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Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread)

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Old Dec 17, 2017, 12:15 pm
FlyerTalk Forums Expert How-Tos and Guides
Last edit by: aztimm
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing
NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes.

"New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017

(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
  • Elite status
    1. Concierge Key
      • Executive Platinum
        • Platinum Pro
          • Platinum
            • Gold
    • Upgrade type
      1. Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
        • 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
          • 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)

      • Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months
        • Booking class
          • Time of request"


See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017

Link to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017

Updated 17 Dec 2017 by aztimm
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Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (2018 master thread)

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Old Jun 5, 2018, 4:54 pm
  #301  
 
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Dallas
Programs: AA ExPlat, Marriott Ambassador, Hilton Gold, Hertz PC
Posts: 121
Cleared SFO-DFW AA2352 as a Plat, which meant I got dinner service. Thank god, was running late and didn't get a chance to grab food. Gate agent handed me my new boarding pass as I walked in and scanned my old one as they were already on group 5. Felt nice.
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Old Jun 5, 2018, 5:23 pm
  #302  
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 230
Question on using 500 mike upgrades:

If I apply to use 500 mike certificates, and they aren’t successful, how long until they show back up in your account?
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Old Jun 5, 2018, 5:29 pm
  #303  
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Originally Posted by thedeeg
Question on using 500 mike upgrades:

If I apply to use 500 mike certificates, and they aren’t successful, how long until they show back up in your account?
they arent deducted unless the upgrade clears
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Old Jun 5, 2018, 5:31 pm
  #304  
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 230
Originally Posted by Antarius
they arent deducted unless the upgrade clears
Weird, i’ll Have a look tomorrow online, but thought I had 8 certificates, applied to use 4 on. R/T CLT-DFW, and it’s now showing 4 on the app.
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Old Jun 5, 2018, 6:55 pm
  #305  
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: Long Island, NY
Programs: AA EXP, Hyatt Explorist, Marriott Gold
Posts: 732
Aa 41 bcn - ord
Has anyone any feedback on chance of upgrade Y to J as EXP for AA 41 (BCN->ORD) using Miles & Copay? Taking the flight on a weekday mid-June.
Thanks
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Old Jun 5, 2018, 8:17 pm
  #306  
 
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 163
Originally Posted by Antarius
they arent deducted unless the upgrade clears
And you board and sit in the seat. Had an upgrade clear at about T-45min, then when I went to board, had been downgraded to the back of the plane, someone higher up apparently cleared standby, then got the seat. Last row of CRJ900 is awful, and I have 30dB earplugs that got out of the case for the flight. Never had the upgrades deducted for that adventure.
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Old Jun 6, 2018, 10:04 am
  #307  
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Originally Posted by zip10001
Has anyone any feedback on chance of upgrade Y to J as EXP for AA 41 (BCN->ORD) using Miles & Copay? Taking the flight on a weekday mid-June.
Thanks
What day(s)? Without specifics, its anybody's guess. This was we can make a better guess based on day and EF
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Old Jun 7, 2018, 6:31 pm
  #308  
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Originally Posted by thedeeg


Weird, i’ll Have a look tomorrow online, but thought I had 8 certificates, applied to use 4 on. R/T CLT-DFW, and it’s now showing 4 on the app.
Where you upgraded?
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Old Jun 7, 2018, 6:38 pm
  #309  
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Originally Posted by zip10001
Has anyone any feedback on chance of upgrade Y to J as EXP for AA 41 (BCN->ORD) using Miles & Copay? Taking the flight on a weekday mid-June.
Thanks
Expert Flyer is your friend
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Old Jun 8, 2018, 7:33 am
  #310  
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 148
Originally Posted by whimsey21
Don’t hold your breath. As a plat flying in/out of dca and iad regularly, i have not been upgraded on any of the routes you list this year, though I always request the upgrade. Last year as EXP, I flew dca to/from dfw a number of tImes, and never received an upgrade; on one trip back from dfw, I was number 17 on the upgrade list.
I flew LGA - DCA a few times last year and JFK - DCA too. The only time I didnt get upgraded was when the plane only had economy service, every other time I've always got it. In my experience its the most easiest route for me to get upgrades followed by MIA, DFW and SFO was hit or miss last year but lately I'm getting upgraded every time and I'm clearing several days in advance (ie. on Saturday for Monday / Tuesday flight).
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Old Jun 9, 2018, 10:54 pm
  #311  
 
Join Date: Jan 2000
Location: SoCal to the rest of the world...
Programs: AA EXP with lots of BA. UA 2MM Lifetime Plat - No longer chase hotel loyalty
Posts: 6,699
LAX-PEK
If this helps anyone - been using EF and noticed lately it's releasing J inventory to C for upgrades at EXACTLY 36 hours. Seen this also on DFW-PEK the last week. Your mileage may vary but someone may find this useful. Tracked the prior last week and it was pretty consistent 36 hours to release seats.
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Old Jun 10, 2018, 10:08 am
  #312  
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Join Date: Nov 2003
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DFW-ORD-LHR on June 23rd revenue Y ticket. I tweeted AA about how I can upgrade this (no SWU's left) and they said 25K miles + $350 copay and i'd have to be waitlisted. If it doesn't clear I'm not charged the copay.

Does anyone know what bucket these upgrades come out of?

thanks
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Old Jun 10, 2018, 10:12 am
  #313  
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Originally Posted by enviroian
DFW-ORD-LHR on June 23rd revenue Y ticket. I tweeted AA about how I can upgrade this (no SWU's left) and they said 25K miles + $350 copay and i'd have to be waitlisted. If it doesn't clear I'm not charged the copay.

Does anyone know what bucket these upgrades come out of?

thanks
same bucket as SWUs. So C.

also if it doesnt clear you arent charged the miles OR the copay.
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Old Jun 10, 2018, 10:15 am
  #314  
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Originally Posted by Antarius
same bucket as SWUs. So C.

also if it doesnt clear you arent charged the miles OR the copay.
ah got it -- makes sense.

Thanks, I'll set the alert now on EF.

I don't know why but I thought the daytime flights to heathrow would have open C.

At any rate I was able to capture C with my last SWU on the nonstop 78 on the 28th.
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Old Jun 10, 2018, 10:21 am
  #315  
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Originally Posted by enviroian
ah got it -- makes sense.

Thanks, I'll set the alert now on EF.

I don't know why but I thought the daytime flights to heathrow would have open C.

At any rate I was able to capture C with my last SWU on the nonstop 78 on the 28th.
ORD-LHR on the 28th is only J5. So it is unlikely they would have C space open with only 5 seats left in the cabin.
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