Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Discontinued Programs/Partners > Marriott | Rewards
Reload this Page >

SPECULATION: Is a Points Devaluation Coming In August?

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

SPECULATION: Is a Points Devaluation Coming In August?

 
Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Apr 19, 2018 | 5:25 pm
  #121  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,332
Originally Posted by jsloan
If they thought they could get 60K+/night, they'd already be charging it.

If they put the top JWs and full-service Marriotts into the same categories as the St. Regis / Ritz Carlton / Luxury Collection / Design / etc., the number of redemptions there will drop precipitously, because, all things being equal, most travelers will elect the upscale properties. Why would Marriott want to do that?
By your logic then Marriott wouldn't price hotel rooms in a Marriott higher than rooms in more upscale brands like the J.W. Marriott or Edition. But they do. In fact, for a random summer weekend the Marriott Park Lane in London is $832 per night. It's a category 9. For another random weekend, it's $602 per night. The Edition was $566 per night and the J.W. Marriott Grosvenor House was $519 per night.
hockeyinsider is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 8:03 am
  #122  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
Wisdom is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 9:02 am
  #123  
30 Countries Visited
2M
80 Nights
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: May 2002
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum, United Silver, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 2,366
Originally Posted by Wisdom
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
20,000 Starpoints maps perfectly to 60,000 new Points (new Category 7), so it's possible that the point requirements will effectively stay the same.

It's also possible that the Sheraton Maui will go down. The Ritz-Carlton, Kapalua, will also be Category 7, because Category 7 is the highest category for the rest of 2018. It would be strange for the Sheraton Maui to require as many new Points as the Ritz-Carlton, Kapalua.

The Marriott Wailea Beach Resort on Maui is currently 40,000 Rewards Points. There is not a new August 2018 category at that level, so the Marriott Wailea will have to go up or down.

I would not rely on anyone's guesses here to predict the future. Unlike a few people here, I don't expect a "massive devaluation" in August 2018. In fact, I think Marriott will try to delight us with the new category assignments -- but that ongoing category creep in future years will slowly take its toll over time (as it has in past years).

Why not book now on Maui, and then cancel and rebook if you see something better when the new requirements are released?

Last edited by Horace; Apr 20, 2018 at 9:41 am
Horace is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 9:04 am
  #124  
10 Countries Visited
20 Countries Visited
30 Countries Visited
10 Years on Site
 
Join Date: May 2012
Programs: Marriott Titanium; UA 1K; Hertz Presidents Club
Posts: 444
Originally Posted by Wisdom
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
Can't you book it now at the current rate then if the rate gets better, cancel the reservation and rebook it at the new rate?
pokee and Duke787 like this.
mindrisa is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 9:25 am
  #125  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
40 Countries Visited
5M
100 Nights
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Pittsburgh
Programs: MR LT Titanium, AA LT PLT, UA SLV, Avis PreferredPlus, HH Gold, Hertz PC, National Executive, etc.
Posts: 31,670
Originally Posted by Wisdom
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd guess most will be roughly the same.

I'd suggest booking it now, as you'll almost certainly have the option to cancel and rebook later, if it drops.

"But what if it's sold-out later and (s)he can't rebook?" Well, then waiting would have resulted no room at all.

I see no downside to booking now (assuming you check and there's not a never-seen-before cancellation deadline)


(just read all the way through - a bit of redundant and repetitive advice....)
CPRich is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 9:36 am
  #126  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
Originally Posted by CPRich
I'd guess most will be roughly the same.

I'd suggest booking it now, as you'll almost certainly have the option to cancel and rebook later, if it drops.

"But what if it's sold-out later and (s)he can't rebook?" Well, then waiting would have resulted no room at all.

I see no downside to booking now (assuming you check and there's not a never-seen-before cancellation deadline)


(just read all the way through - a bit of redundant and repetitive advice....)
I appreciate your response. I will book before the change. If canceling and rebooking after August is needed, would my points going back into my account be tripled? They should be, but you never know.
I didn't see where they said when the new award charts would be coming out, but I hope soon.
Wisdom is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 9:49 am
  #127  
30 Countries Visited
2M
80 Nights
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: May 2002
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum, United Silver, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 2,366
Originally Posted by Wisdom
I appreciate your response. I will book before the change. If canceling and rebooking after August is needed, would my points going back into my account be tripled? They should be, but you never know.
I didn't see where they said when the new award charts would be coming out, but I hope soon.
All Starpoints will be converted to the new Points currency in August. I wouldn't consider anything to be "tripled" even though 1 Starpoint = 3 Rewards Points = 3 new Points.

