Community
Wiki Posts
Search

DL AMS-IND?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Aug 7, 2017, 7:47 pm
  #46  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Midwest
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum Pro, UA Premier Platinum, IHG Platinum Elite, Avis Presidents Club
Posts: 190
Originally Posted by readywhenyouare
No way. They would just restart AMS-CVG if they wanted a flight in that region.
Why?
CVG has fewer pax to AMS, than IND https://www.brookings.edu/interactiv...litan-america/

CVG is basically only O&D at this point with only 10% of traffic connecting

The TATL service it has know isn't even doing that well, why would they take away more traffic from it? (Seat Utilization average for '16 was 69%)

For the most part, if pax from IND travel anywhere to fly TATL it is ORD, not CVG.
MIDWESTERNFLYER is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 7:50 pm
  #47  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DCA
Programs: AA EXP, DL FO, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 6,712
Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
Why?
CVG has fewer pax to AMS, than IND https://www.brookings.edu/interactiv...litan-america/

CVG is basically only O&D at this point with only 10% of traffic connecting

The TATL service it has know isn't even doing that well, why would they take away more traffic from it? (Seat Utilization average for '16 was 69%)

For the most part, if pax from IND travel anywhere to fly TATL it is ORD, not CVG.
And where did you find that number? Loads on CVG-CDG are regularly 80-90%. Winter might be an off-period, but that's the case for many international routes. The engine parts that GE sends to Airbus obviously must more than make up for any seasonal dip.
KDCAflyer is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 7:52 pm
  #48  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Orlando, FL Area
Programs: Delta SkySponge ExtraAbsorbent, SPG Gold
Posts: 29,988
Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
Why?
CVG has fewer pax to AMS, than IND https://www.brookings.edu/interactiv...litan-america/

CVG is basically only O&D at this point with only 10% of traffic connecting

The TATL service it has know isn't even doing that well, why would they take away more traffic from it? (Seat Utilization average for '16 was 69%)

For the most part, if pax from IND travel anywhere to fly TATL it is ORD, not CVG.
I have a feeling Delta isn't done with CVG yet. It was recently mentioned in one of their advertisements. Something they haven't done in a long time. They also recently came to terms with CVG on a long term agreement for gate use. Delta will continue to be the sole user of B gates. The airport was originally going to tear down the B concourse and consolidate everyone into an expanded A concourse. You also have the powerhouse of P&G in Cincinnati.
readywhenyouare is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 7:57 pm
  #49  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Midwest
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum Pro, UA Premier Platinum, IHG Platinum Elite, Avis Presidents Club
Posts: 190
Originally Posted by WWads
And where did you find that number? Loads on CVG-CDG are regularly 80-90%. Winter might be an off-period, but that's the case for many international routes. The engine parts that GE sends to Airbus obviously must more than make up for any seasonal dip.
https://www.transtats.bts.gov/DL_SelectFields.asp

Pharmaceuticals from Eli Lilly and Roche are currently flown throughout the week from IND-LUX/CDG/STN on FedEx and CargoLux so some of those could be shifted to a DL flight to AMS (similar to RDU).

Last edited by MIDWESTERNFLYER; Aug 7, 2017 at 8:10 pm
MIDWESTERNFLYER is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:12 pm
  #50  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,334
Originally Posted by cfabar1
I don't think Delta was ever going to move CVG to IND... I was in CVG last week... I was in mourning the entire time... this once great hub... a shell of itself.... that said, it was nice having the club almost entirely to myself... I wondered why they still keep it open...
Does PDX now have more Delta flights than CVG?

I just checked IND. Pretty impressive that you can do Boston, New York, Los Angeles, and Seattle non-stop.
hockeyinsider is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:21 pm
  #51  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DCA
Programs: AA EXP, DL FO, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 6,712
Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
https://www.transtats.bts.gov/DL_SelectFields.asp

Pharmaceuticals from Eli Lilly and Roche are currently flown throughout the week from IND-LUX/CDG/STN on FedEx and CargoLux so some of those could be shifted to a DL flight to AMS (similar to RDU).
That is TOTAL international loads, not just CVG-CDG. Even then, load factors mean a lot less when corporate passenger and cargo contracts are in play. Besides CDG, DL also operates YYZ and CUN. Both drag down the overall numbers, based on the loads I've seen on both routes.

