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-   -   B737MAX Recertification - Archive (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/united-airlines-mileageplus/2031779-b737max-recertification-archive.html)

jsloan May 13, 2019 10:10 am


Originally Posted by LIH (Post 31096576)
I'm not saying there weren't issues with oversight, but being on site doesn't increase regulatory capture. That isn't even intuitive, let alone real.

Life is much easier if you decide the outcome you want before knowing the facts. In this case, if the FAA is on-site, it's because they're corrupt, and if they're not on-site, it's because they're lax.

worldclubber May 13, 2019 11:07 am

What a number of replies. Please relax. Just seems that Boeing and FAA got a little too close for (my) comfort.

Aussienarelle May 13, 2019 11:27 am


Originally Posted by Newman55 (Post 31096264)
Which will come from where? I hope you aren't suggesting that other country's aviation authorities are any different in their independence than the FAA.

Sorry if my post was not clear enough. That is exactly my thinking. When the FAA considers Boeing their "customer" and not the flying public who they are supposed to be protecting then that is a huge concern for me as recent events have shown. Yes I believe the foreign aviation authorities are not so closely aligned with Boeing. Hence my viewpoint (and that of others based on the WSJ article).

You do know one of the well known and not so secret tactics during a tax audit is to get close to the tax auditors so they get comfortable with the positions taken on tax returns. The taxpayer understands the nuances of the transaction much better than the IRS and can educate them on the result. There is a reason uncertain tax positions taken by a taxpayer get referred to the Chief Counsel's office for an independent viewpoint, and the IRS decisions do not involve the potential loss of someone's life.

You are entitled to your opinion and I am entitled to mine but Boeing's tactics are a classic approach to ensuring you get the answer you want from a regulatory authority. The foreign regulatory authorities are not sitting in Boeing's offices and happy for the FAA to explain the Boeing position to ensure it passes muster.

Originally Posted by worldclubber (Post 31096838)
What a number of replies. Please relax. Just seems that Boeing and FAA got a little too close for (my) comfort.

⬆️⬆️⬆️ This sums up my attitude as well.

VegasGambler May 13, 2019 11:40 am


Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 31096608)
In this case, if the FAA is on-site, it's because they're corrupt, and if they're not on-site, it's because they're lax.

Can't they be both?

Newman55 May 13, 2019 12:00 pm


Originally Posted by worldclubber (Post 31096838)
What a number of replies. Please relax. Just seems that Boeing and FAA got a little too close for (my) comfort.

Most people understand that fear is usually irrational.

I think it would be great if a lot of people would relax and let the facts come out and then make appropriate judgement. Seems like that’s not possible for all.

GMoneyCO May 13, 2019 12:10 pm

The latest estimate for the fleet to be un-grounded is mid-August per the WSJ article published mid-morning. Realistically speaking, there will need to be a period where software updates and mods are applied to the grounded fleet making early September a more likely reality for meaningful service to start back up.

It will likely be an ugly summer for delays and cancellations as the fleet gets stretched thinner and more maintenance is deferred.

worldclubber May 13, 2019 2:40 pm


Originally Posted by Newman55 (Post 31097043)
I think it would be great if a lot of people would relax and let the facts come out and then make appropriate judgement. Seems like that’s not possible for all.

Some facts are on the table: 300+ people died when two new planes of the same type ended up in a fireball.

About the cause, there are many different explanations and interpretations. Concerning this, the jury is still out whose “facts” are really facts.

Newman55 May 13, 2019 3:34 pm


Originally Posted by worldclubber (Post 31097629)


Some facts are on the table: 300+ people died when two new planes of the same type ended up in a fireball.

About the cause, there are many different explanations and interpretations. Concerning this, the jury is still out whose “facts” are really facts.

I'd say we have facts and we have conjecture. Most of this thread has been conjecture and a few people trying (in vain) to explain the facts to those folks.

But, there's a lot we don't know at this point and conjecture and conspiracy theories thrive in atmospheres where we still don't know a lot and with subject matter that is inherently complex.

prestonh May 13, 2019 4:23 pm


Originally Posted by worldclubber (Post 31095785)


Well, and they should not have been placed in such a difficult situation by a manufacturer that now had to admit they had long been aware of the issues.

