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Old Mar 11, 2020, 10:13 am
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In order to reduce noise in the Coronavirus / Covid-19 : general fact-based reporting thread, and to create a central place to invite any member to ask a basic question about the impact of COVID-19 on travel, your moderators have decided to open this separate "lounge" thread for related discussion that isn't strictly fact-based reporting.
Any member who can provide a constructive, helpful answer to a question; or post constructively in reply to a member's point-of-view, is welcome to post.

All FT rules apply, including avoiding personalized, snarky, political, other off-topic, commercial, and repeatedly disruptive content.

Discussion of general economic impacts of Covid-19 belongs in the OMNI forum, not here.
Discussion and critique of political/government actions to aid the economy or which is far more political than related to COVID-19 is for the OMNI/PR forum, not here.

This is a protocol for posting adopted by the forum Moderator team:Please follow this protocol, based on FlyerTalk Rules and long-standing FlyerTalk best practices. Doing so will help keep the thread open, and allow our moderator team to aid members, rather than having to resort to discipline.

•Constructive, respectful posts, views, opinions, questions, and replies, related to the topic are welcome. Avoid commenting on members personally, or posting off-topic or political messages.

•While respectful disagreement of a posted view is allowed, don’t call-out posters to prove their points. FlyerTalk has never required discussion standards at the level of a Ph.D. dissertation defense, or a trial court witness cross-examination.

•After a reasonable exchange of views on a point, please yield the floor so that others may bring up different topics, questions or points.

•Especially important in this time of pandemic, when normal life and travel have been upended: please take regular breaks from the thread.
Please stay healthy,

your FT Coronavirus and Travel Moderator Team.








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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 7:26 pm
  #271  
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Originally Posted by Dieuwer
That’s true, but should we not also mention the recovery rates? The obsession with death rates is unhealthy.
A problem is that the only relatively hard numbers are the rates of those who need medical care and those who die. For both flu and Covid the presumably much larger number who get a mild case and survive is not known.
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 7:30 pm
  #272  
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Originally Posted by Dieuwer
That’s true, but should we not also mention the recovery rates? The obsession with death rates is unhealthy.
Well, sure:
Japan: 530 cases, 101 recovered.
South Korea: 7478 cases, 166 recovered.

Italy: 9172 cases, 724 recovered.
USA: 668 cases, 15 recovered (but I don't think enough time has elapsed on the US case count)

Not a super comforting recovery rate.
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 7:31 pm
  #273  
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Originally Posted by Dieuwer
That’s true, but should we not also mention the recovery rates? The obsession with death rates is unhealthy.
Yes, but that's what people obsess about. To the detriment of us all. God willing common sense will come back into play soon.
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 7:44 pm
  #274  
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Originally Posted by Dieuwer
That’s true, but should we not also mention the recovery rates? The obsession with death rates is unhealthy.
Originally Posted by stimpy
Yes, but that's what people obsess about. To the detriment of us all. God willing common sense will come back into play soon.

For people with a certain about of, what’s the term, numeracy or something like that, they are rather related. This isn’t the flu. It has very little in common with the flu.

Last edited by GadgetFreak; Mar 9, 2020 at 9:30 pm
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 8:33 pm
  #275  
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Originally Posted by GadgetFreak
Thanks for posting but I’m not sure about you addition. It might mean that droplets, sneezing etc, are the most important.
Agree. I think we are saying similar things. When aerosol threat is serious, it is likely at closer distance and droplets become even more threatening. But it also hints at the possibility that if droplets danger is prevented then most dangers are removed. This interpretation would imply aerosol by itself is not that important.
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 9:43 pm
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There are no masks in most of Asia. Although in Thailand it’s reported that a staff member of a government minister met with a ‘businessman’ to discuss a deal to send 200 million masks to China. Where the windfall stockpile came from is unclear. Police are investigating. Christmas is coming.

Originally Posted by nk15
This is very scary and worrying....There are no masks in the West, not even coming close enough to suffice for healthcare workers...that alone explains the recommendation.
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 9:53 pm
  #277  
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Originally Posted by Dieuwer
What would happen if we start reporting flu infection rates every year. I’m sure the cases surge into the millions every year. Would there be hysteria every year? Would the market tank constantly?
Forget reporting it every year.
I am just thinking how people would react if there was a daily (or multiple times daily) update released on number of flu patients diagnosed and subsequebt fatalities.

If there actually were 20,000 flu related fatalities this season, you would see dozens of deaths reported every single day and hundreds of positive cases
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Old Mar 9, 2020 | 10:43 pm
  #278  
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Originally Posted by invisible
You know what will effectively stop cruising? If insurance companies pull plug covering ships/crew and individually people taking cruises.

I'm surprised that they have not done it yet. Travel insurance companies in split second invalidate your coverage if you travel in 'known, affected areas'. Why can't cruise ships being designated such 'areas' before even cruise takes place?
But that would only apply to new policies. Won't most of the people have already paid and bought their insurance before the risk was known?
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 12:29 am
  #279  
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Originally Posted by T8191
After all, it’s a form of Flu that kills tens of thousands annually, albeit that this seems more transmissible and severe in some individuals.)
It is not a form of flu. It is not the influenza virus. The symptoms are different. etc.
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 2:20 am
  #280  
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Originally Posted by GadgetFreak
For people with a certain about of, what’s the term, numeracy or something like that, they are rather related. This isn’t the flu. It has very little in common with the flu.
Some (many) just don't understand exponential growth. It's a tricky concept for humans to natural grasp. I don't blame them for not getting it… we didn't evolve counting things growing exponentially. When we were still hunter-gatherers and our brains evolved, things grew linearly.

