Last edit by: JDiver
Chances of Upgrade Request Clearing
NOTE: Be aware of recent (20 May 2017) upgrade priority changes.
"New Upgrade Priority as of 20 May 2017
(Upgrades were prioritized by elite status and then time of request until 20 May 2017)
- Elite status
- Concierge Key
- Executive Platinum
- Platinum Pro
- Platinum
- Gold
- Upgrade type
- Miles and copay award upgrades and systemwide upgrades (SWU)
- 500 mile upgrades on purchased tickets
- 500 mile upgrades on upgrade eligible awards)
- Elite qualifying dollars in the past 12 months
- Booking class
- Time of request"
See Upgrade Priority Changes to Status, Rolling 365 Day EQD Spend May 20 2017
U]Link[/U] to Gary Leff, View From the Wing 16 May 2017
Updated 22 May 2017 by JDiver
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2017 Chances of Upgrade Clearing and Availability (consolidated)
#646
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: STL/ORD/MCI/SAN
Programs: AA CK MM, AC SE100K, BA Gold, UA 1K, DL Plat, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 1,989
With last-minute purchases, DL often has very competitively priced F fares (actually G/A/P).
It's interesting that, despite AA clearly switching to more of a revenue model for its FFP like UA and DL, they haven't seemed to monetize domestic F the way the others have. Perhaps this is in the works for AA, but I haven't seen strong evidence of it yet.
I've been fairly loyal to AA, but when I'm buying last-minute and it looks like an upgrade may not clear on coach ticket, I'm often perfectly willing to pay for J/F. However, I won't give AA $800 when I can fly DL up front for $350 (to use a recent example).
Last-minute premium cabin purchases are generally significantly cheaper on DL than AA, so DL has gotten my business in this situation.
I agree that the upgrade game has become a bit more difficult to predict on AA for EXPs, primarily due to the EQD component and the addition of CK as a separate, higher priority, tier. To be fair, though, for the reasons I mentioned above (cheap last-minute F and/or discounted buy-ups just prior to departure), it's probably still more of an upgrade "lottery" at UA or DL.
#647
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: jfk area
Programs: AA platinum; 2MM AA, Delta Diamond, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 10,291
Is AA being nicer (now) in upgrading?
I fly AA 1263 (non-stop) from JFK-LAS (dep. 7:45 am) fairly often. FC is always fully occupied*. I've been tracking J availability on EF over the last several days, it varied between J0 and J1 almost daily. About 30 minutes ago it was J1 (again). 15 minutes ago I was upgraded.^ [My flt is tomorrow]
I'm happy about getting upgraded (of course), but I would have thought AA would have waited until close to departure time before issuing upgrades.
*On one 1263 they used a 767-300 (WB) and all upgrades cleared, I think there were a few empty FC seats. (Per seat map I'm still on a 737.)
I'm happy about getting upgraded (of course), but I would have thought AA would have waited until close to departure time before issuing upgrades.
*On one 1263 they used a 767-300 (WB) and all upgrades cleared, I think there were a few empty FC seats. (Per seat map I'm still on a 737.)
#648
Join Date: Jan 2015
Programs: Alaska Gold 75K, AA EXP, United 1K
Posts: 472
I fly AA 1263 (non-stop) from JFK-LAS (dep. 7:45 am) fairly often. FC is always fully occupied*. I've been tracking J availability on EF over the last several days, it varied between J0 and J1 almost daily. About 30 minutes ago it was J1 (again). 15 minutes ago I was upgraded.^ [My flt is tomorrow]
I'm happy about getting upgraded (of course), but I would have thought AA would have waited until close to departure time before issuing upgrades.
*On one 1263 they used a 767-300 (WB) and all upgrades cleared, I think there were a few empty FC seats. (Per seat map I'm still on a 737.)
I'm happy about getting upgraded (of course), but I would have thought AA would have waited until close to departure time before issuing upgrades.
*On one 1263 they used a 767-300 (WB) and all upgrades cleared, I think there were a few empty FC seats. (Per seat map I'm still on a 737.)
#649
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 1,372
Hey team, I have to change a JFK-LAX RT, and wondering:
1. Is Wednesday night JFK-LAX (the 8PM or 9PM flight) a better upgrade chance than Thursday, at the same times? Are those flights better than earlier flights due to LAX-Asia connections being mostly out of the way, or should I get a later departure (timing doesn't matter for me on this trip).
2. Are the red-eyes back from LAX-JFK on a Wednesday usually bad for upgrades? Are later red-eyes more likely for an upgrade than earlier ones?
I also realize this is a very elite-heavy route...
1. Is Wednesday night JFK-LAX (the 8PM or 9PM flight) a better upgrade chance than Thursday, at the same times? Are those flights better than earlier flights due to LAX-Asia connections being mostly out of the way, or should I get a later departure (timing doesn't matter for me on this trip).
