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-   -   CX to EWR! (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/cathay-pacific-cathay/1281710-cx-ewr.html)

AA_EXP09 Nov 19, 2011 10:07 pm


Originally Posted by [email protected] (Post 17480086)
Now that EWR is resolved when will CX start a third YYZ daily using Billy Bishop Toronto Island:p?????

I thought that was YTZ....
If that were to happen, the majority of the originating pax would move there due to the AIF being cheaper by $5+HST.

mkjr Nov 20, 2011 6:19 am


Originally Posted by Dr. HFH (Post 17479053)
A fella can hope, can't he? Yes, of course, you're completely correct. Personally, I see DFW or MIA next.

of course you can hope. Dfw makes sense...in fact, I thought dfw before ewr but clearly still lots of demand in nyc area.

B-HXG Nov 20, 2011 6:58 am


Originally Posted by mkjr (Post 17484552)
of course you can hope. Dfw makes sense...in fact, I thought dfw before ewr but clearly still lots of demand in nyc area.

agree!
and i think next destination for CX in the US might be SEA or DFW!
and probably GUM for KA? haha :)
hope to see more destinations! CX FTW!

kaka Nov 20, 2011 9:43 am


Originally Posted by B-HXG (Post 17479508)
i am quite surprised to see EWR...
similar to HND and SHA route, don't think they work..
especially the quality of the lounge, and the extra expense for hiring more staff..

prefer an extra daily to JFK instead :)

did you say it wont work!?! for the last few times i've checked HND it was booked full flatout. seems like you've underestimated how little domestic flights there are from narita... and how much further is NRT from Tokyo. full i mean full.... not a single seat left.

ijgordon Nov 21, 2011 12:11 am

I'd just add that CO has never taken lightly to competitors encroaching on its turf at EWR. They practically ran JetBlue out of town a few years ago, I think they only have a few flights now to Florida.

It wouldn't surprise me to see COUA add another flight EWR-HKG to try and prevent CX from gaining much share. They have more flexibility to do so as a combined carrier from a fleet perspective. Not sure about the regulatory/slot aspects though.

ande777emt Nov 21, 2011 1:01 am


Originally Posted by CX828 (Post 17475194)
However it may be that when CX start EWR the fare to HKG may be reasonable, to compete with CO as they will be in strong competition!

I wonder what this new service will do to CO/UA's daily EWR-HKG. I guess there will be enough Star Alliance flyers to ensure that flight stays full too.

If it's any mirror of ORD-HKG, the premium cabin loads are going to drop quite a bit, as will prices. On ORD-HKG, it used to be impossible to burn a SWU on UA, now there's (IME, when I've looked) often 1-2 seats in R inventory.


Originally Posted by Dr. HFH (Post 17479053)
A fella can hope, can't he? Yes, of course, you're completely correct. Personally, I see DFW or MIA next.


Originally Posted by ijgordon (Post 17489194)
I'd just add that CO has never taken lightly to competitors encroaching on its turf at EWR. They practically ran JetBlue out of town a few years ago, I think they only have a few flights now to Florida.

It wouldn't surprise me to see COUA add another flight EWR-HKG to try and prevent CX from gaining much share. They have more flexibility to do so as a combined carrier from a fleet perspective. Not sure about the regulatory/slot aspects though.

The widebody fleet is already stretched far enough, where could they find 2 772's or 744's to run a second EWR-HKG? I think CX could easily beat UA/CO in both the price and service game by running a larger, more cost effective plane (in terms of CASM).

Dr. HFH Nov 21, 2011 3:13 am


Originally Posted by ande777emt (Post 17489304)
The widebody fleet is already stretched far enough, where could they find 2 772's or 744's to run a second EWR-HKG?

The 744 can't make it; but the 744-ER can. Does UA have any 744-ERs?

maortega15 Nov 21, 2011 5:07 am


Originally Posted by Dr. HFH (Post 17489569)
The 744 can't make it; but the 744-ER can. Does UA have any 744-ERs?

Only Qantas has it.

ijgordon Nov 21, 2011 9:44 am


Originally Posted by ande777emt (Post 17489304)
The widebody fleet is already stretched far enough, where could they find 2 772's or 744's to run a second EWR-HKG?

I know pre-merger CO's widebody fleet is stretched, but there's a lot more flexibility to shuffle things around within the combined CO and UA fleets, particularly as I believe UA is converting its handful of domestically-configured 763s for international use. Could free up some 777s on routes that don't really need all that capacity. Additionally, CO's current daily service EWR-HKG is very inefficient from a utilization standpoint. Sure, they do maintenance cheaply during the ~12 hours the aircraft sits idly on the ground in HKG -- but every day?


