Behavior Detection: Article
#61

Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: PDX,PHX,LON
Programs: too many of the few that are left
Posts: 627
I think it's a problem of execution rather than principle. I'd rather have security people, in principle, be looking for the weapon wielder rather than the weapon. Lots of things can be used as weapons, but all of them require a wielder. Security people in general should be looking for him/her.

Since 9/11 many thousands of muggers and illegal border crossers have been correctly identified and prosecuted. Money spent training, employing and equipping city cops, or Border Patrol, produces measurable and positive ROI. For air hijacking, millions spent have produced a number in the low single digits. Richard Reid, the most dangerous example, was ID'd and controlled by FAs and pax. FAMs, if present, would not have changed initial contact by much. ROI may not be zero, but when damage to the air travel industry, the businesses that use it, and public confidence in government agencies are factored in, it goes steeply negative.
Granted Richard Reid is a gimme example; other events might prove out differently. Except there haven't been any. The tactics used on 9/11 became obsolete that same day. Flight 93 had a tragic outcome but, by its perpetrators' standard, was a failure. Now, cockpit doors are reinforced. Passengers may yet be intimidated by coercion or force, but will nevertheless resist, not passively cooperate. The 2006 liquids plot was indeed a plan, just not a feasible plan. The Glasgow attempt used better-educated actors to achieve a cruder result, and still failed.
Also, the shock value of the initial operation is used up. Why spend hundreds of thousands of dollars to get operatives and weapons onto an aircraft, when a suicide bomber with a device costing under a hundred could be sent into a slow, crowded checkpoint where everyone waits to have their laptops booted and swabbed?
TSA, as constituted, is the Maginot Line of transportation security. They spend an enormous amount of effort and treasure to defend against an event, and techniques, that will never occur again, while ignoring weaknesses that might be usefully addressed. The main difference is that the Maginot Line did not seriously compromise the rights of the citizens whose taxes paid for it.
#62
Original Poster
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,195
Sure jimmie.
TSA and other airport security measures have always focused on the "things" that cause security concerns. Guns, bombs, flammables, etc. Finding them and preventing them from getting on an aircraft. But that has been shown to not work so well. The hijackers of 9/11 used that against us and thereby created the situation we have now. They brought non-prohibited items on board and used them to kill 3000+ people.
TSA cannot prevent every possible weapon or item that can be used as a weapon from being brought on board an aircraft, no matter how hard we try or the policies they put in place. Just not possible. But what can be done is prevent those folks that want to do harm to that aircraft and those passengers from ever getting on board. Thats what the BDOs and some other programs are designed to do. BDOs cant tell if a person is a terrorist, but they can tell if a person is exhibiting the signs of someone hiding something significant, and they can use that information to find out if what they are hiding is the intent to harm an aircraft or the passengers.
Its not 100% perfect. People hide all kind of things for all kinds of reasons. Other issues can get in the way of Behavior Detection working properly as well. Medical, emotional, chemical. But it does provide us with another layer of prevention / security prior to someone boarding an aircraft.
Some of the folks out there have complained about the cost of the program. Perspective. How much did the hijackers of 9/11 cost the USA with their act of terrorism? Not just the cost of the buildings and the people, but the cost to the airline industry, the cost of sending the military into Afghanistan (Im not going to discuss Iraq)? The total cost to us for the actions of those 19 terrorists is in the high trillions, and continues to mount to this day. A few billion for the TSA and its programs/equipment is pocket change in comparison. Perspective.
TSA and other airport security measures have always focused on the "things" that cause security concerns. Guns, bombs, flammables, etc. Finding them and preventing them from getting on an aircraft. But that has been shown to not work so well. The hijackers of 9/11 used that against us and thereby created the situation we have now. They brought non-prohibited items on board and used them to kill 3000+ people.
TSA cannot prevent every possible weapon or item that can be used as a weapon from being brought on board an aircraft, no matter how hard we try or the policies they put in place. Just not possible. But what can be done is prevent those folks that want to do harm to that aircraft and those passengers from ever getting on board. Thats what the BDOs and some other programs are designed to do. BDOs cant tell if a person is a terrorist, but they can tell if a person is exhibiting the signs of someone hiding something significant, and they can use that information to find out if what they are hiding is the intent to harm an aircraft or the passengers.
