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ARCHIVE: Chances of upgrade clearing / upgrade availability - 2012 and prior)

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ARCHIVE: Chances of upgrade clearing / upgrade availability - 2012 and prior)

 
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Old Jul 13, 2010, 2:51 pm
  #1066  
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 90
Originally Posted by sts603
I'm at 100% as an EXP including flights like AA 10 on a Sunday. About half of my flights are clearing at the window. The other half have been within the last 24 hours. Nevertheless, only one has gone to the gate (the aforementioned AA 10).

Upgrades are still very plentiful for most EXPs.
so for a lowly Platinum like myself, chances are probably very slim, especially with a sold-out first class cabin.
MiloDrinker is offline  
Old Jul 13, 2010, 3:58 pm
  #1067  
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 27
Originally Posted by MiloDrinker
why isn't your husband letting you sit in his first class seat? he can sit in coach.
Haha. It's because he is 6 foot and I feel so bad when he is squished into a tiny coach seat when I can find myself relatively comfortable across two seats. With the lie flat seats in first class, I figure he can at least be comfortable. Also, I am the mileage earner in the relationship and I used my miles to get him the seat while I sit in coach earning my miles so that someday, we might be able to sit together in first class=).
aimlessflyer is offline  
Old Jul 13, 2010, 7:11 pm
  #1068  
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 1
Business Upgrade to China

Book the fight in January and was wait listed. We fly in September. What are the chances of getting the upgrade? Right now 10 of 35 seats are taken.
t1059 is offline  
Old Jul 13, 2010, 7:13 pm
  #1069  
 
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: NYC, USA
Programs: AA PLT, 3MM, DL Plat, Hertz PC, SPG Gold
Posts: 601
It's very hard to predict something like this.

Last edited by yojimbo; Jul 13, 2010 at 7:14 pm Reason: clarity
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Old Jul 13, 2010, 7:14 pm
  #1070  
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Programs: AA EXP, 1 MM, AC, HH Diamond, Marriott Silver, Hertz 5*
Posts: 4,010
Originally Posted by yojimbo
43.765757%
Plus or minus.

Paging HNL.
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Old Jul 13, 2010, 7:24 pm
  #1071  
Moderator: American AAdvantage
 
Join Date: May 2000
Location: NorCal - SMF area
Programs: AA LT Plat; HH LT Diamond, Matre-plongeur des Muccis
Posts: 62,948
Welcome to FlyerTalk.

Your question has been added to the active thread on this topic. A reading might give you some ideas of the variables involved - date of request, elite status of passengers, number of passengers on the same record, the irrelevance of seat charts to chances of upgrading (seat charts merely reflect assigned seats, not sold seats), etc. Good luck!

Originally Posted by t1059
Book the fight in January and was wait listed. We fly in September. What are the chances of getting the upgrade? Right now 10 of 35 seats are taken.
JDiver is offline  
Old Jul 13, 2010, 7:27 pm
  #1072  
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Programs: AA EXP, 1 MM, AC, HH Diamond, Marriott Silver, Hertz 5*
Posts: 4,010
Originally Posted by t1059
Book the fight in January and was wait listed. We fly in September. What are the chances of getting the upgrade? Right now 10 of 35 seats are taken.
As others have noted, there are a lot of variables that can affect whether or not you get an upgrade. I'd say the odds are good , as it looks now, but there are no guarantees.
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Old Jul 13, 2010, 8:57 pm
  #1073  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: SBA
Programs: AA PlatPro, Hyatt Globalist, National Executive Elite
Posts: 58
Hello,

I am flying LAX-DEN and am wondering how hard it is to get an upgrade on that route. Are there many elites on that route? I will be flying midweek sometime this summer should be end of July early august.

Thanks!
805Flyer is offline  
Old Jul 15, 2010, 6:49 am
  #1074  
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: San Antonio, Tx
Programs: UA gold, AA Plat, HHonors diamond, DL DM
Posts: 705
LHR-DFW - reserved 7 months in advance

I requested the C upgrade 7 months ago for me and my wife for 7-31. During a random check on Expert Flyer back in March, I found 1 seat in C bucket for my wife. Now 16 days out as an EXP still no upgrade, but there are still 5 seats in J and 5 in F (although the hope there is some J passenger will get an op upgrade and free a seat for me.) This is the longest I have ever reserved in advance without the upgrade clearing in advance. Outbound is today and that cleared at time of booking.

