Last edit by: JDiver
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Welcome to the MH370 Discussion and Speculation Thread
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FlyerTalk members come from all walks of life and all parts of the world. We are as diverse in our makeup as we are alike in our passion for frequent flyer programs. Because we all bring a unique perspective to the forum, our collective experience is broadened, and we gain new insights.
Our diversity demands that we respect each other. Due to the inherent constraints of the Internet, humor, sarcasm, language and slang can be easily misinterpreted - especially when crossing cultural boundaries.
When posting a message, pay extra care to how it might be interpreted. And when you come across a post that offends you, read it with an eye toward giving the poster the benefit of the doubt.
If you have an issue with a post, please contact the member privately or contact a moderator (click on the button). Do not make a situation worse by publicly responding.
In order to a) keep the original thread focused on confirmed news and known facts, and b) allow folks a place to discuss their ideas about what might have happened, the MH370 moderators and Community Director have decided to open this thread.
Here are the expectations:
1. The normal FT TOS apply. (Including not discussing moderation actions on-thread). And please be particularly attentive to "discussing the idea and not the poster" when you have a disagreement. Civility and mutual respect are still expected and are what we owe each other as a community.
2. You are expected respect our diversity , and therefore refrain from posting inflammatory comments about race, religion, culture, politics, ethnicity, orientation, etc." Do not cite, copy, or report on such.
3. Please do continue to be attentive to the sensibilities of the families of those on the flight. Think about if you were them what you would and would not want to see posted. Speculation about what happened is permissible; please, though, do not indulge in inflammatory or overly-lurid descriptions that could well be hurtful.
4. Overly / extravagantly exaggerative posts such as conspiracy theories, posts beyond the realm of science and known facts, etc. as well as posts with information that has been posted several times previously, information that has been posted in the News thread wiki or FAQ, may be deleted. E.g. the aircraft was vaporized.
In terms of housekeeping, posts may get moved from the "news" thread if and as needed, and posts that do not conform to these simple expectations, above, will be deleted.
Also note: this wiki is locked; changes can only be made by moderators.
Thank you.
Your MH370 Moderation Team
aBroadAbroad; cblaisd; JDiver; l'etoile; NewbieRunner; oliver2002; Prospero
and Community Director
SanDiego1K
MH370 Discussion and Speculation Thread
#1486
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: sheffield
Posts: 51
I was told after one post 'no it isn't', but the story of Helios, suggests that a plan to do it, with the technical knowledge of how to set the pressurisation to manual, might be possible. Something I have mused over. But seriously..... how long does a pilot have in his daily schedule to plan anything like this? It just can't be narrowed down..... hijacking/pilot suicide/equipment failure with some weird electronic events that led to controlled turns. Incredible... just hope they find it. One thing is certain.... a lot of things will change after this. Things that should have been implemented after AF447
Last edited by cassiewoofer; Mar 31, 2014 at 3:47 pm
#1487
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: SW London
Programs: BAEC Silver; Hilton Diamond;a miscellany of other hotel non-statuses
Posts: 3,607
But would they have been in place by now? I'd have thought a decade would be a quick change for in-service aircraft. Are there any precedents for rapid changes to something that doesn't cause accidents (but may help with their aftermath / management)?
#1488
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: YVR
Programs: AC E50K, NEXUS
Posts: 645
Everyone hopes that when / if wreckage from MH370 is located, things will be learned from it. One could argue that even if wreckage is never recovered, the disappearance makes a good case for changes to how aircraft are tracked. However, whether or not anything changes remains to be seen. There is a lot of inertia in the industry, so I won't hold my breath unless conclusive evidence of a root cause is found. I don't see on what basis you are suggesting that what should change as a result of MH370 is similar to what "should have been implemented after AF447". AF447 happened due to a combination of pilot error, improper cockpit management, pitot freezing and the airbus style of digital flight control system. There is no indication MH370 has any similarity whatsoever to AF447.
#1489
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: Orange County, CA, USA
Programs: AA (Life Plat), Marriott (Life Titanium) and every other US program
Posts: 6,411
#1490
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 80
#1491
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: BNE
Posts: 87
No, that was for extremely important systems that are in a final emergency powered by the Ram Air Turbine (RAT). A little wind powered electrical generator that pops out of the fuselage.
AIUI in normal flight as long as the engines are running they provide power to lights, TVs, SATCOM, etc. If the engines stop in flight then the APU would try to fire up - I'm not sure if this is because the APU has a role in restarting the engines, or simply to help the cabin crew figure which way is up. So those 'non-essential' services would see power again as long as there is fuel for the APU and until the engines hopefully restart to provide normal power. If there is no fuel left of course then the APU will quickly stop again with no engine restart.
AIUI in normal flight as long as the engines are running they provide power to lights, TVs, SATCOM, etc. If the engines stop in flight then the APU would try to fire up - I'm not sure if this is because the APU has a role in restarting the engines, or simply to help the cabin crew figure which way is up. So those 'non-essential' services would see power again as long as there is fuel for the APU and until the engines hopefully restart to provide normal power. If there is no fuel left of course then the APU will quickly stop again with no engine restart.