Its not 100% perfect. People hide all kind of things for all kinds of reasons. Other issues can get in the way of Behavior Detection working properly as well. Medical, emotional, chemical. But it does provide us with another layer of prevention / security prior to someone boarding an aircraft.
Some of the folks out there have complained about the cost of the program. Perspective. How much did the hijackers of 9/11 cost the USA with their act of terrorism? Not just the cost of the buildings and the people, but the cost to the airline industry, the cost of sending the military into Afghanistan (Im not going to discuss Iraq)? The total cost to us for the actions of those 19 terrorists is in the high trillions, and continues to mount to this day. A few billion for the TSA and its programs/equipment is pocket change in comparison. Perspective.
#63
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: FrostByte Falls, Mn
Programs: Holiday Inn Plat NW gold AA gold
Posts: 2,157
Perhaps, Ronnie, if TSA actually had some arrests/discoveries of actual terrorists at the airport screening points then the public might agree with you. The near total lack of arrests for actual terrorism at US airports still hovers around zero.
Give us more money and we'll be able to detect terrorists. Excuse me, but your job is to keep the WEI off of aircraft. A disarmed terrorist isn't a threat.
So Ronnie, tell us again how TSA is the point of the spear in keeping air travelers safe from terrorists when TSOs/airline employees routinely get arrested for baggage thefts. What comes out could just as well go in. Please tell us why TSA is incapable of following a Congressional mandate for 100% cargo screening. Could it be that TSA has misspent the funds alocated to it on programs that show a nearly 100% failure rate (i.e. BDO)?
Give us more money and we'll be able to detect terrorists. Excuse me, but your job is to keep the WEI off of aircraft. A disarmed terrorist isn't a threat.
So Ronnie, tell us again how TSA is the point of the spear in keeping air travelers safe from terrorists when TSOs/airline employees routinely get arrested for baggage thefts. What comes out could just as well go in. Please tell us why TSA is incapable of following a Congressional mandate for 100% cargo screening. Could it be that TSA has misspent the funds alocated to it on programs that show a nearly 100% failure rate (i.e. BDO)?
#64
Suspended
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 1,441
From the NY Times back in April:
"Infant mortality has been declining slightly in the United States. But 28,000 children under the age of 1 still die every year......
"In 2004, the latest year for which worldwide data are available, the United States had a higher rate than 28 countries, including Singapore, Japan, Cuba and Hungary...In 1960, the United States had a higher rate than only 11 countries.
“We think the increase in preterm birth and preterm-related causes of death are major factors inhibiting further declines in infant mortality,” said Marian F. MacDorman, the lead author of the report and a statistician at the C.D.C. “Infant mortality is a major public health problem, and it’s not improving.”
Let's spend our money where it will do some actual good.
"Infant mortality has been declining slightly in the United States. But 28,000 children under the age of 1 still die every year......
"In 2004, the latest year for which worldwide data are available, the United States had a higher rate than 28 countries, including Singapore, Japan, Cuba and Hungary...In 1960, the United States had a higher rate than only 11 countries.
“We think the increase in preterm birth and preterm-related causes of death are major factors inhibiting further declines in infant mortality,” said Marian F. MacDorman, the lead author of the report and a statistician at the C.D.C. “Infant mortality is a major public health problem, and it’s not improving.”
Let's spend our money where it will do some actual good.
#65
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Salish Sea
Programs: DL,AC,HH,PC
Posts: 8,972
BDOs cant tell if a person is a terrorist, but they can tell if a person is exhibiting the signs of someone hiding something significant, and they can use that information to find out if what they are hiding is the intent to harm an aircraft or the passengers.
Its not 100% perfect. People hide all kind of things for all kinds of reasons. Other issues can get in the way of Behavior Detection working properly as well. Medical, emotional, chemical. But it does provide us with another layer of prevention / security prior to someone boarding an aircraft.
