No not really, an empty seat map for a flight that's not until October is completely meaningless. It's way (way) too soon to have any idea any how full the flight will end up. Most people haven't even begun to book travel that far in advance, especially true for paid business class travel. I imagine if you look at the seatmaps for the same flight +/- a month you'll see that most flights are equally wide open.

Again I still think your odds are good, just that an empty seat map for a flight 7 months in advance doesn't tell you anything about upgrade odds.

I just spent 6 hours in 8E. I’m home. Cold beer a flowin

Last night (Thursday) DCA/MIA 738 3 out of 52 on the upgrade list. About 240LP YTD. No one cleared, including a CK that I followed back into Y.

My flight from CHS yesterday had 4 CK's (I know this as 4 people walked up to the gate to board before everyone and the gate agent says "you're all keys?") Also there was a family of 5 in F too. Lots of EXP's in the back!

Wed 3/8 AM flight PIT - DCA upgraded T-72. Looks like 1 of 5 on list cleared at gate.

Wed 3/8 AM flight DCA - RSW, 2 of 14 on list, 1 cleared at gate.

P PRO 132k LY

Tuesday March 14 - PHX - DEN cleared at T-100
Thursday March 16 - DEN - PHX cleared at T-100
EXP with 72K LPs (2023)

I'll update for Waitlist when it opens up on the app.

I cleared tomorrow's DFW-LAX flight 4 days ago yet I'm in a middle seat, 300 deep on an upgrade wait list to Charleston.

Crazy times.

Plat Pro with 146k LPs in 2022.

15MAR LAX-BOS red-eye - cleared Y to J at T-70, seat map was showing one seat open, but flight was J7.
16MAR BOS-PHL - cleared at window

PPro, 130K last year.
Cleared DCA-MCO and back for companion and I at about the 72 hour mark for each leg.

Nice clear on LAX-BOS. Do they fly flagship on this route?

I flew AA1309 DEN-PHX, A321 March 11th, the "completely full, no PDB" 1835 deparure had 2 Main seats and 1 F seat available at T-60m with ZERO on the upgrade waitlist and ZERO standby.

The flight departed with 1 empty in Main and 3ACF empty in First. I guess two pax had a last minute change in plans.

James

They do. It’s one of those routes where it can be very easy to grab a J seat depending on timing. I think they cut down at least one frequency to B6 :td:, but I want to say it is coming back for the spring / summer.

BOS-ORD E175 Sunday evening - cleared at the window, and we went out with one seat open and a light load.

ORD-DFW 789 (!!) Monday evening - I had previously cleared at the window on the late flight (looks like it went out with a few on the list), but SDFC’d to this flight. Flight went out with ~35 on the list. The 789 was a nice surprise and good for the two hour flight.

Good to know. Is it easy to grab J as long as it's any weekday red-eye?

PHX-DIA. DIA-PHX March 14-16
 

That's pretty crazy.

Oh and update on the Flight out to Denver... 30 on the waitlist and one seat still available, so one person cleared at Gate. Must have been a Platinum or Platinum Pro. We had Preflight Bev. This on an older A320. I still like the FC seats on the A320s over the newer ones on the 321Neos.

On the return trip, there were 10 seats available in First. Everyone on the waitlist was bumped and there were two empty seats. They guy sitting next to me was Gold and the one across the aisle was Alaska 75K.

I wouldn't go that far - I'd keep an eye on the cabin availability before you book. On LAX-BOS, there's always a chance of a big corporate event happening that fills the J cabin well in advance.