Last edit by: JDiver
Speculation: Future changes to AAdvantage program? (Consolidated thread)
Please update as any concrete information becomes available.
Please update as any concrete information becomes available.
This situation changed with JonNYC's revelations here and on travelingbetter.com on November 5, 2015. Please see the current thread, 2016 AAdvantage Program Changes for further discussion. This speculation thread has now been archived.
Q. What do we know at this point?
Nothing.
Q. When would a change occur?
We don't know.
Q. Will there be changes?
We don't know.
Q. Are there clues?
Mr. Parker stated there would be no changes for 2015.
Mr. Parker said he'd not be averse to using others' ideas if they worked.
28 Sep 2015: AA spokesperson Laura Nedbal to Gary Leff:
"If we were to issue changes like this we would be certain to give plenty of advanced notice."
Mr. Parker said he'd not be averse to using others' ideas if they worked.
28 Sep 2015: AA spokesperson Laura Nedbal to Gary Leff:
"If we were to issue changes like this we would be certain to give plenty of advanced notice."
ARCHIVE: Speculation: Future changes to AAdvantage program? (Consolidated)
#286
Moderator: American AAdvantage




Join Date: May 2000
Location: NorCal - SMF area
Programs: AA LT EXP; HH LT Diamond, Matre-plongeur des Muccis
Posts: 62,948
As that wasn't anything that has already occurred, I didn't mention it. But it's certainly the Occam's razor approach to status that allows higher value EP members, whilst still issuing RDM for awards, etc. And it takes no IT work to establish it, as well, other than a very few easily done minor mods.
#287
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Dallas Area
Programs: AA EX PLT, Lifetime Platinum, Marriott Lifetime Gold
Posts: 149
I think we will likely not see a change that affects us in 2016, but sometime this year they will make an announcement of changes for 2017.
DL and UA made changes so I can not see how AA would not.
DL and UA made changes so I can not see how AA would not.
#288
In Memoriam, FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: Benicia CA
Programs: Alaska MVP Gold 75K, AA 3.8MM, UA 1.1MM, enjoying the retired life
Posts: 31,849
Are those changes the cause of increased profitability, though? Yes, they do provide a higher level of recognition/miles to high spenders, but do they bring in more revenue versus just reallocating the miles awarded for travel?
Unless AA can demonstrate that their current program is causing a significant loss of revenue compared to the competition, and that a new program will rake the dollars in, they may find there's not a good reason to change anything.
Once you make a change like UA or DL, it's not going to be easy to reel it back in if you find it was the wrong call and your mid-tier and lower-tier flyers bail on you. AA seems to be working around this now with bonus miles on some fares, and maybe that's the route they'll continue to pursue.
Unless AA can demonstrate that their current program is causing a significant loss of revenue compared to the competition, and that a new program will rake the dollars in, they may find there's not a good reason to change anything.
Once you make a change like UA or DL, it's not going to be easy to reel it back in if you find it was the wrong call and your mid-tier and lower-tier flyers bail on you. AA seems to be working around this now with bonus miles on some fares, and maybe that's the route they'll continue to pursue.
#289

Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Los Angeles, CA, USA`
Posts: 212
My 2 cents as a Delta DM that flies mostly business class from LAX to Europe, and monthly LAX-JFK, perhaps as a counter point to people on the thread saying AA doesn't have the best product. While it may be true overall, for my travel patterns I would respectfully disagree and as a result, I am considering moving my business to AA next year because of a better premium product.
- AA's new J class on the 77W is the best premium business class I have ever flown between US and Europe in terms of hard product. And the soft product is strong.
- AA's A32T service between JFK and LAX is great in J as well, and if I become EXP, I can again get a shot at upgrades when I fly coach on my own dime (which I can't do on DL any longer). Also the fact that the plane has so few seats makes boarding such a better experience.
A
- AA's new J class on the 77W is the best premium business class I have ever flown between US and Europe in terms of hard product. And the soft product is strong.
- AA's A32T service between JFK and LAX is great in J as well, and if I become EXP, I can again get a shot at upgrades when I fly coach on my own dime (which I can't do on DL any longer). Also the fact that the plane has so few seats makes boarding such a better experience.
A
#290


Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS, VA, WS Silver
Posts: 6,235
Hmm, but keeping EQMs for Gold and Platinum? I guess I had resigned myself to an (unfounded by fact) assumption that making the EQP bonuses permanent would mean the elimination of EQMs as a qualification method. (I would view such a change as entirely fair, even though it would likely mean the end of Platinum status for me.) Glad to hear that you don't think that's likely (assuming I'm reading your comment correctly).
#291


Join Date: Jun 2000
Location: JFK > LGA >> EWR
Programs: AA EXP 1.2mm, Kimpton IC, Starwood Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 2,188
In that event, I wonder if the Citi and Barclays cards that now provide only EQMs would also provide EQPs. If not, they'd be worthless towards EXP.
#292
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2006
Programs: AAdvantage PP
Posts: 13,913
What evidence is available to suggest that AA has too many marginally profitable EXPs? I assume AA has sufficient data points to tell them when revenue from a customer is adequate enough to bestow the benefits of EXP, and if that is out of sync on aggregate, AA will make changes. That being said given changes at DL and UA and Parker not being a huge fan of differentiation I believe changes are coming.
#294
FlyerTalk Evangelist




Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: BWI
Programs: AA Gold, HH Diamond, National Emerald Executive, TSA Disparager Gold
Posts: 15,180
This is -not- what I was talking about. I specified "highest-economy/premium fares" The ones the airline in question would be looking to most reward.
To let you get some rest on this front (and get the thread back on topic) how 'bout this; in the cases where it makes sense (same price) a UA member (since that was what was being discussed when this came up) *might* do 2 one-ways vs. purchase r/t to yield the extra bonus miles as tom911 indicates is the practice in some cases in this post:http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/25549872-post264.html
In the cases where it doesn't make sense (higher price one-way vs. r/t,) of course no one in their right mind would.
Not that this should have required this level of explanation.
To let you get some rest on this front (and get the thread back on topic) how 'bout this; in the cases where it makes sense (same price) a UA member (since that was what was being discussed when this came up) *might* do 2 one-ways vs. purchase r/t to yield the extra bonus miles as tom911 indicates is the practice in some cases in this post:http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/25549872-post264.html
In the cases where it doesn't make sense (higher price one-way vs. r/t,) of course no one in their right mind would.
Not that this should have required this level of explanation.

I'd take a real premium experience over "premium" miles any day - especially with how UA has devauled them over the last few years.
#295




Join Date: Oct 2007
Programs: AA, WN, UA, Bonvoy, Hertz
Posts: 2,730
Hmm, but keeping EQMs for Gold and Platinum? I guess I had resigned myself to an (unfounded by fact) assumption that making the EQP bonuses permanent would mean the elimination of EQMs as a qualification method.
I think for Y booking domestic road warriors, an EQP focus would discourage earlier bookings especially with the prevalence of corporate travel sites.
Rasheed
#296


Join Date: May 2013
Location: LHR
Programs: AA EXP, DL DM, Marriott Titanium
Posts: 1,056
Probably not as strong of a perverse incentive for road warriors as tying RDMs to spend, though. I'd love to see the effect that is having/will have (if any) for UA/DL on (a) corporate travel spend/internal monitoring of said spend and (b) corporate contracts.
#297
Suspended
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: FIND ME ON TWITTER FOR THE LATEST
Posts: 27,729
My main issue with EQP is that flying from smaller airports can be a whole lot more expensive on what would only count as .5 EQP fares. I definitely don't want them to add a fare dollars counter, but I don't know how they reconcile the high fares on 'lowly' fare classes. I think I spent quite a bit to get to EXP for 2016, but it is still closer to 75k EQP.
I think for Y booking domestic road warriors, an EQP focus would discourage earlier bookings especially with the prevalence of corporate travel sites.
I think for Y booking domestic road warriors, an EQP focus would discourage earlier bookings especially with the prevalence of corporate travel sites.
#298


Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS, VA, WS Silver
Posts: 6,235
My main issue with EQP is that flying from smaller airports can be a whole lot more expensive on what would only count as .5 EQP fares. I definitely don't want them to add a fare dollars counter, but I don't know how they reconcile the high fares on 'lowly' fare classes. I think I spent quite a bit to get to EXP for 2016, but it is still closer to 75k EQP.
I think for Y booking domestic road warriors, an EQP focus would discourage earlier bookings especially with the prevalence of corporate travel sites.
I think for Y booking domestic road warriors, an EQP focus would discourage earlier bookings especially with the prevalence of corporate travel sites.
Those who fly 75k EQPs on 0.5 EQP fares on 1000 mile (average) routes have easily passed the 120 EPS threshold for EXP.
#299
FlyerTalk Evangelist




Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: BWI
Programs: AA Gold, HH Diamond, National Emerald Executive, TSA Disparager Gold
Posts: 15,180
That's partly what segments are for, isn't it? (Since smaller airports with high fares in low fare buckets tend to be served only/mostly with short flights to nearby hubs.)
Those who fly 75k EQPs on 0.5 EQP fares on 1000 mile (average) routes have easily passed the 120 EPS threshold for EXP.
Those who fly 75k EQPs on 0.5 EQP fares on 1000 mile (average) routes have easily passed the 120 EPS threshold for EXP.
That would throw a bone to those that qualify on segments, especially shorter hauls that now have to do 20 extra segments per year for EXP.
#300




Join Date: Oct 2007
Programs: AA, WN, UA, Bonvoy, Hertz
Posts: 2,730
I use PHX/DFW pretty interchangeably, but PHX connections (under 500 miles) have traditionally been priced lower than via DFW as most area residents have found on US's pricing model. But even the higher DFW connect fare is still a .5 EQP class. I see this all the time even within two week buying windows (restrictive fare class, high dollar cost).
Rasheed