Its not 100% perfect. People hide all kind of things for all kinds of reasons. Other issues can get in the way of Behavior Detection working properly as well. Medical, emotional, chemical. But it does provide us with another layer of prevention / security prior to someone boarding an aircraft.
Anyone exhibiting your "signs" is highly unlikely to be hiding something significant, as you put it. Check your track record; hint: drugs, money, false IDs, gel packs and blocks of cheese don't count. A player intent on harm is probably either a psychopath or exhibiting psychopathic tendencies which render BD useless.
Get back to us if (not when) your BDOs find anyone significant.
#66




Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Ireland
Programs: BA Gold, A3 Gold, BD..oh, wait..
Posts: 4,045
The problem with the TSA approach is that unless you spend an enormous amount of time and effort training agents in psychology and to an extent psychiatry then the success rate (and well, BDO hasn't had any notable successes against potential terrorist plots as of yet) is going to not much better than it was before the program. I'd suspect that indepth knowledge of this area is too specialised for many (not all, I say, but a vast majority) of on-the-ground TSA agents to acquire in sufficent quality to be effective.
Giving a monkey a spanner does not make him a mechanic. So really, apart from finding the odd block of cheese, bottle of perfume or bag of coke (none of which seems to immediately threathen the safety of an airliner), the current scheme is useless. Which leads me to..
This is a hugely relevant point, which seems to be vastly overlooked. In many cases such people would be next to impossible even for someone experienced to spot, never mind a TSA agent.
And this is apart from the fact (as also pointed out) that physically the same kind of operation is now obselete to all intents and purposes. That loophole has been closed - and they are way too busy looking at the next one to be exploited.
Giving a monkey a spanner does not make him a mechanic. So really, apart from finding the odd block of cheese, bottle of perfume or bag of coke (none of which seems to immediately threathen the safety of an airliner), the current scheme is useless. Which leads me to..
A player intent on harm is probably either a psychopath or exhibiting psychopathic tendencies which render BD useless.
And this is apart from the fact (as also pointed out) that physically the same kind of operation is now obselete to all intents and purposes. That loophole has been closed - and they are way too busy looking at the next one to be exploited.
#67
Original Poster
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,195
If there has been, would you or I know about it? Not likely. Most terrorists are unknown, who ever heard of Tim McVey before the bomb in Oklahoma? Or Nawaf al-Hazmi before 9/11? Or Eric Robert Rudolph? They were all unknowns to 99.9% of the planet, before they became famous for their actions. So who is to say that the guy with the pistol in his bag at JFK is not a terrorist? Or the one in Atlanta? Or the woman that wanted to get her bottle of water through the checkpoint in Kansas? Your reasoning is faulty AM, and I suspect its because of 2 things. Lack of information, and prejudice.
Give us more money and we'll be able to detect terrorists. Excuse me, but your job is to keep the WEI off of aircraft. A disarmed terrorist isn't a threat.
So Ronnie, tell us again how TSA is the point of the spear in keeping air travelers safe from terrorists when TSOs/airline employees routinely get arrested for baggage thefts.
What comes out could just as well go in.
Please tell us why TSA is incapable of following a Congressional mandate for 100% cargo screening.
Could it be that TSA has misspent the funds alocated to it on programs that show a nearly 100% failure rate (i.e. BDO)?
#68
Original Poster
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,195
#69
Original Poster
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 2,195
Nothing is 100% wally. Much as you may want it to be, or think it is, its not. Sorry to bust your balloon, but facts are facts.
Anyone exhibiting your "signs" is highly unlikely to be hiding something significant, as you put it. Check your track record; hint: drugs, money, false IDs, gel packs and blocks of cheese don't count. A player intent on harm is probably either a psychopath or exhibiting psychopathic tendencies which render BD useless.
Get back to us if (not when) your BDOs find anyone significant.
#70
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Somewhere near BWI
Programs: DL DM, HH Dia, SPG Gold, MR Plat, Hertz PC
Posts: 3,654
Are those "things significant" WEI? If anything else is what is defined as "significant," those BDOs are stepping over the boundaries of the TSA permissible search, per US v Fofana.