I think CX could easily beat UA/CO in both the price and service game by running a larger, more cost effective plane (in terms of CASM).
JetBlue had lower costs and better (coach) service and it didn't matter.

In any event, it will be interesting to see whether CX will charge $25k r/t for F tickets on the EWR flights.

The other thing is that these proposed CX flight timings are much more "efficient" from a business travelers point of view. The current CO schedule just wastes too much time, in both directions. I think if CO does nothing, they could potentially lose some lucrative J traffic.

N830MH Nov 21, 2011 9:54 am


Originally Posted by AA_EXP09 (Post 17483438)
I thought that was YTZ....
If that were to happen, the majority of the originating pax would move there due to the AIF being cheaper by $5+HST.

No, actually, it is YYZ and not an YTZ. Because the entire 77W does not have enough room.

N830MH Nov 21, 2011 9:55 am


Originally Posted by maortega15 (Post 17489853)
Only Qantas has it.

Right. Only QF does have it and not everyone else.

DHAST Nov 21, 2011 4:27 pm


Originally Posted by BearX220 (Post 17480382)
If you actually knew the whole northeast transportation layout (you said elsewhere you only landed at EWR once) you'd know nobody drives to the NYC area from Washington or Boston to catch a longhaul flight. Terrible, taxing drives with expensive tolls, and the last thing you want to face after a 15-hour flight in from HKG or wherever.

I live near IAD, and having booked two award trips on CX, I'd agree. I could think about driving to EWR, but not JFK. But the clincher is the return -- 15-hour flight and 4+ hour drive? Uh huh. The funny thing is, when my wife and I have traveled, we've been gone for 4+ weeks at a time. At that point, it's cheaper to buy the airfare from IAD than it is to drive and park.


In fact, most who are in the know resist connecting through EWR or JFK because of the potential for delays (too many ops in summer, weather in winter; EWR is worse). If you're starting from Boston or Washington en route to a destination with no nonstop, you are wiser to fly to an overseas hub or a North American connection point like IAH, ORD or YYZ, and you'd be insane to drive to a New York area airport. You might take the train to EWR from Philly though.
I'm the idiot who doesn't. For our first trip on CX, we stayed in Manhattan for two nights, and on the way home, we took CX 888 with a 4-hour layover before catching B6 home. My theory with the B6 flight was that if we miss it, we'll just deal. This trip was in the middle of December/January. Staying in Manhattan for two nights was as much about the air logistics as it was about seeing the city.

For the next trip, we're leaving in late September, but taking the ORD-HKG flight out. Again, we'll hang out in Chicago for two nights before we leave. My wife loves the city, and well, it helps with the connections issue. However, on the way home, we'll have to come back through JFK. We'll have to overnight near JFK before coming back to DC the next day. If we used ORD instead, we'd have a forced overnight in HKG.

FWAAA Nov 22, 2011 8:40 am


Originally Posted by ijgordon (Post 17489194)
I'd just add that CO has never taken lightly to competitors encroaching on its turf at EWR. They practically ran JetBlue out of town a few years ago, I think they only have a few flights now to Florida.

It wouldn't surprise me to see COUA add another flight EWR-HKG to try and prevent CX from gaining much share. They have more flexibility to do so as a combined carrier from a fleet perspective. Not sure about the regulatory/slot aspects though.

I'd be little surprised; the fuel alone would be approximately $250k per round trip and the fully allocated costs would exceed $500k per day (round trip). That would be one expensive flight to attempt to protect turf. And ya gotta think that with CX starting a flight, yields will come down. If CO also starts a new flight, they'd have lots and lots of seats to give away.

And that ignores the other issue: which (presumably) more profitable flight would UA/CO cancel to free up the pair of 777s necessary to operate a second daily flight to HKG?

jimyvr Nov 23, 2011 2:43 am


Originally Posted by AA_EXP09 (Post 17483438)
I thought that was YTZ....
If that were to happen, the majority of the originating pax would move there due to the AIF being cheaper by $5+HST.

YTZ is Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport.

YTZ can only handle turboprop and regional jet.

djwhipps Nov 29, 2011 7:00 pm

I would love an HKG EWR route. I just moved to HKG after college for work but fly back to Washington DC 6 times a year to see my family. I currently fly CX J into JFK, YYZ, or ORD (based on whichever is cheapest) and connect to either IAD or DCA.

I would definitely consider driving home to DC from EWR... but certainly not from JFK. Hopefully, Amtrak would add a late pickup from EWR station that could connect to PHL and to Wasington... reducing the need for connecting flights. Especially since trains are rarely canceled.

And I would fully support a CX flight into IAD!


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