p.s. Operations Transitioning to EWR on October 25, 2015
#586
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
Programs: UA 1K / *G, Marriott Bonvoy Gold; Avis PC
Posts: 9,005
As a bonus, I also got my R upgrade on LAX-JFK rebooked onto LAX-EWR, same lie-flat, but it's showing Z fare now...hello 1.5x PQM bonus! (hopefully)
#587
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 1999
Location: ORD/MDW
Programs: BA/AA/AS/B6/WN/ UA/HH/MR and more like 'em but most felicitously & importantly MUCCI
Posts: 19,719
Originally Posted by minnyfly
Customers have spoken over and over. They will not pay more for premium. Price rules in a near commodity.
And if the second thought is correct, why isn't Allegiant the biggest airline in the country?
Purchase decisions are based not only on price but schedule, convenience, service / brand reputation, reliability, and status / miles considerations.
#588
Suspended
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Houston and Dubai
Programs: United GS, Emirates iO (Invitation Only)
Posts: 67
Though this isn't a very common route for me, it's still really disappointing. EWR is a dump and I try to avoid it as much as possible (and have been able to for a long time).
Looks like I might just end up flying through IAH or ORD or maybe even fly JetBlue mint which is a very nice product, in the case that I need to go to from east/west coast, anything to avoid EWR and the struggle of getting from there to the city and Long Island. To me, flat beds aren't worth EWR ( which is just my opinion).
Looks like I might just end up flying through IAH or ORD or maybe even fly JetBlue mint which is a very nice product, in the case that I need to go to from east/west coast, anything to avoid EWR and the struggle of getting from there to the city and Long Island. To me, flat beds aren't worth EWR ( which is just my opinion).
#589
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: MRY - CNX - TXL
Programs: UA 1K / *G / Marriott PE / Expedia Gold+ / Hertz PC
Posts: 7,058
FWIW, there does appear to be quite a bit of R availability on the newly-upgraded EWR-LAX/SFO flights. I ran into a very nice United agent on the hotline who, in the process of changing an LAX-JFK to EWR, did me a solid and let me book my outbound EWR-LAX flight an hour earlier with no change fee - snagged R seats on that (I'm continuing on to TPAC, so getting on the waitlist is a no-brainer, IMO, if it means I could get 2 lie-flat flights). She basically treated it like a change to flight itinerary in other words...very nice of her ^
#590
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: BOS
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#591
Join Date: May 2005
Programs: Million Miler, 1K - Basically spend a lot of time on planes
Posts: 2,202
#592
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: SEA, but up and down the coast a lot
Programs: Oceanic Airlines Gold Elite
Posts: 20,392
There's likely almost zero connecting traffic of significance XXX-JFK-LAX/SFO for UA, given that almost every airline of significance when it comes to *A service to the USA flies nonstop into one or both of LAX and SFO (and some of the ones who don't fly into IAD). LH, LH, SQ, NH, OZ, and so on. Really, come on now.
JFK is an O/D airport for *A for NYC (given that LGA isn't capable of handling the kind of heavies and passenger capacity it would need to handle to be one). Has been for over a decade now, since UA wound down service from there (and you can't blame Smisek and the merger for that). UA doesn't have the slots to make JFK scale reasonably as a hub. They've chosen EWR and LGA. It's not an unreasonable decision given slot restrictions and being in a dogfight at JFK like AA, B6 and DL are. Really, where are the slots for a UA hub at JFK going to come from?
The TATL revenue-sharing JV that *A has isn't going to include B6. There's really no reason for LH/LX/etc. to steer connecting traffic to JFK over a UA hub. The JV also allows for price and schedule coordination. Can't do that with B6.
So, no, JFK isn't going to suddenly turn into a *A connecting hub because of B6 Mint and UA withdrawing.
Last edited by eponymous_coward; Jun 18, 2015 at 11:35 am
#593
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: SFO, IAH
Programs: UA MM, SPG Gold, Marriott Gold, Hertz #1 Gold
Posts: 434
That's one way of looking at it. UA clearly is hoping this will entice more J pax to actually book UA metal from the west coast. It made no sense to fly LAX-EWR-xxx(in Europe) in J when lax-ewr was in a crappy domestic F seat, when Lax-Fra/muc/Zrh-xxx on LH or Lx were priced identically. Now it swings things a bit more in favor of UA to avoid the infra-Europe "business" and get a lie-flat the whole way. And I can tell you that the lax-Europe business fares are a lot more than the lax-jfk o/d especially after b6 came in.