2. Are the red-eyes back from LAX-JFK on a Wednesday usually bad for upgrades? Are later red-eyes more likely for an upgrade than earlier ones?
I also realize this is a very elite-heavy route...
#650
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: SFO
Programs: AA EXP, SPG / Marriott GLD, HHonors GLD
Posts: 520
Hey team, I have to change a JFK-LAX RT, and wondering:
1. Is Wednesday night JFK-LAX (the 8PM or 9PM flight) a better upgrade chance than Thursday, at the same times? Are those flights better than earlier flights due to LAX-Asia connections being mostly out of the way, or should I get a later departure (timing doesn't matter for me on this trip).
2. Are the red-eyes back from LAX-JFK on a Wednesday usually bad for upgrades? Are later red-eyes more likely for an upgrade than earlier ones?
I also realize this is a very elite-heavy route...
1. Is Wednesday night JFK-LAX (the 8PM or 9PM flight) a better upgrade chance than Thursday, at the same times? Are those flights better than earlier flights due to LAX-Asia connections being mostly out of the way, or should I get a later departure (timing doesn't matter for me on this trip).
2. Are the red-eyes back from LAX-JFK on a Wednesday usually bad for upgrades? Are later red-eyes more likely for an upgrade than earlier ones?
I also realize this is a very elite-heavy route...
Worst redeyes back east are probably Sunday and Thursday for the same reasons
I checked EF for next week and it looks like 8p and 9p are both at J7. For redeye to east coast next Wed, 9p is J0; 10p is J5; and 1130p is J7 so may be some benefit to picking later. J7 is maximum that EF shows for AA so there may actually be more seats for sale. You're right this is usually a pretty tough upgrade, probably near impossible on a Thurs
#651
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NYC
Programs: AA EXP
Posts: 1,372
Thursday afternoons / evenings I try to avoid like the plague because that's when pretty much every consultant travels. I'd shoot for one of the Wednesday departures. No idea about the timings.
Worst redeyes back east are probably Sunday and Thursday for the same reasons
I checked EF for next week and it looks like 8p and 9p are both at J7. For redeye to east coast next Wed, 9p is J0; 10p is J5; and 1130p is J7 so may be some benefit to picking later. J7 is maximum that EF shows for AA so there may actually be more seats for sale. You're right this is usually a pretty tough upgrade, probably near impossible on a Thurs
Worst redeyes back east are probably Sunday and Thursday for the same reasons
I checked EF for next week and it looks like 8p and 9p are both at J7. For redeye to east coast next Wed, 9p is J0; 10p is J5; and 1130p is J7 so may be some benefit to picking later. J7 is maximum that EF shows for AA so there may actually be more seats for sale. You're right this is usually a pretty tough upgrade, probably near impossible on a Thurs
#652
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 989
Thursday afternoons / evenings I try to avoid like the plague because that's when pretty much every consultant travels. I'd shoot for one of the Wednesday departures. No idea about the timings.
Worst redeyes back east are probably Sunday and Thursday for the same reasons
I checked EF for next week and it looks like 8p and 9p are both at J7. For redeye to east coast next Wed, 9p is J0; 10p is J5; and 1130p is J7 so may be some benefit to picking later. J7 is maximum that EF shows for AA so there may actually be more seats for sale. You're right this is usually a pretty tough upgrade, probably near impossible on a Thurs
Worst redeyes back east are probably Sunday and Thursday for the same reasons
I checked EF for next week and it looks like 8p and 9p are both at J7. For redeye to east coast next Wed, 9p is J0; 10p is J5; and 1130p is J7 so may be some benefit to picking later. J7 is maximum that EF shows for AA so there may actually be more seats for sale. You're right this is usually a pretty tough upgrade, probably near impossible on a Thurs
#653
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 1,597
Do Platinum Pro members get free upgrades to Premium Economy and have any had success?
#654
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: SNA/LAX, PHL
Programs: AA Gold, AS MVP, WN A-List, Hilton Gold, Hyatt Exp, Hertz PC
Posts: 449
PHL-LAX. Same Friday afternoon flight.
Upgrade list two weeks ago: 20+ long.
Upgrade list today: ~5 people.
Weird.
Upgrade list two weeks ago: 20+ long.
Upgrade list today: ~5 people.
Weird.
#655
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Malibu, CA
Programs: AA CK / Marriott Worthless Ambassador
Posts: 1,158
SWU
Looking at LAX to Tokyo for SWU. Was shocked and found 4 seats with immediate upgrade availability in January. I never see SWU available that far out.
And a $700 fare.
Still SWU waitlisted for October in Lax to LHR.
SWU aren't so fun when it comes down to the gate.
And a $700 fare.
Still SWU waitlisted for October in Lax to LHR.
SWU aren't so fun when it comes down to the gate.
#656
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New York, NY
Programs: AA EXP & 1MM, SkyTeam Gold, *A Gold, Hilton Gold, Starwood Gold, mother's favorite son
Posts: 333
ORD-LAX 787 odds?