CVG has lots of routes that don't consistently get close to selling out, but are still profitable thanks to a contract. CVG-XNA comes to mind, with P&G and Walmart.

Last edited by KDCAflyer; Aug 7, 2017 at 8:26 pm
KDCAflyer is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:22 pm
  #52  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,334
Originally Posted by DA201
If RDU can handle 2x daily TATL service, then IND can at least handle one.
There are 7 Fortune 500 companies in Indiana. For comparison, there are 13 in Massachusetts (BOS), 2 in Oregon (PDX), 12 in North Carolina (RDU), and 10 in Washington State (SEA). Delta has international flights from airports in all of those other states.
hockeyinsider is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:25 pm
  #53  
 
Join Date: Jul 2015
Location: MCO
Programs: DL PM, UA Silver, Marriott Titanium, Hertz Presidents Circle
Posts: 4,324
Originally Posted by hockeyinsider
Does PDX now have more Delta flights than CVG?

I just checked IND. Pretty impressive that you can do Boston, New York, Los Angeles, and Seattle non-stop.
IND-MCO is daily now as well.
MCO Flyer is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:25 pm
  #54  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DCA
Programs: AA EXP, DL FO, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 6,712
Originally Posted by hockeyinsider
Does PDX now have more Delta flights than CVG?

I just checked IND. Pretty impressive that you can do Boston, New York, Los Angeles, and Seattle non-stop.
Last year yes. This year CVG has a slight edge so far. CVG has more routes, but sees significant weekend reductions. CVG is basically an outstation on Saturdays.
KDCAflyer is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:25 pm
  #55  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Orlando, FL Area
Programs: Delta SkySponge ExtraAbsorbent, SPG Gold
Posts: 29,988
Originally Posted by hockeyinsider
Does PDX now have more Delta flights than CVG?

I just checked IND. Pretty impressive that you can do Boston, New York, Los Angeles, and Seattle non-stop.
I count 38 departures out of PDX today. ATL,MSP,DTW,JFK,SLC,LAX,SEA,NRT,AMS,LHR. So no, not even close.
readywhenyouare is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:37 pm
  #56  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Midwest
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum Pro, UA Premier Platinum, IHG Platinum Elite, Avis Presidents Club
Posts: 190
Originally Posted by WWads
That is TOTAL international loads, not just CVG-CDG. Even then, load factors mean a lot less when corporate passenger and cargo contracts are in play. Besides CDG, DL also operates YYZ and CUN. Both drag down CDG's numbers, based on the loads I've seen on both routes.

CVG has lots of routes that don't consistently get close to selling out, but are still profitable thanks to a contract. CVG-XNA comes to mind, with P&G and Walmart.
No you didn't even try, if you have used excel before, you can single out a specific variable(in this case France) and find seat utilization for each month in 2016 to any US destination served non-stop from France.

Since you don't believe me,

5038 4239 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 12 Seat Utilization:84.1%
4828 3152 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 11 Seat Utilization:65.3%
6974 4045 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 10 Seat Utilization:58%
6744 4515 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 9 Seat Utilization:66.9%
6975 4160 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 8 Seat Utilization:59.6%
6957 4677 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 7 Seat Utilization:67.2%
6733 5666 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 6 Seat Utilization:84.2%
6748 5546 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 5 Seat Utilization:82.2%
6730 3978 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 4 Seat Utilization:59.1%
5742 4288 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 3 Seat Utilization:74.7%
5039 2998 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 2 Seat Utilization:59.5%
5250 3727 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 1 Seat Utilization:71%

Average=69% seat utilization
This thread is about TATL flights on DL, not about how DL sometimes sells out CVG-Fayetteville, Arkansas of all places.
MIDWESTERNFLYER is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:43 pm
  #57  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DCA
Programs: AA EXP, DL FO, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 6,712
Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
No you didn't even try, if you have used excel before, you can single out a specific variable(in this case France) and find seat utilization for each month in 2016 to any US destination served non-stop from France.

