Last edit by: IADCAflyer
Speculation: New Routes, Hubs, Flights (2017 Onward)
Because there is community interest in having a purely speculative discussion about whether other airports will pop up to become focus cities or hubs, new routes, etc. the following new thread has been amalgamated on this topic.Note:
Going: 9 A330-300, ER190, some older 757-200 and 8 767-300ER (leaving 17), MD-80
Coming: Remainder of 16 Boeing 26 787-8, 22 Boeing 787-9 (began later 2016). A320 family - 100 A321neo, and B737-800 (100 737-MAX8) aircraft.
See Cranky Flier article on 2016 fleet changes, AA-HP-US. Link.
Also see: HELP DESK: General questions about aircraft equipment, fleet, seats, IFE, etc.
Speculation fun time: Will xxx be the next AA focus city / hub? (consolidated)
Obsolete posts from 2015 on have been moved to ARCHIVE: Speculation: Possible Routes (Flights) and Hubs, Discussion - 2015 on
All posts prior to 2015 have been moved here: ARCHIVE: Routes (Flights) and Hubs (Speculation, News and Discussion)
Speculation: Possible Routes (Flights) and Hubs, Discussion - (2017 on)
#211
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: SEA, but up and down the coast a lot
Programs: Oceanic Airlines Gold Elite
Posts: 20,397
DL and B6 would be in there in a hot minute. A top 10 US metro area by population without an actual dominant carrier? You aren't going to find those on the street corners.
#212
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: los angeles, calif.
Programs: Alaska Airlines Gold MVP
Posts: 7,170
DL's average load factor on PHLLHR is beyond embarrassing. There are months when it average 45%.
#213
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: PIT
Posts: 759
So you assume that seeing Europeans walking around in SOHO means all is great with AA JFK European travel? I see loads of Indians walking around Center City Philly every day that I'm there, but that doesn't mean there's a successful flight to/from DEL.
#214
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: PIT
Posts: 759
We're addressing the situation if AA abandons Philly, not today, or yesteryear. AF couldn't make PHL-CDG work simply because there was zero feed into PHL and it was competing with US PHL-CDG 2x Daily. If AA left PHL, a DL PHL-LHR and/or PHL-CDG would likely not operate with a 757, nor would it be unprofitable. I wouldn't even be surprised to see Virgin on PHL-LHR against BA.
#215
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Usually in SAN or Central Europe.
Programs: AA:EXP/1MM. Accor/Radisson:Silver; HH:Gold; ICH:Plt Amb.
Posts: 22,307
We're addressing the situation if AA abandons Philly, not today, or yesteryear. AF couldn't make PHL-CDG work simply because there was zero feed into PHL and it was competing with US PHL-CDG 2x Daily. If AA left PHL, a DL PHL-LHR and/or PHL-CDG would likely not operate with a 757, nor would it be unprofitable. I wouldn't even be surprised to see Virgin on PHL-LHR against BA.
#216
Join Date: May 2009
Location: PHL
Posts: 2,842
This speaks to the ability to use the slot outside of PHL-LHR but does not touch on the real ownership or time.
As a general rule, the Slots obtained by a prospective entrant under the final commitments must be used to provide a non-stop scheduled passenger air transport service operated on the London Heathrow – Philadelphia airport pair and cannot be used on another city pair unless the prospective entrant has operated such service during the Utilization Period (six consecutive IATA seasons) 114. Once the Utilization
Period has elapsed,the prospective entrant will be entitled to use the Slots on any city pair ("grandfathering"). However, grandfathering is subjec to approval of the Commission, advised by the Monitoring Trustee.
Period has elapsed,the prospective entrant will be entitled to use the Slots on any city pair ("grandfathering"). However, grandfathering is subjec to approval of the Commission, advised by the Monitoring Trustee.
#217
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: PHL
Posts: 3,113
We're addressing the situation if AA abandons Philly, not today, or yesteryear. AF couldn't make PHL-CDG work simply because there was zero feed into PHL and it was competing with US PHL-CDG 2x Daily. If AA left PHL, a DL PHL-LHR and/or PHL-CDG would likely not operate with a 757, nor would it be unprofitable. I wouldn't even be surprised to see Virgin on PHL-LHR against BA.
#219
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Arizona
Programs: BA (GGL G4L), AA (Gold), HH (Diamond); Marriott (Gold)
Posts: 3,011
#220
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Alexandria, Longboat Key
Programs: UA Gold Marriott Gold AA Gold Choice Gold Wyndham PLAT IHG PLAT Avis President's Club Amtrak Select
Posts: 2,263
In a slightly unrelated note, once DL has enough A350-900s, they will likely take a hard look at restarting DTW-HKG. If AA wants to go after the midwest/northeast market for HKG, it would make sense they start ORD-HKG a little sooner, i.e. 2018/2019, than later.
#223
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: New York
Programs: AA EXP 1.0mm, not sure where I am with hotels these days
Posts: 2,795
However, I work by Rock Center, and I see an awful lot of Euros with maps waiting to get on the N/Q/R headed downtown in the AM at the 49th St/7th Ave station.
#224
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: YYF/YLW
Programs: AA, DL, AS, VA, WS Silver
Posts: 5,951
Are their European tourists in New York City? Um, yes. Anecdotal observation is not a very good statistical indicator of demand for air travel to/from Europe, though, to say the least.
#225
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: AA PLT, SPG Gold
Posts: 2,405
All those medical students? Yeah, most of them rarely go to India :-D and if they do it ain't profitably!