Has anyone's bonus Aeroplan miles posted yet?

Just checking in to make sure my way of thinking is correct.

I have a 7 night stay in HKG coming up I have to book, so I figured I'll look into the travel packages. In Canada, so I'm comparing:

180'000 Amex MR = 90'000 SPG = 270k Marriott = 120'000 Alaska + 7 Nights Cat1-5 (though I'd probably upgrade to Cat6 to use the CY Hong Kong, so let's go with:

200'000 Amex MR = 100'000 SPG = 300k Marriott = 120'000 Alaska + 7 Nights @ CY Hong Kong

vs

200'000 Amex MR = e.g. 200'000 Aeroplan + pay Cash for 7 nights


Assuming AS miles are worth, say 25% more than AP, that's still the equivalent of ~150k

so essentially I'm hoping I get more than 50'000 worth of AP miles out of the 7 nights. Assuming ~ 1.5cents per AP mile, that's about 750USD, so 107USD/Night.

So... using the travel packages is worth it if I don't find a satisfactory hotel for less than 107USD/night.

...Correct thinking?

If all your previous assumptions are correct then you're valuing 50k Aeroplan miles at $750 which indeed means the effective replacement of a Marriott 7-night cert should redeem at $107/night to come out evens.

I value a Marriott point at 1UScent, hence a 7-night Cat6 cert should come in at $250/nt but in practice the lack of flexibility incumbent in these certificates mean I value them at half their point value, $125/nt, which I find easy to obtain. Your $107/nt opportunity cost should therefore come out on top here $-for-$ pretty easily. Normally I would say here to choose carefully and that cert could redeem for $200/nt, but 7-night vacations frequently have little true flexibility which goes back to the reason I value the certificates so lowly...

You can also transfer them to AA and get 150,000 miles.

https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/amer...age-miles.html

i'd value 120k AS miles higher than 150k AA miles so that's a wash at best ;)

and okay! Now, to decide whether I can find something cheaper than 107/night and just pay cash or go travel package.... technically I also have to factor in the value of points I get from a cash booking but.... yeah. The CY HKG actually HAS 7 continuous days available for reward rooms on the exact days I'm going for so flexibilty isnt a concern atm.

My bonus has not posted yet.

Based on their T & Cs they should post within 4 - 6 weeks of April 17. That means they should post by May 29th at the latest. Hopefully it'll be before then.

Do first names need to match or is last names sufficient? (In case this detail is relevant - looking to transfer to Alaska)

Get the Chase Marriott Rewards Credit card, 50k bonus right now. Statement date is 11th, points post on 18th. First purchase. May not get it it time for this trip, but for your next redemption it will be there! FYF!

Posted last night for me! ^

I've reserved the 7-night reward stay and actually applied for the card with that thinking last week so I have that option still, thanks :D Will post in time for the trip so I might go with that.

Can the Travel packages be used to book SPG properties some time next year? What category does Luxury Collection and St. Regis be in, if it is already decided? Thanks.

No information yet

Has everyone's aa bonus posted within 5 days!

My bonus was posted as part of the travel package, i.e. 1 line that state 150K Miles.