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-   -   Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread) (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/american-airlines-aadvantage/1883276-chances-upgrade-clearing-availability-2018-master-thread.html)

Finsup72 Nov 26, 2018 7:36 am


Originally Posted by dwugson (Post 30467341)
Can anyone with Expert Flyer assess my chances of a miles + cash upgrade on AA 106 12/21. Currently in economy and waitlisted for an upgrade. Am platinum pro but only $13 K EQD this year. Thanks.

That flight is currently showing J7 C0 with 17 open seats in business class. It's still a ways out but I'd probably guess your upgrade will clear as business travel on a Friday night into a holiday week is very light.

dwugson Nov 26, 2018 8:43 am

Thanks Finsup! shall keep my fingers crossed.

bse118 Nov 27, 2018 5:06 am


Originally Posted by bse118 (Post 30182301)
Another flight. Another SWU clearing well in advance.

AA46, the late ORD-LHR, for the Sunday after Thanksgiving. Y-->J on a 788.

(admittedly the Sunday after Thanksgiving might be a bit abnormal day for 'typical' business travel)

So flew this flight now (posting this from the QF lounge at LHR)

Originally booked OMA-ORD-LHR-LUX on Nov 25 with the SWU cleared months in advance.

Afternoon of departure cancelled due to snow in ORD. Nothing available that day.

Auto-rebooked on the same flights through ORD the next day Nov 26 - upgrades maintained.

Called in and moved myself to OMA-DFW-LHR-LUX on Nov 26 via AA78 - upgrades maintained. (And C space was showing for AA78 at ~30 hours before departure.

Good thing I moved - the OMA-ORD flights were cancelled on Nov 26 as well.

Still have not missed a Y-->J SWU or BXP3 longhaul request during my several years as EXP.

enviroian Nov 27, 2018 8:26 am


Originally Posted by bse118 (Post 30471063)
Still have not missed a Y-->J SWU or BXP3 longhaul request during my several years as EXP.

:cool:

:D

AATrout Nov 27, 2018 1:21 pm

Bleak
 
And not the first shutout out of DFW. 16 of 41 today on the list for AA2351 DFW-DCA.

At 17k EQD.

Another reason why DEN-DCA via CLT even as a dump airport is the new preferred route. Never any upgrade fails. Right behind it is via ORD.

Trying this bonehead itinerary is entirely on me, as I know better.

Edit: make that 21 of 46. 😧



ComplexAnalysis Nov 27, 2018 1:24 pm


Originally Posted by AATrout (Post 30472918)
Trying this bonehead itinerary is entirely on me, as I know better.

:D

Outside of winter travel, I would much prefer through ORD as you would get a usually decent hot meal on the ORD-DCA leg and I imagine it would be the quickest door-to-door!

dkc192 Nov 27, 2018 4:05 pm


Originally Posted by AATrout (Post 30472918)
And not the first shutout out of DFW. 16 of 41 today on the list for AA2351 DFW-DCA.

At 17k EQD.

Another reason why DEN-DCA via CLT even as a dump airport is the new preferred route. Never any upgrade fails. Right behind it is via ORD.

Trying this bonehead itinerary is entirely on me, as I know better.

Edit: make that 21 of 46. ��



Wow, that's rough, especially for a Tuesday. DFW-BOS is another one that can be incredibly hard to upgrade at the wrong times. I was 23 out of 40-something as a 15k EQD EXP on the evening of Presidents' Day this year. Similar to you, I also saw a 40-something list on a Wednesday in mid-October, but thankfully I was in paid F that time.

That said, I've also cleared a couple of Friday noontime BOS-DFW flights at the gate, so, YMMV greatly it seems. :confused:

HLCinCOU Nov 27, 2018 4:38 pm

One 2019-01-31 expiring SWU left; waitlisted on MSY-DFW-LIM on 2019-01-24. Right now J7 R6 D2 I0 with exactly 7 open on the seat map (plus two blocked) on the 757. We shall see...the return is LATAM where I can't use them (or upgrade any other way at all) so if this one misses I suppose I'll be giving it away.

