Delta weather notice for NYC blizzard?
Jan 27, 2015, 8:30 am
#76
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Glad I waited rather than digging out my X-country skies when the prediction first came out.
How much snow has JFK actually received?
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Just found this:
"Whoops.
For most of New York and New Jersey, what was supposed to be the Blizzard of 2015 turned into the Bust of the Century instead.
As the sun rose Monday, there were forecasts that New York City and northern New Jersey could conceivably see 24 to 36 inches of snow from a storm described as "crippling" and "historic."
By sunrise Tuesday, Central Park had only 6.3 inches of snow, with the National Weather Service acknowledging there might as little as 2 more inches on the way. Parts of New Jersey that had been in line for as much as 18 inches ended up with as little as 3 inches.
Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge of the National Weather Service's office in Mt. Holly, New Jersey, stunned people in the wee hours Tuesday with a heartfelt apology for the blown forecast. "
For most of New York and New Jersey, what was supposed to be the Blizzard of 2015 turned into the Bust of the Century instead.
As the sun rose Monday, there were forecasts that New York City and northern New Jersey could conceivably see 24 to 36 inches of snow from a storm described as "crippling" and "historic."
By sunrise Tuesday, Central Park had only 6.3 inches of snow, with the National Weather Service acknowledging there might as little as 2 more inches on the way. Parts of New Jersey that had been in line for as much as 18 inches ended up with as little as 3 inches.
Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge of the National Weather Service's office in Mt. Holly, New Jersey, stunned people in the wee hours Tuesday with a heartfelt apology for the blown forecast. "
Last edited by StayingHomeIsBetter; Jan 27, 2015 at 8:37 am
Jan 27, 2015, 8:43 am
#77
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But the "new" model presumably got it right. Still, it would have been worse to fail to predict a blizzard and then have a major one hit. Boston and parts of New Engalnd were indeed hard hit and are still getting lots of snow.
Jan 27, 2015, 8:53 am
#78
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But rest assured, the meteorologist's predictions of global warming 50 to 100 years from now are spot-on accurate.
My sympathies do the folks in BOS, et al, who are really feeling the effects of the storm.
Jan 27, 2015, 8:57 am
#79
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I think we all tend to lose focus and play MMQB that the airlines or NWS should have been more accurate and then I could have made my meeting/vacation/work/etc.
When really they airlines are being overly cautions because one crash is far worse for the airline, the industry, and certainly everyone on board than over cancelling some flights and messing up a lot of plans. Better to be late than never again.
When really they airlines are being overly cautions because one crash is far worse for the airline, the industry, and certainly everyone on board than over cancelling some flights and messing up a lot of plans. Better to be late than never again.
Jan 27, 2015, 9:04 am
#80
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You appear to be conflating scientists ability to analyze data after the fact with weathermen's ability to predict the weather. Nicely done!
Jan 27, 2015, 9:53 am
#81
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Spot-on accurate, maybe not, but at this point, denying climate change is kind of like getting up yesterday morning in NYC and saying "those meteorologists are full of it - it's going to be 95 degrees and sunny on Tuesday!"
Jan 27, 2015, 9:54 am
#82
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Last edited by Dieuwer; Jan 27, 2015 at 10:53 am Reason: Photograph taken 1/27/15 at 12:00 pm.
Jan 27, 2015, 10:09 am
#83
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Yes when 9998/10000 scientists all state there is human caused global warming- we should mock it. Keep to your ultra right "I'm not a scientist" talking points.
You appear to be conflating scientists ability to analyze data after the fact with weathermen's ability to predict the weather. Nicely done!
You appear to be conflating scientists ability to analyze data after the fact with weathermen's ability to predict the weather. Nicely done!
Jan 27, 2015, 10:47 am
#84
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http://content.usatoday.com/communit...1#.VMfOgC66bD4
But, anyway, meteorologists are not experts in climate change. They help to forecast weather from 24-96 hours out. Climatologists are the experts in climate change, not your local weather personality or Jim Cantori.
Jan 27, 2015, 10:48 am
#85
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http://www.scientificamerican.com/ar...lobal-warming/
At least some of the controversy appears in part due to the main stream media's (mis) interpretation of the results.
Jan 27, 2015, 10:49 am
#86
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Jan 27, 2015, 10:50 am
#87
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Jan 27, 2015, 11:08 am
#88
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At 10:00pm EST on the Weather Channel they talked about how the models were just now changing and the Euro was predicting 18" of snow for NYC and the GFS 3-5" of snow. The meteorologist said this is very rare to occur during an active storm. The Euro model is usually the more accurate of the two models for winter storms.
The Low ended up going further East than predicted and it happened late. Huge difference in what NYC saw and 50 miles to the northeast on Long Island in some reports I read.
There will always be second guessing and manufactured outrage by some but airlines are better off preparing for the 18-24" of snow than preparing for 6" and actually getting 18-24" IMO. Same goes for the city and state governments.
You know if it was 24" after predicting 6" some would still be upset. Danmed if you do and damned if you don't.
Jan 27, 2015, 11:08 am
#89
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Sometimes, in the northeast, the determinant of how much snow you get is on which side of I-95, the great enigmatic snow stopping barrier, you are.
Contributed by someone who lives less than 1/4 mile west of I-95.
Contributed by someone who lives less than 1/4 mile west of I-95.
Jan 27, 2015, 11:46 am
#90
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Bottom line is everyone knows global warming/climate change is real and directly impacted by humans.
If you don't see that, I have nothing more to say to you.