A 20,000-Starpoint reservation made before August will be a 60,000-Point reservation when Starpoints go away as a separate points currency in August. If you cancel such a reservation, 60,000 new Points will be returned to you balance.

Marriott has not announced when the new point requirements for each property will be released, but it has to be before August -- and I hope it would be at least 2 months before August.

Last edited by Horace; Apr 20, 2018 at 12:09 pm
Horace is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 10:31 am
  #128  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
1M
2M
50 Countries Visited
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Danville, CA, USA;
Programs: UA 1MM, WN CP, Marriott LT Plat, Hilton Gold, IC Plat
Posts: 18,080
Originally Posted by CPRich
They won't be 95K, which was the question.
How much you want to bet?

I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.

The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
hockeyinsider and pokee like this.
Boraxo is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 11:42 am
  #129  
 
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
Originally Posted by Horace
All Starpoints will be converted to the new Points currency in August. I wouldn't consider anything to be "tripled" even though is 1 Starpoint = 3 Rewards Points = 3 new Points.

A 20,000-Starpoint reservation made before August will be a 60,000-Point reservation when Starpoints go away as a separate points currency in August. If you cancel such a reservation, 60,000 new Points will be returned to you balance.

Marriott has not announced when the new point requirements for each property will be released, but it has to before August -- and I hope it would be at least 2 months before August.
Thank you. I do hope they post the new hotel points requirements soon. Would love to know how things will shake out.
Wisdom is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 11:47 am
  #130  
Community Builder
All eyes on you!
10 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: DAY
Programs: Rapid Rewards, Skymiles, Hilton HHonors, SPG/Marriott Rewards
Posts: 6,535
Originally Posted by Boraxo
How much you want to bet?

I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.

The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
I imagine most of the high demand SPG properties will stay more or less the same and the high demand Marriott properties will be brought up to that level. Just look at the example in this thread above with the Maui Sheraton the same price in points as the Ritz. How does that make any sense?
Cledaybuck is offline  
Old Apr 20, 2018 | 5:17 pm
  #131  
All eyes on you!
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: RTW
Programs: MR Ag, LH FTL
Posts: 947
Originally Posted by Boraxo
How much you want to bet?

I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.
I willing to bet 95k points that none of London properties will cost 95k new points come August 1 (for any date in the future). Deal?
slowly is offline  
Old Apr 23, 2018 | 10:36 am
  #132  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Southern California, USA
Programs: Marriott Ambassador and LTT, UA Plat/LT Gold, AA Gold
Posts: 8,764
Devaluation not so true after all...

Marriott just released the top award destinations and their new redemption rates for Bali, New York, Paris, Caribbean, and Mexico, and Dubai.

Looks like more hotels are dropping in rate than increasing. So the unfounded paranoia is shown to be what it is...

https://members.marriott.com/tophotels/

It also becomes very evident that the top hotels in these markets are almost entirely the luxury options originally from Starwood. Autograph Collection properties aren’t categorized much better than most Sheraton, Westin, and Marriott properties. Even some of the Ritz-Carlton properties are categorized below W hotels and resorts.
Horace, Mister Nice and adunker like this.

Last edited by bhrubin; Apr 23, 2018 at 11:06 am
bhrubin is offline  
Old Apr 23, 2018 | 11:56 am
  #133  
All eyes on you!
15 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: YVR to SEA
Posts: 2,685
I think there's going to be a lot of pain for the existing category 8+9 Marriott hotels (more going up to 50k than going down to 35k). I expect much of the drops to come from SPG cat 6.
crimsona is offline  
Old Apr 24, 2018 | 6:35 am
  #134  
10 Countries Visited
20 Countries Visited
30 Countries Visited
20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 1,265
Reserving judgment until I see the full list . I want to see the new levels for hotels in cities such as DC, Los Angeles , San Francisco , Chicago , London , Tokyo , Hong Kong , Rome , Boston , and certain Florida resorts.
Mister Nice is offline  
Old Apr 24, 2018 | 7:30 am
  #135  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,332
Originally Posted by Mister Nice
Reserving judgment until I see the full list . I want to see the new levels for hotels in cities such as DC, Los Angeles , San Francisco , Chicago , London , Tokyo , Hong Kong , Rome , Boston , and certain Florida resorts.
Exactly. A few hotels in Bali, Puerto Rico and Mexico dropping mean nothing when you consider the situation in each of those places.
hockeyinsider is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2026 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.