I am part of a group so I had no choice on the routing and flights. The lesson from reviewing Expert Flyer is that BOS and ORD are better routes for upgrades to/from LHR. The C bucket looks pretty bleak the next three weekends on LHR-DFW.

Monitoring the seat map did pay off, I did snag exit row window on the 777, which is far better than what I had before.
MIA-SAT is offline  
Old Jul 15, 2010, 8:09 am
  #1075  
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: OKC/DFW
Programs: AA EXP/2 MM
Posts: 9,999
Originally Posted by porsche534
I was under the assumption a systemwide upgrade would clear as early as booking if C and A inventory were available? Is this not the case?
As another poster noted, that's how it should happen. I've cleared eVIP upgrades up to 8 or 9 months in advance (both domestic and international segments) so I don't understand why the agent couldn't clear a portion of you trip at 4 months. Did you call back? If so, what was the result? I'm interested to know.


Edited: Never mind. I missed your earlier reply. I'm up to speed now.

Last edited by oklAAhoma; Jul 15, 2010 at 9:39 am
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Old Jul 15, 2010, 8:12 am
  #1076  
brp
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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Originally Posted by oklAAhoma
As another poster noted, that's how it should happen. I've cleared eVIP upgrades up to 8 or 9 months in advance (both domestic and international segments) so I don't understand why the agent couldn't clear a portion of you trip at 4 months. Did you call back? If so, what was the result? I'm interested to know.
Yup.We just cleared yesterday for a December/January trip to PEK. Both international and domestic legs in both directions.

Cheers.
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Old Jul 15, 2010, 8:24 am
  #1077  
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Join Date: Apr 2006
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Posts: 10,161
Originally Posted by MIA-SAT
I requested the C upgrade 7 months ago for me and my wife for 7-31. During a random check on Expert Flyer back in March, I found 1 seat in C bucket for my wife. Now 16 days out as an EXP still no upgrade, but there are still 5 seats in J and 5 in F (although the hope there is some J passenger will get an op upgrade and free a seat for me.) This is the longest I have ever reserved in advance without the upgrade
Do you have a lot of SWUs in your account? If so and the upgrade hasn't cleared by the date of the flight, check w/the GA to see if you can use one to upgrade someone from J to F, and then upgrade yourself from Y to J. Just don't do this until you confirm that you could get the open J seat.

Last edited by bdemaria; Jul 15, 2010 at 9:05 am
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Old Jul 15, 2010, 8:48 am
  #1078  
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: San Antonio, Tx
Programs: UA gold, AA Plat, HHonors diamond, DL DM
Posts: 705
Originally Posted by bdemaria
Do you have a lot of SWUs in your account? If so and the upgrade hasn't cleared by the date of the flight, check w/the GA to see if you can upgrade use one to upgrade someone from J to F, and then upgrade yourself from Y to J. Just don't do this until you confirm that you could get the open J seat.
Thanks for the idea. I have plenty left in the account and will gladly let someone go to F on a certificate if that will get me into J.
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Old Jul 15, 2010, 9:42 am
  #1079  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: London
Programs: BA GGL, AA 1MM LT GLD, SPG PLAT, National Exec Selc, Hilton Diamond, Hyatt Plat, Marriott Silver
Posts: 8,278
Originally Posted by MiloDrinker
so for a lowly Platinum like myself, chances are probably very slim, especially with a sold-out first class cabin.
Yes. AA 10 on Sundays, Mondays and Thursdays is one of the hardest flights in the system to clear. Even EXPs that haven't booked at least several weeks out are bound to be in coach.
sts603 is offline  
Old Jul 15, 2010, 10:50 am
  #1080  
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: PDX
Programs: AA,DL,BA,UA,SPG, and any other free trip!
Posts: 1,803
Offered UPG on AA1295 MCO-LAX for $225

Checked in at kiosk for my MCO-LAX segment and was offered an upgrade to First (A class) for $225.00 total. I took it!
Good deal for a long haul from east to west. Was also offered a lunch and all the regular amenities of first class.
mrx900 is offline  


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