AATrout Nov 27, 2018 7:05 pm


Originally Posted by dkc192 (Post 30473553)
Wow, that's rough, especially for a Tuesday. DFW-BOS is another one that can be incredibly hard to upgrade at the wrong times. I was 23 out of 40-something as a 15k EQD EXP on the evening of Presidents' Day this year. Similar to you, I also saw a 40-something list on a Wednesday in mid-October, but thankfully I was in paid F that time.

That said, I've also cleared a couple of Friday noontime BOS-DFW flights at the gate, so, YMMV greatly it seems. :confused:

I think this was residual Turkey Day return traffic that surged 2 more days after the supposed big Sunday travel day. This time of year isn’t exactly heavy business in and out of DC. Probable that a number of non-biz travelers “bought-up” to enjoy the ride. Still, out of 16, that would account for perhaps half?

Wasn’t aware of a DFW effect from the WX in the Midwest, including diverts, but when I went thru there on Saturday night from FRA the place was totally packed. Possibly some folks were heading to the east coast, were affected, rerouted and had priority. DCA isn’t the best for heading further north, but when I got in tonight @1915, DCA was also really packed. :eek: At least Metro was up and running...

PHLondoner Nov 28, 2018 11:28 am

Upcoming trip PHL - LAX - Friday, February 1st on the A332 (flight 698 leaves pHL at 3:35). I put in for a Miles/Copay upgrade for a family of 3 - I presently don't have any status. Right now first is showing as 4 seats out of 20 booked. Any snowball chance in hell we can all clear?

tylerdurden4543 Nov 29, 2018 7:02 am

Can someone tell me if this is normal?

I have two passengers on one PNR. NRT-DFW-MIA. I requested to use two SWUs to upgrade only NRT-DFW for both passengers because the DFW-MIA is already booked full in first. When checking the res online, I get a "standby" menu. It shows my original flights in economy with the same seats as originally booked. But when I click the "standby flight" it lists NRT-DFW in economy (with originally booked seats) and right below it has the same NRT-DFW flight but with business listed and the seats listed are the two economy seats we have DFW-MIA. Seems pretty weird...

JJeffrey Nov 29, 2018 8:01 am


Originally Posted by tylerdurden4543 (Post 30479335)
Can someone tell me if this is normal?

I have two passengers on one PNR. NRT-DFW-MIA. I requested to use two SWUs to upgrade only NRT-DFW for both passengers because the DFW-MIA is already booked full in first. When checking the res online, I get a "standby" menu. It shows my original flights in economy with the same seats as originally booked. But when I click the "standby flight" it lists NRT-DFW in economy (with originally booked seats) and right below it has the same NRT-DFW flight but with business listed and the seats listed are the two economy seats we have DFW-MIA. Seems pretty weird...

I have a trip to LHR waitlisted for SWUs in a few weeks which is showing the exact same thing when I pull up the reservation online. I even called AA because it looked so strange, they assured me the SWU requests were set up correctly and nothing was out of the ordinary, etc.

kjm12898 Nov 29, 2018 8:19 am


Originally Posted by tylerdurden4543 (Post 30479335)
Can someone tell me if this is normal?

I have two passengers on one PNR. NRT-DFW-MIA. I requested to use two SWUs to upgrade only NRT-DFW for both passengers because the DFW-MIA is already booked full in first. When checking the res online, I get a "standby" menu. It shows my original flights in economy with the same seats as originally booked. But when I click the "standby flight" it lists NRT-DFW in economy (with originally booked seats) and right below it has the same NRT-DFW flight but with business listed and the seats listed are the two economy seats we have DFW-MIA. Seems pretty weird...

I have seen this when waitlisting a BXP1 (Business Extra Award) and for a connecting flight when one leg was confirmed in first, but other one was waitlisted. I wouldn't worry.

aacar Dec 3, 2018 10:32 am

AA364 (DFW-SJC) yesterday, was 10 of 31 as EXP with ~$17K rolling EQDs.
#1 on the list was a CK (GA read out the names of the 3 CKs).
No one cleared.

stephem Dec 3, 2018 11:07 am

Do complementary EXP upgrades come out of C bucket? So if C=1 and i book within the 5 day window i should get upgraded shortly after ticketing?


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