The batteries only provide power to one bus (can't remember which in a 777) and that only contains systems critical to keeping the plane in the air plus maybe the cabin intercom and IIRC one VHF radio. This will kick in upon engine flameout and stay on until either exhausted, the APU starts or the RAT deploys.
And in both cases it would have to be a piece of equipment that could detect that it was time to send an emergency message after ~7h of not seeing the need to do this.
I don't know what piece of equipment that could be, and without their being any it reduces (to me) the likelihood of what you propose. Could it be (others will need to contribute):
1/ Vertical accelerometer (presumably not if the plane was still doing what it thought it should)
2/ Ground proximity warning (the thing that says 'Pull up!' on simulators?)
3/ 'In the drink' detector (Would it have long enough to start but not finish? Does it exist?)
4/ Structural failure detector (ditto)
I don't know what piece of equipment that could be, and without their being any it reduces (to me) the likelihood of what you propose. Could it be (others will need to contribute):
1/ Vertical accelerometer (presumably not if the plane was still doing what it thought it should)
2/ Ground proximity warning (the thing that says 'Pull up!' on simulators?)
3/ 'In the drink' detector (Would it have long enough to start but not finish? Does it exist?)
4/ Structural failure detector (ditto)
Originally Posted by polarbreeze View Post
So the question becomes whether it is possible to depressurize the plane from the flight deck.
So the question becomes whether it is possible to depressurize the plane from the flight deck.
Last edited by trailboss99; Apr 1, 2014 at 12:31 am Reason: combine posts
#1492
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 1
Would like refer to this article:
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/1...find-the-plane
A diagram in the article above:
http://www.extremetech.com/wp-conten...t-coverage.gif
appears to show that Inmarsat may have had coverage of MH370 through another satellite: 178E POR apart from the one above the Indian ocean. Wikiing Inmarsat shows they do have that particular satellite listed.
I understand that such diagrams may be quite inaccurate. I'm just wondering if anyone can provide further information on the actual coverage range of the INMARSAT 178E POR satellite. If the coverage range does extend that far, would it not have recorded some data for MH370 and therefore make it possible to eliminate some possibilities and refine the search
area? I'm not in any way someone well versed in satellite transmissions, so if I've erred, please correct me.
Also, the pings recorded by Inmarsat, mention 6 handshakes and many articles state that these were recorded hourly.
But in the graph provided by Inmarsat for burst frequency offset analysis, it appears there are more data points observed than 6. The last point does coincide with 0811 MYT but they are not hourly. Would appreciate it if someone could clarify.
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/1...find-the-plane
A diagram in the article above:
http://www.extremetech.com/wp-conten...t-coverage.gif
appears to show that Inmarsat may have had coverage of MH370 through another satellite: 178E POR apart from the one above the Indian ocean. Wikiing Inmarsat shows they do have that particular satellite listed.
I understand that such diagrams may be quite inaccurate. I'm just wondering if anyone can provide further information on the actual coverage range of the INMARSAT 178E POR satellite. If the coverage range does extend that far, would it not have recorded some data for MH370 and therefore make it possible to eliminate some possibilities and refine the search
area? I'm not in any way someone well versed in satellite transmissions, so if I've erred, please correct me.
Also, the pings recorded by Inmarsat, mention 6 handshakes and many articles state that these were recorded hourly.
But in the graph provided by Inmarsat for burst frequency offset analysis, it appears there are more data points observed than 6. The last point does coincide with 0811 MYT but they are not hourly. Would appreciate it if someone could clarify.
#1493
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 80
A diagram in the article above:
http://www.extremetech.com/wp-conten...t-coverage.gif
appears to show that Inmarsat may have had coverage of MH370 through another satellite: 178E POR apart from the one above the Indian ocean. Wikiing Inmarsat shows they do have that particular satellite listed.
http://www.extremetech.com/wp-conten...t-coverage.gif
appears to show that Inmarsat may have had coverage of MH370 through another satellite: 178E POR apart from the one above the Indian ocean. Wikiing Inmarsat shows they do have that particular satellite listed.
#1495
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2005
Programs: ua mm, aa plat, starriott LTPP, ihg plat, hh gold.
Posts: 13,017
so, they're now saying the last words from MH 370 were “Good night Malaysian three seven zero”
rather than what they had reported before, as “All right, good night”.
is there a reason this is significant? i can't come up with one (other than that they just aren't being accurate).
rather than what they had reported before, as “All right, good night”.
is there a reason this is significant? i can't come up with one (other than that they just aren't being accurate).