#594
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: SEA, but up and down the coast a lot
Programs: Oceanic Airlines Gold Elite
Posts: 20,392
First off, nobody going TPAC who isn't a "maximize my time in C/F" FTer is flying TPAC-JFK-LAX/SFO. So we can safely say it's TATL traffic.
Secondly, XXX-FRA/ZRH/MUC-SFO/LAX instead of XXX-FRA/ZRH/MUC-JFK-SFO/LAX. Hmm, this isn't exactly rocket science to figure out which itinerary's preferable. Unless you really dig ice cream sundaes.
#595
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: San Francisco, CA
Programs: UA Plat, Copa Pres. Plat, Hyatt Diamond, Hilton Diamond, SPG LT Gold, Marriott Gold
Posts: 769
I agree that pmUA would have eventually made this move. While it makes sense in many respects, I don't think it's "smart" at all. While I avoid all NYC airports, EWR is always going to be #3 on that list, thanks to the often horrendous delays one experiences at an airport that has as few runways as EWR.
You could tear down all of the existing concourses and build beautiful new ones, and you'd still have the limited airfield space, which means long delays at peak periods.
You could tear down all of the existing concourses and build beautiful new ones, and you'd still have the limited airfield space, which means long delays at peak periods.
Actually J capacity looks to be going up pretty substantially, as noted upthread.
#597
Join Date: May 2015
Posts: 674
The worst part about this, for a NJ resident, is that EWR might eventually become a Untied Ghetto with everybody else at JFK.
I want more Jetblue options
I want more Jetblue options
#598
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: NYC, LON
Programs: *
Posts: 2,773
I wouldn't advertise that on flyertalk, especially on a thread started by United. You may see it revert back to R in due course....
#599
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: SFO
Programs: AS MVP, FB Silver (former UA 1K)
Posts: 161
Thank you for your informative reply. The challenge here is getting to WDH in something close to the original travel time of 29 hours. That's already a long haul. Notwithstanding the option of using *A carriers across the Pond, UA metal actually offers the best connections and E+ will be nice. I may upgrade with miles outbound and seek an accommodation on the co-pay. (Not something to which I'm entitled, but worth the ask since J will likely be empty on Xmas evening flight).
No reason whatsoever that UA wouldn't route you through Europe. And it doesn't matter if it is UA metal. They'd prefer you to be on a j.v. partner, but they would re-route you on any *A without much hesitation.
Here are some other routes to consider:
SFO-IST-JNB on TK/TK. Dep SFO 610p Arv JNB 950a
SFO-IAD-ADD-JNB on UA/ET/ET. Dep SFO 1139p Arv JNB 110p
You might also, maybe, be able to talk UA into SFO-ORD-JFK on UA/DL or UA/AA
Or you could just overnight at JFK.
You might be interested to know that SFO-FRA-JNB-WDH is only 524 mi longer than SFO-JFK-JNB-WDH.
Here are some other routes to consider:
SFO-IST-JNB on TK/TK. Dep SFO 610p Arv JNB 950a
SFO-IAD-ADD-JNB on UA/ET/ET. Dep SFO 1139p Arv JNB 110p
You might also, maybe, be able to talk UA into SFO-ORD-JFK on UA/DL or UA/AA
Or you could just overnight at JFK.
You might be interested to know that SFO-FRA-JNB-WDH is only 524 mi longer than SFO-JFK-JNB-WDH.
Last edited by Tunapalooza; Jun 18, 2015 at 12:40 pm
#600
Join Date: Feb 2008
Programs: 6 year GS, now 2MM Jeff-ugee, *wood LTPlt, SkyPeso PLT
Posts: 6,526
For many folks JFK/LGA is not a realistic option, and no way that DOT should allow UA to further increase concentration at EWR, particularly when the market power is created by a federal rule (slots).
As I said up-thread, UA is currently the 2nd largest airline in the World. They can not provide service to IAH, DEN, ORD, IAD, SFO and LAX (all hubs) from JFK - something is wrong if they can not make a profit on those routes.
Forget LAX - UA can not compete on service levels in C (I get that). I question SFO being dropped, as that is a UA fortress hub? They can not make money going to ORD, IAD, and IAH? That, I question?
Forget LAX - UA can not compete on service levels in C (I get that). I question SFO being dropped, as that is a UA fortress hub? They can not make money going to ORD, IAD, and IAH? That, I question?
Fast forward, we know that DL has said that is has done very well with Corporate share in NYC and LAX, and AA has said they have held their own. United has as far as I know, never said that its LAX or NYC (or for that matter SFO) share has increased. With VX and B6 in the market, those flyers are coming from somewhere. United has lost its yield premium post 2012 and badly underperformed DAL, AA, and now VX.