#71
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Salish Sea
Programs: DL,AC,HH,PC
Posts: 8,972
In the sand is better than up your...
Ah, hell what's the use. I'm done here. Carry on.
#72
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 684
I don't even know why anyne is attempting to answer Ron in this thread he has created. We all remember Ron's recent thread on the subject of Why We Screen. Where he used examples from Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iraq of suicide bombers to show why passengers are screened in the United States, of course. When he realized he had painted himself into a corner he posted this non-answer
Now he's back with a new subject and his proof is a two year old article written by a TSA consultant. Of course the consultant is going to say the BDO program works.
Frankly I think Ron is either close to becoming a troll. Or he is frustrated by the fact that the TSA never selected him to become an official commenter on the TSA blog that he is creating is own version of it here. Either way I've learned to read these types of threads and see the humor in his evidence to support his theory.
Originally Posted by shiner
Did we ever get an answer to this?
TSO Ron Said
In this thread? Nope. I chummed the waters here and let the sharks have at each other. But I have answered it, several times, in other threads and in other places. As you look for that answer Im sure you will learn even more than you had intended.
Did we ever get an answer to this?
TSO Ron Said
In this thread? Nope. I chummed the waters here and let the sharks have at each other. But I have answered it, several times, in other threads and in other places. As you look for that answer Im sure you will learn even more than you had intended.
Frankly I think Ron is either close to becoming a troll. Or he is frustrated by the fact that the TSA never selected him to become an official commenter on the TSA blog that he is creating is own version of it here. Either way I've learned to read these types of threads and see the humor in his evidence to support his theory.
#73
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 270
Red, you're huntin' the wrong dog if you think Ronnie is going to give this a second glance.
See http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/trave...n#post12053836
#74
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Salish Sea
Programs: DL,AC,HH,PC
Posts: 8,972
, that and the answers are not intended exclusively for him.
#75
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: FrostByte Falls, Mn
Programs: Holiday Inn Plat NW gold AA gold
Posts: 2,157
Sorry AM, that dog wont hunt.
If there has been, would you or I know about it? Not likely. Most terrorists are unknown, who ever heard of Tim McVey before the bomb in Oklahoma? Or Nawaf al-Hazmi before 9/11? Or Eric Robert Rudolph? They were all unknowns to 99.9% of the planet, before they became famous for their actions. So who is to say that the guy with the pistol in his bag at JFK is not a terrorist? Or the one in Atlanta? Or the woman that wanted to get her bottle of water through the checkpoint in Kansas? Your reasoning is faulty AM, and I suspect its because of 2 things. Lack of information, and prejudice.
If there has been, would you or I know about it? Not likely. Most terrorists are unknown, who ever heard of Tim McVey before the bomb in Oklahoma? Or Nawaf al-Hazmi before 9/11? Or Eric Robert Rudolph? They were all unknowns to 99.9% of the planet, before they became famous for their actions. So who is to say that the guy with the pistol in his bag at JFK is not a terrorist? Or the one in Atlanta? Or the woman that wanted to get her bottle of water through the checkpoint in Kansas? Your reasoning is faulty AM, and I suspect its because of 2 things. Lack of information, and prejudice.
The 19 on 9/11 WERE disarmed, at least to the standards of the day. Yet they caused untold amounts of destruction and cost. Again, your reasoning is faulty.
I dont remember hearing about anyone getting killed because of a TSO or a baggage handler taking something out of their bag AM. But hey, I admit I could have missed that story. Gimmie a link to it and Ill review the information.
And a giant elephant eating amoeba could crawl out of your nose tomorrow. Its just as likely as you opening your mind enough to let your prejudices concerning TSA escape and allow you a look at the facts. Anything is possible AM, we can what if all year long and never get to an answer.
Last I heard TSA was on target with the congressional mandate, 100%. Again I admit I could have missed that story. Gimmie a link to it and Ill review the information.
Anything is possible AM, we can what if all year long and never get to an answer. What a useless game.

