SPECULATION: Is a Points Devaluation Coming In August?
#121
Suspended
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,332
If they thought they could get 60K+/night, they'd already be charging it.
If they put the top JWs and full-service Marriotts into the same categories as the St. Regis / Ritz Carlton / Luxury Collection / Design / etc., the number of redemptions there will drop precipitously, because, all things being equal, most travelers will elect the upscale properties. Why would Marriott want to do that?
If they put the top JWs and full-service Marriotts into the same categories as the St. Regis / Ritz Carlton / Luxury Collection / Design / etc., the number of redemptions there will drop precipitously, because, all things being equal, most travelers will elect the upscale properties. Why would Marriott want to do that?
#122
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
#123




Join Date: May 2002
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum, United Silver, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 2,366
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
It's also possible that the Sheraton Maui will go down. The Ritz-Carlton, Kapalua, will also be Category 7, because Category 7 is the highest category for the rest of 2018. It would be strange for the Sheraton Maui to require as many new Points as the Ritz-Carlton, Kapalua.
The Marriott Wailea Beach Resort on Maui is currently 40,000 Rewards Points. There is not a new August 2018 category at that level, so the Marriott Wailea will have to go up or down.
I would not rely on anyone's guesses here to predict the future. Unlike a few people here, I don't expect a "massive devaluation" in August 2018. In fact, I think Marriott will try to delight us with the new category assignments -- but that ongoing category creep in future years will slowly take its toll over time (as it has in past years).
Why not book now on Maui, and then cancel and rebook if you see something better when the new requirements are released?
Last edited by Horace; Apr 20, 2018 at 9:41 am
#124




Join Date: May 2012
Programs: Marriott Titanium; UA 1K; Hertz Presidents Club
Posts: 444
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
#125
FlyerTalk Evangelist




Join Date: May 2002
Location: Pittsburgh
Programs: MR LT Titanium, AA LT PLT, UA SLV, Avis PreferredPlus, HH Gold, Hertz PC, National Executive, etc.
Posts: 31,670
The Sheraton Maui is currently a category 6 hotel and requires 20,000 points a night, what would be your guess on the amount of points you would need per night once the program changes? Under 60,000?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd like to book a room there, but I'm not sure if I should wait. If it goes to 50,000 a night I would be better off waiting until my Starpoints triple and save 10,000 points. Any thoughts?
I'd suggest booking it now, as you'll almost certainly have the option to cancel and rebook later, if it drops.
"But what if it's sold-out later and (s)he can't rebook?" Well, then waiting would have resulted no room at all.
I see no downside to booking now (assuming you check and there's not a never-seen-before cancellation deadline)
(just read all the way through - a bit of redundant and repetitive advice....)
#126
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
I'd guess most will be roughly the same.
I'd suggest booking it now, as you'll almost certainly have the option to cancel and rebook later, if it drops.
"But what if it's sold-out later and (s)he can't rebook?" Well, then waiting would have resulted no room at all.
I see no downside to booking now (assuming you check and there's not a never-seen-before cancellation deadline)
(just read all the way through - a bit of redundant and repetitive advice....)
I'd suggest booking it now, as you'll almost certainly have the option to cancel and rebook later, if it drops.
"But what if it's sold-out later and (s)he can't rebook?" Well, then waiting would have resulted no room at all.
I see no downside to booking now (assuming you check and there's not a never-seen-before cancellation deadline)
(just read all the way through - a bit of redundant and repetitive advice....)
I didn't see where they said when the new award charts would be coming out, but I hope soon.
#127




Join Date: May 2002
Programs: AAdvantage Platinum, United Silver, Marriott Titanium Elite
Posts: 2,366
I appreciate your response. I will book before the change. If canceling and rebooking after August is needed, would my points going back into my account be tripled? They should be, but you never know.
I didn't see where they said when the new award charts would be coming out, but I hope soon.
I didn't see where they said when the new award charts would be coming out, but I hope soon.
A 20,000-Starpoint reservation made before August will be a 60,000-Point reservation when Starpoints go away as a separate points currency in August. If you cancel such a reservation, 60,000 new Points will be returned to you balance.
Marriott has not announced when the new point requirements for each property will be released, but it has to be before August -- and I hope it would be at least 2 months before August.
Last edited by Horace; Apr 20, 2018 at 12:09 pm
#128
FlyerTalk Evangelist




Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Danville, CA, USA;
Programs: UA 1MM, WN CP, Marriott LT Plat, Hilton Gold, IC Plat
Posts: 18,080
How much you want to bet?
I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.
The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.
The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
#129
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Temecula, Ca.
Programs: Marriott Lifetime Platinum Elite, SPG Platinum
Posts: 273
All Starpoints will be converted to the new Points currency in August. I wouldn't consider anything to be "tripled" even though is 1 Starpoint = 3 Rewards Points = 3 new Points.
A 20,000-Starpoint reservation made before August will be a 60,000-Point reservation when Starpoints go away as a separate points currency in August. If you cancel such a reservation, 60,000 new Points will be returned to you balance.
Marriott has not announced when the new point requirements for each property will be released, but it has to before August -- and I hope it would be at least 2 months before August.
A 20,000-Starpoint reservation made before August will be a 60,000-Point reservation when Starpoints go away as a separate points currency in August. If you cancel such a reservation, 60,000 new Points will be returned to you balance.
Marriott has not announced when the new point requirements for each property will be released, but it has to before August -- and I hope it would be at least 2 months before August.
#130



Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: DAY
Programs: Rapid Rewards, Skymiles, Hilton HHonors, SPG/Marriott Rewards
Posts: 6,535
How much you want to bet?
I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.
The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
I guarantee the RC Cat 5 and these London properties will be at the top of the charts for peak season (summer) redemption (95k), if not on August 1 than certainly by the time the next revaluation occurs in early 2019.
The whole Marriott/SPG/RC program realignment is just providing a smokescreen for what is essentially a massive devaluation for all of the expensive high demand properties, and there is no reason to put lipstick on it or extend false hope. Book your award nights now, you can always cancel down the road in the unlikely event I am wrong.
#131


Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: RTW
Programs: MR Ag, LH FTL
Posts: 947
I willing to bet 95k points that none of London properties will cost 95k new points come August 1 (for any date in the future). Deal?
#132
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Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Southern California, USA
Programs: Marriott Ambassador and LTT, UA Plat/LT Gold, AA Gold
Posts: 8,764
Devaluation not so true after all...
Marriott just released the top award destinations and their new redemption rates for Bali, New York, Paris, Caribbean, and Mexico, and Dubai.
Looks like more hotels are dropping in rate than increasing. So the unfounded paranoia is shown to be what it is...
https://members.marriott.com/tophotels/
It also becomes very evident that the top hotels in these markets are almost entirely the luxury options originally from Starwood. Autograph Collection properties aren’t categorized much better than most Sheraton, Westin, and Marriott properties. Even some of the Ritz-Carlton properties are categorized below W hotels and resorts.
Looks like more hotels are dropping in rate than increasing. So the unfounded paranoia is shown to be what it is...
https://members.marriott.com/tophotels/
It also becomes very evident that the top hotels in these markets are almost entirely the luxury options originally from Starwood. Autograph Collection properties aren’t categorized much better than most Sheraton, Westin, and Marriott properties. Even some of the Ritz-Carlton properties are categorized below W hotels and resorts.
Last edited by bhrubin; Apr 23, 2018 at 11:06 am
#133


Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: YVR to SEA
Posts: 2,685
I think there's going to be a lot of pain for the existing category 8+9 Marriott hotels (more going up to 50k than going down to 35k). I expect much of the drops to come from SPG cat 6.
#134




Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 1,265
Reserving judgment until I see the full list . I want to see the new levels for hotels in cities such as DC, Los Angeles , San Francisco , Chicago , London , Tokyo , Hong Kong , Rome , Boston , and certain Florida resorts.
#135
Suspended
Join Date: Jun 2005
Programs: Delta Diamond, Marriott Ambassador & Lifetime Titanium, Hertz President's Circle, United Silver
Posts: 6,332
Exactly. A few hotels in Bali, Puerto Rico and Mexico dropping mean nothing when you consider the situation in each of those places.