My assumption is that there has been so much damage to the high end and corporate business over the last three years that PS has gone from being a necessary part of retaining the corporate business to a huge drain now that that traffic is gone. So they hope to get a little bump from this. This said, I would expect the knock on impacts of this to further hurt UA with corporate and business travelers (at SFO, and particularly at LAX) and have long term impacts. But we all know that long term thinking is not part of the current UA play book.
I think you're failing to realize that even if they loose a certain [perhaps large] percentage of premium o/d from JFK, the strategy is that it'll be more than made up by:
1) Drastically reducing building/staffing costs. I know these changes are hard, but I saw the writing on the wall for JFK as soon as the merger was complete. I was surprised JFK was kept on for this long to be perfectly honest, but I'd venture to guess that B6's Mint flights were the straw that finally broke the camel's back here.
2) Increasing the prestige and standing of the EWR hub, which lets be honest, vies with only SFO for being the primary strategic standing within the combined network. EWR's history non-withstanding, it's the future that matters, and the airport certainly has potential to transform itself..
I'll personally miss the SFO-JFK-SFO shuttle, but I can certainly see the favorable benefits from the company's perspective of consolidating all the traffic to Newark.
This has nothing to do with "Texas-think/wisdom" guys. This is a move that UAL Corp. would have made in a second if they had had EWR as their East-coast Atlantic gateway. And it's not even all the shrewd of a move - just a smart one.
JFK and MIA were the last markets to be developed under UA's (late 70s early 80s?) business plan. UA intended to be the premier business airline of choice by supporting all of the largest business markets in the US. UA also did a lot of point to point flights to support business travel, this is how JFK-SFO and JFK-LAX got started.
Though we have not heard UA articulating such a strategy, the US market is in need of a true business traveler airline. One we can reliably count on in IRROPS. One that moves mountains when some operational issue causes delays or cxl's. DL comes a bit closer than AA or UA, but it would be a real opportunity for any of the US3 to focus on this.
Though we have not heard UA articulating such a strategy, the US market is in need of a true business traveler airline. One we can reliably count on in IRROPS. One that moves mountains when some operational issue causes delays or cxl's. DL comes a bit closer than AA or UA, but it would be a real opportunity for any of the US3 to focus on this.
That's clearly the model DL aspires to domestically, and is showing genuine progress with product, network / route system, key markets, reliability, and irrops recovery.
The jury is obviously still out on what AA will become, the narrowcase A321 transcon proposition notwithstanding.
UA is shrinking from the "true business traveler airline" thing. They want to charge those prices, and the FF program is now mainly suited for OPM-spending business flyers, but they lack the products, key market presence, reliability, or irrops recovery.
The jury is obviously still out on what AA will become, the narrowcase A321 transcon proposition notwithstanding.
UA is shrinking from the "true business traveler airline" thing. They want to charge those prices, and the FF program is now mainly suited for OPM-spending business flyers, but they lack the products, key market presence, reliability, or irrops recovery.
UA clearly is hoping this will entice more J pax to actually book UA metal from the west coast. It made no sense to fly LAX-EWR-xxx(in Europe) in J when lax-ewr was in a crappy domestic F seat, when Lax-Fra/muc/Zrh-xxx on LH or Lx were priced identically. Now it swings things a bit more in favor of UA to avoid the infra-Europe "business" and get a lie-flat the whole way. And I can tell you that the lax-Europe business fares are a lot more than the lax-jfk o/d especially after b6 came in.
I've complained a bunch about this because DL and AA all allowed for lie-flat service lax-Europe via Jfk by virtue of having their international flights out of JFK. This was a big gap for UA.
Only time will tell if the extra $$ from more international J traffic from the west coast will (more than?) offset the sure loss from O/D lax-jfk traffic.
It's really unfortunate capacity isn't increasing substantially. Booking 1-2 days out for J travel, I've rarely been able to find an LAX-EWR intl feeder flight with j space available. This is only going to make that worse.
Looks like I'll continue to book LH and GPU to F, and dismiss any GS or MM chances.
I've complained a bunch about this because DL and AA all allowed for lie-flat service lax-Europe via Jfk by virtue of having their international flights out of JFK. This was a big gap for UA.
Only time will tell if the extra $$ from more international J traffic from the west coast will (more than?) offset the sure loss from O/D lax-jfk traffic.
It's really unfortunate capacity isn't increasing substantially. Booking 1-2 days out for J travel, I've rarely been able to find an LAX-EWR intl feeder flight with j space available. This is only going to make that worse.
Looks like I'll continue to book LH and GPU to F, and dismiss any GS or MM chances.