#1496
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: SW London
Programs: BAEC Silver; Hilton Diamond;a miscellany of other hotel non-statuses
Posts: 3,607
so, they're now saying the last words from MH 370 were “Good night Malaysian three seven zero”
rather than what they had reported before, as “All right, good night”.
is there a reason this is significant? i can't come up with one (other than that they just aren't being accurate).
rather than what they had reported before, as “All right, good night”.
is there a reason this is significant? i can't come up with one (other than that they just aren't being accurate).
Sounds entirely normal, although can read a little oddly if you don't insert a pause before the flight ID bit.
#1497
Join Date: Mar 2014
Location: sheffield
Posts: 51
I don't know what undisclosed technology HMS Tireless has but lets hope it can home in on that black box signal, though they might need to get every ship in the area to stop all engines for a few days!
Having read more about how unlikely an intact ditching at sea is, I hope the first debris to be found before the black box signal dies in the next 10 days.
The arrival of Tireless is the best news I've heard in weeks!
Last edited by cassiewoofer; Apr 1, 2014 at 4:45 pm
#1498
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: YVR
Programs: AC E50K, NEXUS
Posts: 645
It depends on where the aircraft went down and the direction of the ocean currents. If you recall the fukushima tsunami, debris is just showing up on the west coast of north america now.
#1499
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: The Sunshine State
Programs: Deltaworst Peon Level, TSA "Layer 21 Club", NW WP RIP
Posts: 11,370
But IF and a big IF a crewmember/hijacker took over the cockpit, and if it is possible to knock out the pax/FAs by depressurizing the plane (while the pilot had his oxygen mask on, fed from a tank that lasts longer than the 15 mins. the passenger drop down masks last), the lone pilot could fly south till almost out of fuel and carefully ditch the plane. The engines and possibly wings tear off (and sink) but the SFO crash shows how darn strong the round 777 fuselage is.
(Look up pictures of the SFO plane. There are closeups of the fuselage on the ground and on the trucks after the plane was cut apart for removal. After smashing the tail, flipping around and slamming the ground, the lower fuselage skin forward of the wing (except of course for the very bottom) does not have a visible wrinkle or blemish. It looks pristine. THAT is a strong Boeing built fuselage. ^)
With no live pax, no doors are opened and the fuselage slowly fills with water. I think it could possibly sink to the bottom intact with all the floatable debris sealed into the aluminum tube. In this case the plane is GONE and there is nothing floating, not even an oil slick, as the plane was out of fuel. Finding the plane would be darn near impossible.
#1500
Moderator: American AAdvantage
Join Date: May 2000
Location: NorCal - SMF area
Programs: AA LT Plat; HH LT Diamond, Maître-plongeur des Muccis
Posts: 62,948
Not necessarily. If a plane comes apart in the air or comes apart on impact, there are tons of floating stuff inside the fuselage and cargo holds. In a normal water landing, the pax open the doors, inflate the rafts, and the plane sinks with the doors open allowing tons of stuff to float out on its way to the bottom, to join the rafts and pax life vests floating on the sea.
But IF and a big IF a crewmember/hijacker took over the cockpit, and if it is possible to knock out the pax/FAs by depressurizing the plane (while the pilot had his oxygen mask on, fed from a tank that lasts longer than the 15 mins. the passenger drop down masks last), the lone pilot could fly south till almost out of fuel and carefully ditch the plane. The engines and possibly wings tear off (and sink) but the SFO crash shows how darn strong the round 777 fuselage is.
(Look up pictures of the SFO plane. There are closeups of the fuselage on the ground and on the trucks after the plane was cut apart for removal. After smashing the tail, flipping around and slamming the ground, the lower fuselage skin forward of the wing (except of course for the very bottom) does not have a visible wrinkle or blemish. It looks pristine. THAT is a strong Boeing built fuselage. ^)
With no live pax, no doors are opened and the fuselage slowly fills with water. I think it could possibly sink to the bottom intact with all the floatable debris sealed into the aluminum tube. In this case the plane is GONE and there is nothing floating, not even an oil slick, as the plane was out of fuel. Finding the plane would be darn near impossible.
But IF and a big IF a crewmember/hijacker took over the cockpit, and if it is possible to knock out the pax/FAs by depressurizing the plane (while the pilot had his oxygen mask on, fed from a tank that lasts longer than the 15 mins. the passenger drop down masks last), the lone pilot could fly south till almost out of fuel and carefully ditch the plane. The engines and possibly wings tear off (and sink) but the SFO crash shows how darn strong the round 777 fuselage is.
(Look up pictures of the SFO plane. There are closeups of the fuselage on the ground and on the trucks after the plane was cut apart for removal. After smashing the tail, flipping around and slamming the ground, the lower fuselage skin forward of the wing (except of course for the very bottom) does not have a visible wrinkle or blemish. It looks pristine. THAT is a strong Boeing built fuselage. ^)
With no live pax, no doors are opened and the fuselage slowly fills with water. I think it could possibly sink to the bottom intact with all the floatable debris sealed into the aluminum tube. In this case the plane is GONE and there is nothing floating, not even an oil slick, as the plane was out of fuel. Finding the plane would be darn near impossible.