UAL 1Q 2013 call/results - Thursday 4/25/13
#316
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 5,814
IMO -- FFPs are the only thing left that can garner loyalty (and rev) even when there are better products out there. Without FFPs, then legacy carriers are screwed in the enginehole as they are pretty much no different (or worse) than LLCs. There is a reason I fly UA instead of SQ or AA instead of QF.
#317
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,645
Pre-merger, CO primarily viewed the domestic network as a means of delivering traffic to the international system. International flights were often 50-60% flow traffic vs. local, even routes such as EWR-Europe. For whatever reason, accounting or otherwise, CO's domestic network was never profitable, but the international side made the company a lot of money over the years, and not all of the traffic was local.
This isn't a losing strategy per se, but with United's stronger presence in the few existing high-yield domestic markets, we should be seeing better results.
This isn't a losing strategy per se, but with United's stronger presence in the few existing high-yield domestic markets, we should be seeing better results.
Is it possible that they've overlaid a CO strategy on the pricing structure recently - ramping up international fares so the domestic/international split ends up being consistent with what you describe?
#319
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 57,617
I said the current management teams (plural) at the major airlines (plural) are the most savvy in years. Most investors and professional analysts are savvy enough to know that the merger and integration of multi-billion dollar global companies is difficult and time consuming and that the legacy carriers are at different steps in the process. Did UA's management under-deliver in 2012? Absolutely. At the same time, they are dealing with a s*** load of headwinds and are not the incompetent failures some like to portray them as.
Did DL and NW have an operational melt down when they merged? No. Of course, they had the foresight to make sure they had unified work groups much sooner in the merger process.
#320
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 3,361
They have an awesome product, customer service, etc that puts US carriers to shame. It's night and day....
IMO -- FFPs are the only thing left that can garner loyalty (and rev) even when there are better products out there. Without FFPs, then legacy carriers are screwed in the enginehole as they are pretty much no different (or worse) than LLCs. There is a reason I fly UA instead of SQ or AA instead of QF.
IMO -- FFPs are the only thing left that can garner loyalty (and rev) even when there are better products out there. Without FFPs, then legacy carriers are screwed in the enginehole as they are pretty much no different (or worse) than LLCs. There is a reason I fly UA instead of SQ or AA instead of QF.
Personally, I don't think making mistakes means you're stupid or a failure. The measure is in how you respond to your mistakes and move forward.
#321
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 5,814
Except on the UADo in November + via videos + interviews, they said that they aren't really investing (much) into their hard products as they believe that the cost isn't worth the benefits. Instead they are sinking their $ into CS... which I don't mind and i've seen improvement in this area. Unfortunately, it's not even close to the levels of foreign carriers are at nor where it should be compared to most US legacy carriers (i.e. why I book AA right now).
#322
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Colorado
Programs: United MM (formerly 1K), Marriott Lifetime Gold
Posts: 551
From my perspective, UA has made mistakes, keeps making mistakes and isn't really moving forward compared to its competitors.
#323
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: New York, NY
Programs: UA, AA, DL, Hertz, Avis, National, Hyatt, Hilton, SPG, Marriott
Posts: 9,454
I am seeing, generally, higher prices now than I've ever seen before on TPAC and TATL out of SFO but I find that UA domestic prices are what they've typically been.
Is it possible that they've overlaid a CO strategy on the pricing structure recently - ramping up international fares so the domestic/international split ends up being consistent with what you describe?
Is it possible that they've overlaid a CO strategy on the pricing structure recently - ramping up international fares so the domestic/international split ends up being consistent with what you describe?
Regarding SFO, with VX expanding, the domestic market is as competitive as it has been in quite some time, so perhaps their presence has been putting downward pressure on pricing in overlapping markets. Domestic markets are more price-elastic too.
#324
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 57,617
Where did I say they were stupid or a failure? I just don't buy your constant "savvy" appellation. Once they demonstrate the ability to return UA to a consistent operation - and make it a single airline, not two subsidiaries operating as one brand - maybe they will meet your label.
#325
Moderator, Omni, Omni/PR, Omni/Games, FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Between DCA and IAD
Programs: UA 1K MM; Hilton Diamond
Posts: 67,146
Where did I say they were stupid or a failure? I just don't buy your constant "savvy" appellation. Once they demonstrate the ability to return UA to a consistent operation - and make it a single airline, not two subsidiaries operating as one brand - maybe they will meet your label.
#326
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 5,814
I wonder how much $$$ they are spending to deploy those gates systemwide...
#327
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 3,361
Where did I say they were stupid or a failure? I just don't buy your constant "savvy" appellation. Once they demonstrate the ability to return UA to a consistent operation - and make it a single airline, not two subsidiaries operating as one brand - maybe they will meet your label.
#328
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,645
Hard to say, but international capacity has been coming out of the system somewhat aggressively for about the last 18 months, mostly over the Atlantic. If we are seeing higher fares in general, then the capacity cuts are having the desired effect. DL and UA have specifically and repeatedly mentioned that capacity cuts in certain international regions over the last year or so were successful, so I suspect this may be the case.
Regarding SFO, with VX expanding, the domestic market is as competitive as it has been in quite some time, so perhaps their presence has been putting downward pressure on pricing in overlapping markets. Domestic markets are more price-elastic too.
Regarding SFO, with VX expanding, the domestic market is as competitive as it has been in quite some time, so perhaps their presence has been putting downward pressure on pricing in overlapping markets. Domestic markets are more price-elastic too.
As for international, I'm seeing the difference - very tangible.
#329
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,480
Int'l fares have been consistently higher out of SFO than just about any other UA hub for the past several months and certain int'l upgrades out of SFO are described as some of the toughest in the system (HKG, FRA). I suspect this is a combination of a red-hot Bay Area economy and the near total lack of int'l competition from other US carriers. By contrast, on the domestic side, UA has to contend with VX and WN (which has an especially large presence at OAK), not to mention AA and DL hub traffic.
#330
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: Colorado
Programs: United MM (formerly 1K), Marriott Lifetime Gold
Posts: 551
Similarly, prices this week between DEN and PDX are now $450-700 for a trip is three weeks out. F9 and WN are between $280-380.
It will be interesting to see the next set of financial numbers to learn whether UA is actually getting people to pay the significantly higher fares in enough volume to make up for people booking away to other carriers. I've been booking other carriers more than any other time in my life. I can't believe this situation will be a good thing for UA's financials.
The many changes at UA have fundamentally changed the way I book travel. In the past I'd go to the UA website exclusively. Now, I start at Kayak. If the plane, schedule or price is better than UA. UA won't get the booking.
Last edited by FlyingNut724; May 29, 2013 at 7:38 am