't understand how this would ever occur, why bother publishing an upgrade list at all if it is not going to be used? What do you have to do, keep calling the AA desk and asking or checking in with the gate agent? I have politely inquired at the gate in the past and the agent typically would just say they are working on it or watch the list, so didn't do that this time. I had a good seat for the flight but was looking forward to the (very rare) upgrade opportunity. I just don't understand the logic used where most of the top 20 on the list are skipped. Will be interesting what AA says about it.

I am on 126 tomorrow (currently seated in PE) and have been on the waitlist to use a SWU for a while—It looked like there was C1 this morning for a brief moment, but I was on my flight to HKG and missed it. EF is showing 14 seats open in J, so I’m hoping I get one, but your experience makes me worried!

platbrownguy Dec 17, 2018 1:55 am


Originally Posted by dcfit (Post 30543680)
I am on 126 tomorrow (currently seated in PE) and have been on the waitlist to use a SWU for a while—It looked like there was C1 this morning for a brief moment, but I was on my flight to HKG and missed it. EF is showing 14 seats open in J, so I’m hoping I get one, but your experience makes me worried!

I'm not normally a defender but it seems this is mostly a bunch of fuss about nothing. It has been common knowledge on here that J--> F, Y/W --> J, and Y --> W upgraders are all on the list, usually in chunks (i.e. #1-3 might be for F, #4-30 might be for J, and #31-60 might be for W, with the result that #1-3, 4-10, and 31-40 end up clearing, if there are 3, 7, and 10 seats in F, J, and W, respectively). Sure, there are occasional reports of what sounds like AAgents wrongly skipping people on the list, but this phenomenon of having separate sequential groups of people clear should not be presumed to be nefarious. It is very common. I just had something like this happen on my current DFW-HKG AA 125.

dcfit Dec 17, 2018 3:17 am

It’s a moot point for me now—got a notification a few hours ago that AA126 that was supposed to leave at 3:45pm on Dec 18 is now delayed until 7:00am on Dec 19th. Got myself rerouted on a CX codeshare to JFK that leaves in the morning now, so PE it is for me!

Brandontheflyer Dec 17, 2018 4:07 pm

hey guys ,
Can someone tell me the chances of me and my dad getting upgraded on aa38 on the 12/23/18? We are using a swu.
Thanks in advance

enviroian Dec 17, 2018 4:11 pm


Originally Posted by Brandontheflyer (Post 30546601)
hey guys ,
Can someone tell me the chances of me and my dad getting upgraded on aa38 on the 12/23/18? We are using a swu.
Thanks in advance

Currently C0

KBOS777 Dec 18, 2018 2:55 pm

Cleared at T-96 on tomorrow's AA16, 11:40AM departure SFO-JFK from Y to J. EF was showing J4 before I cleared, now showing J2. Pretty surprised.


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