The max and ng have published runaway trim procecdures which do not include reengaging the electric trim. I am also pretty certain that coupled with overspend that this is was not in the flight envelope regardless of mcas. The loss of situational awareness I believe was a factor in the crash and if they slowed down could have lead to stablilizing the trim manually as prescribed and prevented the second mcas engagement. But they reengaged the electric trim and didn't slow the plane down. Anyone can look at the flight data and draw their own inferences on speed and pitch control but that is how I understand the events of the flight.

mduell May 13, 2019 5:25 pm


Originally Posted by BF263533 (Post 31095457)
Like over the past 50 years for jets you always saw crash analysis saying if the plane's nose was pulling up, such as in nose up stage of rollercoatering, you need more speed.

No, that's not a thing.


Originally Posted by BF263533 (Post 31095457)
So were they faced with a situation where they need less speed, and then a few seconds later more speed, on top of MCAS? A Boeing wack-a-mole procedure?

No, that's not what they faced.


Originally Posted by GMoneyCO (Post 31097067)
The latest estimate for the fleet to be un-grounded is mid-August per the WSJ article published mid-morning. Realistically speaking, there will need to be a period where software updates and mods are applied to the grounded fleet making early September a more likely reality for meaningful service to start back up.

I expect fixing the planes will be very quick, just a software change.

Fixing the pilots with additional training will take a bit longer, particularly at airlines without a strong training culture.

denver19 May 14, 2019 12:53 am


Originally Posted by simpleflyer (Post 31095618)
Ya, but you know what? Some of us, who are very frequent flyers, aren't getting on the MAX again. When your best customers won't use a service, good companies notice.
At the end of the day, {passengers} will conclude that if the pilots are willing to fly it, I'm willing to fly it.

Every crash began with a pilot "willing to fly it." Sometimes, it is important to have your own judgement, rather than just trusting those telling you "everything is okay". But you're right. Many people will just book the cheapest flight. As somebody said upthread: "ignorance is bliss".

clubord May 14, 2019 5:29 am


Originally Posted by denver19 (Post 31099029)
Every crash began with a pilot "willing to fly it." Sometimes, it is important to have your own judgement, rather than just trusting those telling you "everything is okay". But you're right. Many people will just book the cheapest flight. As somebody said upthread: "ignorance is bliss".

Every successful flight also begins with a pilot “willing to fly it.”

If there is not 100% confidence in the airplane I’m strapped onto...I don’t fly. I’ve turned down airplanes before and will continue to do so unless I feel absolutely positive there will be a successful outcome to the flight.

We as pilots all have lives and families, I’m not going to risk mine hoping “everything is ok” as you infer. The safety culture here at United or any US Legacy carrier just does not operate like that.




prestonh May 14, 2019 5:41 am


Originally Posted by denver19 (Post 31099029)
Every crash began with a pilot "willing to fly it." Sometimes, it is important to have your own judgement, rather than just trusting those telling you "everything is okay". But you're right. Many people will just book the cheapest flight. As somebody said upthread: "ignorance is bliss".

and every heart attack begins with someone with a pulse :rolleyes: glad you found the common starting point to all of these crashes!

JimInOhio May 14, 2019 6:31 am


Originally Posted by denver19 (Post 31099029)
Every crash began with a pilot "willing to fly it." Sometimes, it is important to have your own judgement, rather than just trusting those telling you "everything is okay". But you're right. Many people will just book the cheapest flight. As somebody said upthread: "ignorance is bliss".

What perfect world are you expecting to live in? News flash... it doesn't exist.

DenverBrian May 14, 2019 7:03 am


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 31099650)
What perfect world are you expecting to live in? News flash... it doesn't exist.

If there is an area in life in which we strive for more perfect, it's air travel. We've done a tremendous job moving ever closer to this aspirational goal. I am certainly not going to observe two plane crashes of the same model type within five months and say, "Hey, the world's not perfect." @:-)


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