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Rapid Rewards devaluation coming April 17, 2015

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Rapid Rewards devaluation coming April 17, 2015

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Old Apr 17, 2015, 9:03 am
  #451  
 
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Originally Posted by nsx
Thanks for that analysis, lowfareair. That's exactly the strategy I expected them to use, with the objective of minimizing displacement of cash purchases.

Those of us who seek out the lowest fares for redemption to get the best value will continue to succeed.

This makes me wonder whether Southwest really needed to change from 60 to 70 points per dollar when they could have had a sliding scale from 60 to 90.
Great and most likely accurate analysis by lowfareair. Thanks!

They probably felt some pain from the last devaluation. Here they've made it where they don't have to advertise a deval at all.

In effect, they've just told us they'll raise the number of pts needed whenever they damn well please and not suffer the concerted bad pub with an announcement.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 9:09 am
  #452  
 
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Southwest definitely succeeded in hiding the new redemption amounts. Even experienced FTers are having to double and triple check the ratios because their first calculations are wrong.

The average 'kettle' twice a year flyer won't even notice 70 vs 76 vs 90 pts/$1.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 9:10 am
  #453  
 
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Originally Posted by joshua362

The real test will be at the next schedule release for the 2015 holidays!
Yes, we'll find their current upper-end on May 17 when they open the schedule. My guess is north of 80 pts per dollar for WGA; maybe even 90. And of course, this is just the tip of the iceberg.

"We'll raise the points needed whenever we want and the vast majority of people will never notice".

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Old Apr 17, 2015, 9:12 am
  #454  
 
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Originally Posted by mastermind85
I really wish WN eventually adds a pts/$ calculation detail built in, stupid to have to calculate each time.
I'm going to bet this never, ever happens. They don't want the RR customer to know.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 10:11 am
  #455  
 
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Just a quick note, a fare from DAL-MDW last night was 16,729 and now it's 18,640. It was a Labor Day weekend fare.

Base fare is 238.98 each way, so it went from 70 pts/$ to almost 78 pts/$.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 11:21 am
  #456  
nsx
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Originally Posted by mile ho
I'm going to bet this never, ever happens. They don't want the RR customer to know.
That's not the reason. They just don't want to spend employees' time explaining the math and invisible fare classes to customers.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 11:27 am
  #457  
 
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Originally Posted by tys90
It's certainly not the end of the world but it's not great. Up to 11% increase in point redemption just a year after devaluing them 16% percent? Now it's up to a 30% increase in points required in barely over a year. I think it's actually a smart plan, even if it's not entirely transparent, to vary the points based on certain factors. I just wish they had implemented this last year, it's a little bit of kicking us while we are down.
Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the points actually go up in value at some point? I thought that initially all of the taxes were tacked on at the end and weren't covered by points (I supposed this was before the law changed requiring airlines to show the final fare price).

Or am I not remembering this correctly?
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 11:33 am
  #458  
 
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Originally Posted by trouble747
Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the points actually go up in value at some point? I thought that initially all of the taxes were tacked on at the end and weren't covered by points (I supposed this was before the law changed requiring airlines to show the final fare price).

Or am I not remembering this correctly?
You are remembering correctly. You are thinking of what I dubbed RR 2.0.1 in the first post of this thread:

Originally Posted by FindAWay
RAPID REWARDS 2.X: Beginning in 2011, Southwest moved from a "credit" based frequent flyer program to a "revenue" based frequent flyer program using "points" that FTers dubbed "Rapid Rewards 2.0." Since its implementation, the number of RR points was directly related to the paid fare (60-70 pts. per $1 WGA fares; 100 pts. per $1 AT fares; & 120 pts. per $1 BS fares). It has only made economic sense to redeem for WGA points fares during Rapid Rewards 2.0. As I see it...
  1. Rapid Rewards 2.0 existed from 3/1/2011-1/26/2014 (60 pts/$1 of WGA fare RR redemptions - 3 month advance notice of change);
  2. Rapid Rewards 2.0.1 existed from 1/27/2014-3/30/2014 (Earnings/Redemptions changed to Base Fare Only {formerly Base Fare + Excise Tax} - with no advance notice);
  3. Rapid Rewards 2.1 existed from 3/31/2014-4/16/2015 (70 pts/$1 WGA RR redemptions - with 5+ month advance notice); and
  4. Rapid Rewards 2.2 will exist from 4/17/2015-[???????] (Pts/$1 ratio no longer constant - with 2 month advance notice).
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 12:02 pm
  #459  
 
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The calculation looks to be fare based, even for the same flight. You can test it by finding a flight with only one seat in the lowest bucket.

Here's a good example: MCI-LAX June 6 #2735

Base fare for one passenger: $142.23 / 9956 points / 70 pts per $
Base per passenger fare for two passengers, same flight: $162.70 / 12040 points / 74 pts per $

(Not that I'd ever book more than one passenger per PNR)
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 12:22 pm
  #460  
 
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Thou shalt not infer too much from limited data, but...to summarize: point premium increases as WGA fare increases above minimum; point premium starts sooner and is higher for non-stops. Here's DEN-LAS on 5/22 (chosen because there is a wide range of flights):

Last edited by ray1111; Apr 17, 2015 at 12:49 pm
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 12:38 pm
  #461  
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Bottom line this is a devaluation. We can cheer it's not as awful as it could have been, but that is pretty empty.

Having said that, it could have been worse

What is really alarming is the number of times this has been recalibrated (for the worse) in the past 2-3 years.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 12:52 pm
  #462  
 
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Originally Posted by FindAWay
You are remembering correctly. You are thinking of what I dubbed RR 2.0.1 in the first post of this thread:
So in reality some redemption values are still actually better than 2.0, no?
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 1:03 pm
  #463  
 
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Originally Posted by trouble747
So in reality some redemption values are still actually better than 2.0, no?
No since 2.0 started off at 60 ppd. Then it went to 70ppd. The change in tax calculation gave back about 1/2 that devaluation as a % basis (to banked points) IIRC.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 1:04 pm
  #464  
 
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Originally Posted by trouble747
So in reality some redemption values are still actually better than 2.0, no?
No. None.

First generation RR 2.0 was 60 pts/$1 on (base fare + excise tax).

Excise tax is 7.5%.

So, the comparative rate under first generation RR 2.0 was 64.5 pts/$1 of base fare.

Under the current scheme, the best one can do is 70 pts/$1 of base fare.
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Old Apr 17, 2015, 1:32 pm
  #465  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
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Originally Posted by trouble747
So in reality some redemption values are still actually better than 2.0, no?
I don't think so. While the change in calculation did increase value, the devaluation from 60pts/$ to 70pts/$ more than made up for it.
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