UpCheck™ puts your odds at 64.6%.

2/23 DTW-DFW 738 #6/42 on list. 1-17 were ep. 1 and 2 cleared. booked 2 hours before departure
2/24 DFW-MIA 772 #1/51 on the list! 1-6 cleared. booked about 14hr prior
MIA-EYW e175 cleared when I booked no list went out with a few open F seats
2/25 EYW-MIA e175 1/1 on the list. booked 24 hours before departure. Did not clear since GA put a nonrev in the open F seat instead of me.
MIA-EYW e175 cleared when I booked. F went out with 8 open.
2/26 EYW-CLT a319 2/15. nobody cleared
CLT-DTW 738 cleared when I booked 3 days prior. ended up missing the connection. switched onto later flight and was 2/19 for 2 seats.
284k LPs

Slightly higher on todays return, 4th on the list for 0 seats. Per EF, it looks like every seat on a nonstop from MIA to DCA is sold out which is absolutely wild. CPI numbers make a lot of sense!

Whelp, got down to PLS today. Upgraded CLT->PLS right at T-100 on an award flight so thank Jeebus for that.

DCA->CLT did not clear. 28 people on the upgrade list. 1 open seat and I was #2 on the list. Guess that means that where were two EXPs on the flight and the remaining 26 were PPRO or below (unless there was another EXP on an award seat who had fewer LPs than me).

I hope you reported this GA. I know it's a short flight and not a big deal to you as the flyer, but a GA doing this with impunity is a real erosion of the upgrade benefit.

I did, got a skimpy copy and paste apology from AA however.

I'm not sure this is the best place for this post, so mods, relocate if appropriate.

My travel experience is plummeting. I first made EXP for 2020, still have it, flew PHL-LAS about once a month unless COVID was too hot, have spent about 80% of my time in F and probably 40% in lie-flats.

But... I'm cutting back travel a lot, I can't get an AA-branded credit card, even with my 11x multiplier still in effect I will be lucky to make Plat for 2024-25. Now, I'm planning to move to Las Vegas anyway, so my travel will go way down once I move.

A few years ago I earned 4 SWU's. I used 2 of them to go to Italy in June, 2020 - wait - um, that trip didn't happen. So I gave them away before they expired. Right now I have 1 SWU that expires June 15, and I haven't made my loyalty choice awards yet (I'm in the 200-349K band).

The only other time I tried to use an SWU was on a LAS-PHL daytime with lie-flats. I was #1 on the list but didn't clear.

So here's the question. What loyalty choice awards should I take? Sitting in F is a big deal to me, and the price gap presently between F and Y is quite wide. I expect to make 5-8 trips to Vegas during the upcoming cycle. Early in the year I'll still have decently high rolling LP's but they will go way down. So my inclination is to take the max of 5 SWU's and plan to use them on PHL-LAS flights later in the year.

But I have zero experience with actually using/clearing a SWU. In the course of 5-8 roundtrips, am I likely to clear enough to use all 5?

The A319s are an impossible upgrade most of the time in my experience. If I have to fly them, I'm always resigned to being in 14A/F on booking.

Over the past 1.5 weeks with about 235K LP, MIA/ATL 321neo T-100; ATL/MIA T-100 321ceo, MIA'LAX number 4 on a 321neo maybe one cleared, LAX/MIA number 4 again 3 cleared, 772. At least I had PE.

I wasn't sure which thread this goes in but seems related and someone here likely knows the answer...

The LPs reset for annual status, but my understanding is 12-month rolling LPs are used to determine upgrade list order within a status level. Is there a way to quickly see one's current rolling 12-month LPs?

There is no way to see your rolling 12 mo LP's other than keeping up with it yourself.

With upgrade offers in the app now that has changed. While you would be ahead of status complimentary upgrades that won't help much, leaving you to hope for a no show or misconnect. Maybe the PHL market is different than for example DFW (where in March I was number 11 on the upgrade list). Personally if F is that important I would use a miles and cash instrument which I believe would trump a SWU.

I have a basic question--we (3) are flying from ORD to DFW to AKL and I am Platinum. We depart ORD 3:30PM, land DFW 6PM, and depart for AKL at 10:30PM. Does the Platinum 48-hour upgrade window reference 3:30PM or 10:30PM for the DFW to AKL flight?

We are currently in Economy (Y) and hoping to get Main Cabin Extra. I plan to pay close attention to availability at the 120-, 100-, 72-, and 48-hour upgrade windows for higher elites moving into the five Business Class and seven Premium Economy seats and freeing up seats in Main Cabin Extra. Any better suggestions? thank you

This post contains a unicorn...

This week's flights:

DEN-ORD, Monday 8am, 738, cleared at 100 hours
ORD-DCA, Monday 1pm, A319, did not clear
DCA-ORD, Friday, 11am, A319, cleared at 100 hours
ORD-DEN, Friday, 1pm, 738, cleared at ~26 hours

Probably around 220K rolling LP. It's not something I track.

Also the DCA-ORD upgrade was likely the difference between making and missing my connection. Delayed flight meant the door opened at ORD 9 minutes prior to the door closing on my DEN departing flight. Being in 1C instead of 10C meant I was first off the plane and could dash down the hall to the next gate.

I don't follow - there are no complimentary upgrades or upgrade windows on international longhauls like DFW-AKL. So that's irrelevant. All you can do is monitor the seat map. Your platinum upgrade window to F for the ORD-DFW will open 48 hours prior to the departure time of that flight.

But as a Plat you should have access to MCE at booking right? Are all the MCE seats taken?