Or maybe they know and they just feel better playing dumb than facing a harsh reality.

Originally Posted by Bluecardholder
We've just arrived back in the UK from Oz via Hong Kong. They take it very seriously in HK - every hotel as far as I can see checks the temperature of the guest as they come in the building, as well as when you check in. Everyone wears masks and hand sanitisers are everywhere. Seems to be working as they seem to be keeping the lid on it. We came onwards via Dubai on EK385, and on the leg from HK to Bangkok, all the air crew wore masks, and when we got to Dubai eveyone was observed with a thermal image camera, and anyone staying in Dubai had to complete a medical questionnaire and declaration. When we got back to Heathrow - what virus, nothing, no messages, no monitoring of passengers, come on and spread your germs through the airport.
Wuhan coronavirus outbreak — worries as it spread to HK & beyond

Yup, HK takes it super seriously. We remember SARS (not that I was here for it)

Originally Posted by rustykettel
More incompetence by local health officials. Hopefully other states are handling this better. Hopefully.

https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavir...from-feds.html
Not incompetence just reality. 1500 tests = 750 people. But when you first set up you need to use up a lot of tests to calibrate instruments etc. So really you only get a couple hundred people tested out of it.

Last edited by NewbieRunner; Mar 10, 2020 at 4:59 am Reason: Merge consecutive posts by same member
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 3:08 am
  #281  
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Originally Posted by doctoravios
Just in terms of casual observation I feel like we are very far behind in the US and UK (the two countries I have been in since the pandemic started).
Unfortunately, here in the US we have a bad habit of only doing what is right at the absolute last second. But then we hit it with all our might. The problem is that if we play this game too often, there will be a point when we will certainly lose.

Originally Posted by yosithezet
I noticed that one of the Bangladeshi construction workers is 36 and has been in the hospital since Feb 8 or 9.
After seeing my father-in-law not get diagnosed for a stroke until only after 3 days in India, that statistic doesn't surprise me. I have absolutely zero faith in the medical system on the Indian subcontinent. I even had doctors saying to my face that westerns get sick more frequently because their [Indian] bugs are so much stronger. When there's mosquitos in the icu and my bathroom floor is cleaner than the hospital floor--it's definitely not the bugs...

But because of the terrible healthcare there, people that are well are invincible to stuff that kills others--typhoid fever is regarded like the common cold, and just as prevalent. And that doesn't get into the malaria, meningitis, and all the other stuff including insanitary drinking water that people live with every day. And that's the thing--they live without much basic care at all. So in a place like that, the healthcare part of the equation doesn't factor in as much as the resistance of the people to get critically sick. But due to the lack of even basic hygiene, it is going to spread like a gasoline fire.

Originally Posted by simpletastes
I've found it interesting that Asian governments have generally encouraged their people to wear masks, whilst Western governments have given the opposite advice.
The businessman in me asks who would profit most from mask sales. It's sad that the world is this way.

Originally Posted by Bluecardholder
We've just arrived back in the UK from Oz via Hong Kong. They take it very seriously in HK - every hotel as far as I can see checks the temperature of the guest as they come in the building, as well as when you check in. Everyone wears masks and hand sanitisers are everywhere. Seems to be working as they seem to be keeping the lid on it. We came onwards via Dubai on EK385, and on the leg from HK to Bangkok, all the air crew wore masks, and when we got to Dubai eveyone was observed with a thermal image camera, and anyone staying in Dubai had to complete a medical questionnaire and declaration. When we got back to Heathrow - what virus, nothing, no messages, no monitoring of passengers, come on and spread your germs through the airport.
Thank you for the field report. How are the hotels checking the temperature? I'm curious because I was in the hospitality industry a long time and am very curious as to how this is implemented.

Last edited by NewbieRunner; Mar 10, 2020 at 4:57 am Reason: Merge consecutive posts by same member
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 5:09 am
  #282  
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Re: Checking temperature of guests/travelers/visitors


Why is this still happening?

A person without fever can have SARS-CoV-2.
A person with fever doesn't necessarily have SARS-CoV-2.
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 5:27 am
  #283  
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Originally Posted by narvik
Re: Checking temperature of guests/travelers/visitors


Why is this still happening?

A person without fever can have SARS-CoV-2.
A person with fever doesn't necessarily have SARS-CoV-2.
At a guess because it’s a 3 second check and if someone does have a temperature then it is advisable if they are separated from others regardless of whether it’s Coronavirus or not.
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 5:32 am
  #284  
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Originally Posted by IMOA
At a guess because it’s a 3 second check and if someone does have a temperature then it is advisable if they are separated from others regardless of whether it’s Coronavirus or not.
Sure, but everyone without fever is let through and given a "health-checked" and an "all clear" stamp of approval.
It's a dangerous, ineffective and misleading practice (IMO).
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Old Mar 10, 2020 | 5:40 am
  #285  
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Originally Posted by narvik
Sure, but everyone without fever is let through and given a "health-checked" and an "all clear" stamp of approval.
It's a dangerous, ineffective and misleading practice (IMO).
That wasn’t my experience in either Hong Kong or Singapore where we were checked, there wasn’t any remote suggestion that this was a health check or that we had been given the all clear. It was simply one of many things that they were doing to identify potential carriers and separate them as early as possible. Given the progression of the disease in those countries compared to others I know where I feel much safer.
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