Since you don't believe me,

5038 4239 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 12 Seat Utilization:84.1%
4828 3152 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 11 Seat Utilization:65.3%
6974 4045 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 10 Seat Utilization:58%
6744 4515 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 9 Seat Utilization:66.9%
6975 4160 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 8 Seat Utilization:59.6%
6957 4677 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 7 Seat Utilization:67.2%
6733 5666 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 6 Seat Utilization:84.2%
6748 5546 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 5 Seat Utilization:82.2%
6730 3978 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 4 Seat Utilization:59.1%
5742 4288 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 3 Seat Utilization:74.7%
5039 2998 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 2 Seat Utilization:59.5%
5250 3727 Delta Air Lines Inc. CVG CDG 626 1 Seat Utilization:71%

Average=69% seat utilization
This thread is about TATL flights on DL, not about how DL sometimes sells out CVG-Fayetteville, Arkansas of all places.
You obviously don't understand how air travel works. As I've said, load factors don't mean much, as long as a route is generating profit at the level an airline wants. Heck, a flight could have a 10% average load factor, but still be more profitable than one with 90%. If there's a party willing to put up the money for that 10% route.

Bringing up load factors without considering the macro view doesn't serve much purpose.
KDCAflyer is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:47 pm
  #58  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Hilton Contributor Badge
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: San Antonio
Programs: DL DM, Former AA EXP now AY Plat, AC 75K, NW Plat, Former CO Gold, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 27,052
Originally Posted by OSSYULYYZ
Darn. Hoping they open up an IND-CDG at some point. The UK is supposedly also getting pre-clearance, so that won't lead me to entering the IND facility...

Or I could apply to work at the airport...
Only a couple of UK airports applied. Note at this point nothing is even finalized and we're at least a deacde or more from pre-clearance at any UK airport. Also note that European airlines aren't wanting this at their hub airports. SAS is upset over the fact this will cause issues with connecting passengers.
flyerCO is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 8:53 pm
  #59  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Midwest
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum Pro, UA Premier Platinum, IHG Platinum Elite, Avis Presidents Club
Posts: 190
Originally Posted by WWads
You obviously don't understand how air travel works. As I've said, load factors don't mean much, as long as a route is generating profit at the level an airline wants. Heck, a flight could have a 10% average load factor, but still be more profitable than one with 90%. If there's a party willing to put up the money for that 10% route.

Bringing up load factors without considering the macro view doesn't serve much purpose.
Lol, first you call out my numbers as being wrong, then when I show you proof, you act like they mean nothing. Haha, you can't have it both ways...

I understand the economics of air travel, but unless you have stats on RASM/CASM, seat utilization is the only available information I have that tells to the possible success/failure of a flight.

And since you are so eager to downplay my info, why don't you share what information on RASM/CASM you have on the DL CDG-CVG flights...

IND could have just the same cargo contracts as CVG(maybe even more) and DL already has contracts with most employers in IND from the NWA days, so CVG doesn't stand out as better than IND for an AMS flight.

Last edited by MIDWESTERNFLYER; Aug 7, 2017 at 9:03 pm
MIDWESTERNFLYER is offline  
Old Aug 7, 2017, 9:03 pm
  #60  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DCA
Programs: AA EXP, DL FO, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 6,712
Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
Lol, first you call out my numbers as being wrong, then when I show you proof, you act like they mean nothing. Haha, okay

I understand the economics of air travel, but unless you have stats on RASM/CASM, seat utilization is the only available information I have that tells to the possible success/failure of a flight.

And since you are so eager to downplay my info, why don't you share what information on RASM/CASM you have on the DL CDG-CVG flights...

IND could have just the same cargo contracts as CVG(maybe even more) and DL already has contracts with most employers in IND from the NWA days, so CVG doesn't stand out as better than IND for an AMS flight.
Nope. Your original point was that CVGCDG is not doing well. I argue that it is, based on the fact that it exists, and runs close to 365 days/year. DL is not keeping it around if it isn't doing well.

I can't open the file from that site, but I'd be interested to see the load factors from similar routes, and perhaps DL's other hubs as well.

Basic logic, and DL's general CVG strategy are on my side.
KDCAflyer is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.