Hi friends, how elite-heavy is ORD-LAX on a Saturday?
I need to fly BOS-LAX this weekend and was gonna route via ORD to pick up the 787 on the ORD-LAX leg. C class was available this morning and I intended to burn a Business Extra upgrade on it.
Now the flight has dropped to C0, but is still J7 & I7. I'm inclined to save my upgrade instrument and hope a 500-mile upgrade clears. I'm a low-on-spend Platinum.
Any experience of what the upgrade list looks like on a Saturday ORD-LAX 788?
I need to fly BOS-LAX this weekend and was gonna route via ORD to pick up the 787 on the ORD-LAX leg. C class was available this morning and I intended to burn a Business Extra upgrade on it.
Now the flight has dropped to C0, but is still J7 & I7. I'm inclined to save my upgrade instrument and hope a 500-mile upgrade clears. I'm a low-on-spend Platinum.
Any experience of what the upgrade list looks like on a Saturday ORD-LAX 788?
#657
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: DFW
Programs: AAdvantage EXP, HHonors Gold, Marriott Rewards Lifetime Gold Elite
Posts: 14
Transpacific Upgrade Chances for using SWU's for DFW to HKG & NRT to DFW
I am flying AA125 (DFW - HKG) on 17 Mar 2018 and
AA60 (NRT - DFW) on 01 Apr 2018. I am currently PPro and will be EXP in 2 weeks. I would like to use SWU's for my spouse and I both ways. We will both be EXP. We will actually make EXP on the first leg of a trip to LHR next week. I am wondering if it is worth contacting the EXP Desk while in the U.K. to inquire about availability or just wait the 2 weeks and contact them upon my return to the U.S. I do not have EF access, and since I am not EXP yet, I am not certain of the availability.
I would appreciate any response from a fellow EXP member.
Thanks in Advance
AA60 (NRT - DFW) on 01 Apr 2018. I am currently PPro and will be EXP in 2 weeks. I would like to use SWU's for my spouse and I both ways. We will both be EXP. We will actually make EXP on the first leg of a trip to LHR next week. I am wondering if it is worth contacting the EXP Desk while in the U.K. to inquire about availability or just wait the 2 weeks and contact them upon my return to the U.S. I do not have EF access, and since I am not EXP yet, I am not certain of the availability.
I would appreciate any response from a fellow EXP member.
Thanks in Advance
#658
I am flying AA125 (DFW - HKG) on 17 Mar 2018 and
AA60 (NRT - DFW) on 01 Apr 2018. I am currently PPro and will be EXP in 2 weeks. I would like to use SWU's for my spouse and I both ways. We will both be EXP. We will actually make EXP on the first leg of a trip to LHR next week. I am wondering if it is worth contacting the EXP Desk while in the U.K. to inquire about availability or just wait the 2 weeks and contact them upon my return to the U.S. I do not have EF access, and since I am not EXP yet, I am not certain of the availability.
I would appreciate any response from a fellow EXP member.
Thanks in Advance
AA60 (NRT - DFW) on 01 Apr 2018. I am currently PPro and will be EXP in 2 weeks. I would like to use SWU's for my spouse and I both ways. We will both be EXP. We will actually make EXP on the first leg of a trip to LHR next week. I am wondering if it is worth contacting the EXP Desk while in the U.K. to inquire about availability or just wait the 2 weeks and contact them upon my return to the U.S. I do not have EF access, and since I am not EXP yet, I am not certain of the availability.
I would appreciate any response from a fellow EXP member.
Thanks in Advance
#659
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: USA & UK -- AA EXP 3.5MM, Hyatt Diamond, SPG Plat, Avis President's Club
Posts: 6,411
It's the same thing as my buying one Buffet meal in Las Vegas, then sneaking in some friends to help partake.
#660
Join Date: Jan 2008
Programs: TK Elite+, DL Plat, Bonvoy Gold, IHG Spire, IC Ambassador, Hilton Gold
Posts: 186
Hi All,
I'm booked on a round-trip JFK-LAX in November. At the time of my reservation a couple months ago, I requested to be put on the mileage upgrade list (I'm platinum). I have 4 500-mile upgrades in my account, however, and it looks like I'm not going to make status for the next year. I'd like to use them before I lose status (and buy a fifth for the 2500 mile flight). If I call and request to use my 500-mile upgrades on one leg of the trip instead of mileage, will I "lose my place in line" and have less chance of actually getting an upgrade?
I'm booked on a round-trip JFK-LAX in November. At the time of my reservation a couple months ago, I requested to be put on the mileage upgrade list (I'm platinum). I have 4 500-mile upgrades in my account, however, and it looks like I'm not going to make status for the next year. I'd like to use them before I lose status (and buy a fifth for the 2500 mile flight). If I call and request to use my 500-mile upgrades on one leg of the trip instead of mileage, will I "lose my place in line" and have less chance of actually getting an upgrade?